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Ferhatoglu W vs Izmit Bld. W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 14:45
Final 70-75
20-22 12-9 22-17 16-27
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game66.4
Ferhatoglu W
Turkey
vs
Izmit Bld. W 🏆
Turkey
Position#3
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game64.7
TurkeyTKBL WomenRound 16
Women2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferhatoglu W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Izmit Bld. W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferhatoglu WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H22/10
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A29/10
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H05/11
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A11/11
TKBL Women
Tarsus W
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H19/11
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A25/11
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#11
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H03/12
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A10/12
TKBL Women
Karsiyaka W
#16
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H17/12
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A23/12
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-16
17-9
12-12
29-23
18-23
22-24
19-12
15-11
26-11
10-26
15-20
24-17
18-17
13-21
18-15
18-23
13-20
20-22
13-15
19-18
11-17
19-21
13-23
24-17
26-17
15-12
13-23
21-9
18-24
22-15
22-16
–
–
–
–
24-27
17-28
24-18
18-11
133.9Avg total
68.7Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.066.4135.4+2.660%
Season at home (7)64.458.9123.3+5.671%
Season away (8)73.073.0146.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)68.765.2133.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)65.259.2124.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.269.5134.8-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.572.6141.1-4.227%
vs Weaker (15)72.158.7130.7+13.493%
This opponent (Izmit Bld. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Izmit Bld. WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A23/10
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H29/10
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
63-85
63
85
-22
A04/11
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H13/11
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A18/11
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H26/11
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
A02/12
TKBL Women
Tarsus W
#1
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H10/12
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#11
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A16/12
TKBL Women
Karsiyaka W
#16
W
21-0
21
0
+21
H24/12
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
21-12
26-16
11-25
18-18
14-9
17-14
21-18
19-30
18-20
18-19
8-16
15-20
26-21
24-24
12-15
23-17
18-16
20-18
4-17
11-23
31-16
20-15
20-22
13-18
18-21
17-15
27-21
23-18
23-28
24-22
16-14
12-15
18-12
18-14
24-9
–
–
–
–
135.3Avg total
70.5Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.264.7136.9+7.573%
Season at home (8)71.662.0133.6+9.688%
Season away (7)72.967.9140.7+5.057%
Last 10 (10)70.564.8135.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)69.658.0127.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.683.3155.9-10.730%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.872.2144.0-0.538%
vs Weaker (12)70.958.7129.6+12.383%
This opponent (Ferhatoglu W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
Ferhatoglu WIzmit Bld. W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferhatoglu WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H22/10
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A29/10
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H05/11
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A11/11
TKBL Women
Tarsus W
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H19/11
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/11
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/12
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/12
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/12
TKBL Women
77.7Avg total
40.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.034.873.7+4.269%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.033.173.1+6.971%-
Last 30 away (15)38.036.374.3+1.767%-
Last 10 (9)40.237.477.7+2.867%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.078.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.234.870.0+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.738.876.5-1.155%-
vs Weaker (14)41.031.672.6+9.486%-
This opponent (Izmit Bld. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Izmit Bld. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A23/10
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H29/10
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/11
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/11
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A18/11
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H26/11
TKBL Women
Bogazici W
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A02/12
TKBL Women
Tarsus W
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/12
TKBL Women
Turgutlu W
#11
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A16/12
TKBL Women
74.7Avg total
38.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.636.874.4+0.955%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.438.176.5+0.353%-
Last 30 away (14)36.835.372.1+1.557%-
Last 10 (9)38.336.374.7+2.056%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.542.281.7-2.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.836.675.4+2.162%-
vs Weaker (11)35.131.967.0+3.273%-
This opponent (Ferhatoglu W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferhatoglu Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferhatoglu W: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.517.2
40.6%
44.3%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
29.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.810.5
76.4%
70.3%10.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Izmit Bld. Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Izmit Bld. W: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀10%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.823.2
46.7%
44.3%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.82.2
13.4%
29.3%6.8
🏀 Free throws19.213.0
67.5%
70.3%13.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferhatoglu W
LWWWLLWLWW
Izmit Bld. W
WWWWWLLLWW
#5
League position
#3
+12.3
Net rating
+2.5
88.0
Offensive rating
84.1
75.7
Defensive rating
81.5
41.9%
Effective FG%
40.0%
37.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.5%
3-point %
13.4%
70.5%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 84.1Defence75.7 · 81.5Shooting41.9% · 40.0%3-point %29.5% · 13.4%Ball care20.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ferhatoglu W   ■ Izmit Bld. W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ferhatoglu W wins
1
Izmit Bld. W wins
DateGameScore
24/09/22Izmit Bld. W v Ferhatoglu W75-58
Ferhatoglu Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22AKirklareli W83-84
17/12/22HKarsiyaka W20-0
10/12/22AYalova W83-64
03/12/22HTurgutlu W78-69
25/11/22AAntalya Gunesi W62-79
19/11/22HTarsus W64-80
11/11/22AUrla Bld W73-70
05/11/22HBogazici W66-68
29/10/22AElazig W88-82
22/10/22HElazig Il Ozel Idare W70-56
Izmit Bld. Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22HKarsiyaka W21-0
16/12/22ATurgutlu W72-50
10/12/22HTarsus W86-82
02/12/22ABogazici W87-82 OT
26/11/22HElazig Il Ozel Idare W82-76
18/11/22ADiba Ankara W65-68
13/11/22HFenerbahce 2 W77-80
04/11/22AKirklareli W63-85
29/10/22HYalova W70-59
23/10/22AAntalya Gunesi W82-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferhatoglu W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game69.064.473.0
Allowed / game66.458.973.0
Point differential+2.6+5.6+0.0
Avg total135.4123.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Izmit Bld. W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game72.271.672.9
Allowed / game64.762.067.9
Point differential+7.5+9.6+5.0
Avg total136.9133.6140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarsus W1513287%80.563.5+17.0
2 Fenerbahce 2 W1512380%71.762.9+8.8
3 Botas 2 W1511473%66.658.5+8.1
4 Izmit Bld. W1511473%72.264.7+7.5
5 Elazig Il Ozel Idare W1611569%75.967.7+8.2
6 Kirklareli W1510567%79.372.6+6.7
7 Ferhatoglu W159660%69.066.4+2.6
8 Elazig W158753%76.270.2+6.0
9 Bogazici W158753%73.771.7+2.0
10 Diba Ankara W156940%65.768.2-2.5
11 Turgutlu W1551033%68.071.1-3.1
12 Antalya Gunesi W1651131%67.672.1-4.5
13 Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W1541127%63.164.5-1.3
14 Urla Bld W1541127%59.764.2-4.5
15 Yalova W1541127%67.172.8-5.7
16 Karsiyaka W150150%44.790.1-45.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferhatoglu W2012221670
Izmit Bld. W229172775
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