PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Finland W vs Bulgaria W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-72
27-21 32-7 12-32 14-12
Position#27
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game72.0
Finland W 🏆
vs
Bulgaria W
Position#23
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game73.7
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Urhea-halli
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Finland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#19
L
59-69
59
69
-10
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#19
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
59-74
59
74
-15
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
46-82
46
82
-36
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
56-67
56
67
-11
52avg 50
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
47avg 50
H07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
19-25
17-18
24-21
17-20
7-15
15-19
20-15
13-23
18-17
22-19
18-18
17-24
14-23
23-28
23-28
9-20
12-14
18-14
17-17
16-15
20-31
10-21
13-7
6-20
20-17
4-30
16-15
23-24
10-11
17-8
25-22
13-15
15-16
15-15
13-21
15-18
17-18
15-25
15-23
141.3Avg total
63.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.372.0136.3-7.733%
Season at home (2)59.075.5134.5-16.50%
Season away (1)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)63.677.7141.3-14.110%
Last 5 (5)59.674.4134.0-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)61.777.4139.1-15.713%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#33
W
74-53
74
53
+21
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A04/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
51-79
51
79
-28
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
76-102
76
102
-26
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
46avg 63
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
80avg 63
A07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
23-14
16-17
14-15
18-20
14-21
19-14
15-16
11-20
22-17
9-15
13-21
27-22
11-26
21-22
14-14
9-25
7-31
22-10
13-13
29-24
13-27
14-16
18-26
22-22
17-22
24-30
13-28
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
20-23
31-10
15-18
17-17
145.6Avg total
68.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.373.7144.0-3.333%
Season at home (1)65.075.0140.0-10.00%
Season away (2)73.073.0146.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)68.077.6145.6-9.620%
Last 5 (5)72.283.2155.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.880.9149.6-12.112%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)74.365.7140.0+8.767%
This opponent (Finland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.1-4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.1-4.1
Finland WBulgaria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Finland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#8
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#19
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#19
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H27/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H12/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/11
European Championship Women
68.9Avg total
29.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)30.339.169.4-8.90%-
Last 30 at home (8)29.037.866.8-8.80%-
Last 30 away (7)31.740.772.4-9.00%-
Last 10 (10)29.639.368.9-9.70%-
Last 5 (5)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.339.169.4-8.90%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#33
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
16-56
16
56
-40
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A07/11
European Championship Women
76.5Avg total
36.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)35.837.773.5-1.846%-
Last 30 at home (6)37.235.772.8+1.550%-
Last 30 away (7)34.739.474.1-4.743%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.976.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.042.478.4-6.438%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.727.367.0+12.3100%-
This opponent (Finland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland W: 63.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.5%
45.4%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
30.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.07.3
52.4%
72.4%7.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.315.3
39.0%
45.4%30.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.7
30.8%
30.0%20.0
🏀 Free throws21.318.3
85.9%
72.4%18.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland W
LLWLLLLLLL
Bulgaria W
WLLLLLLLLW
#27
League position
#23
-9.1
Net rating
-5.2
82.7
Offensive rating
89.2
91.8
Defensive rating
94.3
46.7%
Effective FG%
41.5%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
23.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
17.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.9%
3-point %
30.8%
71.6%
Assist %
59.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence82.7 · 89.2Defence91.8 · 94.3Shooting46.7% · 41.5%3-point %26.9% · 30.8%Ball care23.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds20.0% · 17.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Finland W   ■ Bulgaria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Finland W wins
0
Bulgaria W wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Bulgaria W v Finland W65-75
Finland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HSlovenia W62-84
12/11/23HHungary W56-67
09/11/23ABulgaria W75-65
12/02/23HFrance W46-82
09/02/23AUkraine W59-74
27/11/22HLithuania W56-65
24/11/22AFrance W77-103
14/11/21HUkraine W71-77
11/11/21ALithuania W59-69
06/02/21HUkraine W75-91
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24AHungary W83-68
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
12/02/23HSerbia W76-102
27/11/22ACroatia W74-93
24/11/22ASerbia W51-79
11/11/21HCroatia W73-84
06/02/21HGreece W55-73
04/02/21ASlovenia W66-71
14/11/20HIceland W74-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game64.359.075.0
Allowed / game72.075.565.0
Point differential-7.7-16.5+10.0
Avg total136.3134.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game70.365.073.0
Allowed / game73.775.073.0
Point differential-3.3-10.0+0.0
Avg total144.0140.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W330100%88.349.7+38.7
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W330100%70.352.7+17.7
5 Luxembourg W330100%68.053.7+14.3
6 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
7 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
8 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
9 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
10 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
11 Germany W32167%72.362.3+10.0
12 Lithuania W32167%81.372.0+9.3
13 Montenegro W32167%75.067.3+7.7
14 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
15 Hungary W32167%68.363.3+5.0
16 Latvia W32167%73.369.0+4.3
17 Portugal W32167%60.062.0-2.0
18 Slovakia W32167%70.374.0-3.7
19 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
20 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
21 Greece W42250%68.566.5+2.0
22 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
23 Bulgaria W31233%70.373.7-3.3
24 Netherlands W31233%60.064.0-4.0
25 Switzerland W31233%63.367.7-4.3
26 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
27 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
28 Denmark W41325%67.567.5+0.0
29 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
30 Iceland W3030%68.377.3-9.0
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.383.0-17.7
32 Austria W3030%53.076.7-23.7
33 Czech Republic W3030%51.376.0-24.7
34 North Macedonia W3030%53.788.7-35.0
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W3030%47.0113.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland W2732121485
Bulgaria W217321272
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.