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Ferro W vs El Talar W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 72-66
Projected total 138.1
Final 60-68
13-16 15-10 16-18 16-24
Position#12
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game61.4
Ferro W
Argentina
Vs
73%
27%
■ FERR 73%■ EL T 27%
Pythia win probability
El Talar W 🏆
Argentina
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game57.6
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Women2027
Meetings · Ferro W v El Talar W
12 Nov 2026
FERR60
EL T68
22 Feb 2026
FERR77
EL T73
06 Feb 2026
FERR80
EL T84
12 Oct 2025
FERR78
EL T81
16 Apr 2025
FERR70
EL T60
15 Apr 2025
FERR70
EL T73
31 Jan 2025
FERR90
EL T74
12 Jan 2025
FERR94
EL T99
20 Dec 2024
FERR60
EL T63
03 Nov 2024
FERR79
EL T70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Ferro W hosts El Talar W on 12 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, with the model favouring Ferro W at 73% to 27%. Ferro W has gone 4-3 this season, scoring 73.9 points per game and allowing 61.4, while El Talar W is 4-1, averaging 72.8 points and conceding 57.6. At home Ferro W has a 2-1 record, 80.0 points scored and 57.0 allowed, and in their last five they have won four; their recent outings include a 61-65 loss to Obras Sanitarias W away, a 85-45 home win over Avellaneda W, and a 74-68 away victory against Berazategui W. El Talar W's road record is perfect, 2-0, with 77.5 points scored and 52.0 allowed, and they have also won four of their last five, highlighted by a 74-47 home win over Avellaneda W, a 64-67 home loss to Union Florida W, and an 88-51 away win over Regatas San Nicolas W. In their ten meetings El Talar W leads 6-4, having edged Ferro W 71-70 on 10 October 2026. Pythia projects a 72-66 score for Ferro W, a total of 138.1 points, and a 4% chance of overtime; the home team covers the line with a 73% probability. Ferro W's recent 80.0 points at home suggest they will keep the margin in line with the model's expectation.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro W winLost
72.5%fair 1.38
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
El Talar W winWon
27.5%fair 3.64
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H17/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A21/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A23/05
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H13/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A20/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
91-49
91
49
+42
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
27-17
24-15
17-25
17-20
8-22
18-7
13-13
14-17
26-16
14-19
21-17
20-18
28-17
11-22
11-14
19-27
21-20
12-6
12-24
16-10
13-14
24-19
19-12
25-10
20-10
15-14
31-15
10-11
28-15
21-25
15-17
18-11
27-16
22-6
18-12
15-16
17-19
23-15
6-15
138.3Avg total
73.8Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.961.4135.3+12.457%
Season at home (3)80.057.0137.0+23.067%
Season away (4)69.264.8134.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.864.5138.3+9.360%
Last 5 (5)76.656.4133.0+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.069.5141.5+2.550%
vs Similar (12)74.866.0140.8+8.867%
vs Weaker (16)73.261.9135.1+11.475%
This opponent (El Talar W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Talar WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H20/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H02/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
88-51
88
51
+37
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-10
22-12
12-11
14-18
11-12
16-12
26-11
17-10
10-15
9-17
20-10
17-14
7-19
11-12
20-26
10-24
11-13
20-22
33-21
18-20
17-28
22-11
14-11
18-13
14-11
22-13
13-16
21-8
16-17
32-11
19-15
25-20
15-15
10-13
14-19
25-9
13-12
25-20
11-6
129.3Avg total
69.4Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.857.6130.4+15.280%
Season at home (3)69.761.3131.0+8.367%
Season away (2)77.552.0129.5+25.5100%
Last 10 (10)69.459.9129.3+9.570%
Last 5 (5)72.857.6130.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)68.471.1139.5-2.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)72.062.0134.1+10.080%
This opponent (Ferro W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 121.5Actual: Over 121.5
Over 121.5
84.3%
Under 121.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 126.5Actual: Over 126.5
Over 126.5
75.8%
Under 126.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131.5Actual: Under 131.5
Over 131.5
65.2%
Under 131.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ferro W total 60.5Actual: Ferro W under 60.5
Over 60.5
88.1%
Under 60.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro W total 64.5Actual: Ferro W under 64.5
Over 64.5
78.4%
Under 64.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro W total 68.5Actual: Ferro W under 68.5
Over 68.5
65.2%
Under 68.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Talar W total 58Actual: El Talar W over 58
Over 58
77.9%
Under 58
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Talar W total 62Actual: El Talar W over 62
Over 62
64.1%
Under 62
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Talar W total 66Actual: El Talar W over 66
Over 66
48.2%
Under 66
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ferro W -3Actual: El Talar W +3
FERR -3
64.9%
EL T +3
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
FERR
No market prices yet.
EL T
No market prices yet.
Spread Ferro W 0Actual: El Talar W 0
FERR 0
72.5%
EL T 0
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
FERR
No market prices yet.
EL T
No market prices yet.
Spread Ferro W +3Actual: El Talar W -3
FERR +3
79.8%
EL T -3
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
FERR
No market prices yet.
EL T
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
Ferro WEl Talar W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferro WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H17/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/05
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#5
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A20/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
72.4Avg total
39.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.131.569.6+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.130.569.7+8.680%-
Last 30 away (15)37.132.469.5+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)39.133.372.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.826.464.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
vs Similar (12)36.932.369.2+4.667%-
vs Weaker (16)38.430.969.3+7.475%-
This opponent (El Talar W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Talar WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H20/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H02/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H10/11
Liga Femenina Women
63.3Avg total
32.3Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.366.3+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.333.969.2+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)32.730.863.5+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)32.331.063.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.667.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)30.733.864.5-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.631.667.2+4.075%-
This opponent (Ferro W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferro Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.015.3
41.4%
42.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.111.3
48.9%
27.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.2
66.3%
63.8%11.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
El Talar Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

El Talar W: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.717.7
41.5%
42.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.1
40.8%
27.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.213.6
61.3%
63.8%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro W
LWWWWLLWLW
El Talar W
WLWWWLLWWW
#12
League position
#5
+23.9
Net rating
+20.5
109.8
Offensive rating
104.5
85.8
Defensive rating
83.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
38.2%
Opp. effective FG%
39.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
48.9%
3-point %
40.8%
54.5%
Assist %
43.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 104.5Defence85.8 · 83.9Shooting53.7% · 48.2%3-point %48.9% · 40.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ferro W   ■ El Talar W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ferro W wins
6
El Talar W wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26El Talar W v Ferro W71-70
25/02/26El Talar W v Ferro W69-67
22/02/26Ferro W v El Talar W77-73
06/02/26Ferro W v El Talar W80-84 OT
12/12/25El Talar W v Ferro W54-67
17/11/25El Talar W v Ferro W77-66
12/10/25Ferro W v El Talar W78-81
16/04/25Ferro W v El Talar W70-60
15/04/25Ferro W v El Talar W70-73
11/04/25El Talar W v Ferro W52-76
Ferro Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AObras Sanitarias W61-65
29/10/26HAvellaneda W85-45
24/10/26ABerazategui W74-68
23/10/26HRegatas San Nicolas W91-49
20/10/26AUnion Florida W72-55
13/10/26HObras Sanitarias W64-77
10/10/26AEl Talar W70-71
23/05/26AObras Sanitarias W75-69
21/05/26AObras Sanitarias W56-62
17/05/26HObras Sanitarias W90-84
El Talar Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HAvellaneda W74-47
22/10/26HUnion Florida W64-67
19/10/26ARegatas San Nicolas W88-51
16/10/26AAvellaneda W67-53
10/10/26HFerro W71-70
08/05/26AObras Sanitarias W74-80
02/05/26HObras Sanitarias W55-71
25/04/26AHindu W56-52
20/04/26HHindu W67-53
12/04/26HIndependiente Neuquen W78-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game73.980.069.2
Allowed / game61.457.064.8
Point differential+12.4+23.0+4.5
Avg total135.3137.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
El Talar W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game72.869.777.5
Allowed / game57.661.352.0
Point differential+15.2+8.3+25.5
Avg total130.4131.0129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Boca W76186%75.356.4+18.9
3 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
4 Independiente Neuquen W65183%62.759.0+3.7
5 El Talar W54180%72.857.6+15.2
6 Hindu W75271%69.354.4+14.9
7 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
8 Quilmes W64267%67.260.0+7.2
9 Velez Sarsfield W64267%60.254.8+5.3
10 Instituto W64267%67.262.5+4.7
11 Ferro W74357%73.961.4+12.4
12 Union Florida W74357%63.359.3+4.0
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Deportivo Chanares W61517%63.265.2-2.0
15 El Bigua W61517%58.567.5-9.0
16 Penarol W61517%53.264.3-11.2
17 Union Bahia W71614%51.166.6-15.4
18 Avellaneda W81712%57.869.8-12.0
19 Regatas San Nicolas W81712%52.078.8-26.8
20 Sociedad Espanola W4040%26.582.2-55.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro W1315161660
El Talar W1610182468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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