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Florida Atlantic vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-80
43-40 46-40
Position#162
Record6-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#207
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida Atlantic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Georgia
#614
W
99-49
99
49
+50
H09/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-20
48-29
36-46
58-54
47-49
50-48
39-42
28-25
34-39
52-39
28-32
35-43
22-34
39-29
52-40
26-40
40-39
48-38
37-31
48-32
162.5Avg total
84.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.876.5162.4+9.355%
Season at home (6)84.768.2152.8+16.567%
Season away (5)87.286.6173.8+0.640%
Last 10 (10)84.777.8162.5+6.950%
Last 5 (5)75.071.6146.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.074.5144.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.678.0162.6+6.664%
vs Weaker (16)83.476.9160.3+6.469%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-22
29-22
51-23
51-39
37-35
34-41
25-32
35-40
24-44
44-38
41-43
42-37
35-31
39-34
28-28
44-31
50-29
47-20
35-31
40-35
142.1Avg total
76.6Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.665.5142.1+11.170%
Season at home (6)80.061.3141.3+18.783%
Season away (4)71.571.8143.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.665.5142.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)80.263.8144.0+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.873.5140.2-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.968.2139.1+2.664%
vs Weaker (8)80.263.4143.6+16.975%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +6.8+6.8
Florida AtlanticTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Georgia
#614
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H09/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H21/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H22/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
38.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.734.472.1+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.030.668.6+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.576.7-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.275.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.271.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.537.070.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.536.075.5+3.564%-
vs Weaker (16)36.133.970.1+2.269%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.465.5+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.631.666.2+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)31.533.364.7-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.867.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.470.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.036.165.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.631.964.4+0.764%-
vs Weaker (8)37.929.867.6+8.175%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida Atlantic wins
0
Texas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HJacksonville Dolphins85-63
04/12/24AFlorida International88-77
30/11/24HFlorida Gulf Coast78-80
24/11/24ASeton Hall61-63
22/11/24HDrake63-75
21/11/24HOklahoma State86-78
16/11/24ALiberty77-74 OT
16/11/24ACharleston116-119 OT
13/11/24AUCF Knights94-100
09/11/24HCoastal Georgia99-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HRice75-66
05/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots97-49
01/12/24ATexas Southern72-59
25/11/24HOhio74-65
23/11/24APrinceton83-80
21/11/24HBradley68-82
16/11/24AAbilene Christian60-72
13/11/24ATCU71-76
09/11/24HMcMurry102-62
05/11/24HEastern Michigan64-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game85.884.787.2
Allowed / game76.568.286.6
Point differential+9.3+16.5+0.6
Avg total162.4152.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %18%0%40%
Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game76.680.071.5
Allowed / game65.561.371.8
Point differential+11.1+18.7-0.2
Avg total142.1141.3143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State108280%78.274.1+4.1
2 Memphis108280%81.177.1+4.0
3 Rice107370%70.366.3+4.0
4 North Texas96367%66.958.4+8.4
5 East Carolina117464%77.369.9+7.4
6 Temple95456%80.977.0+3.9
7 South Florida95456%77.176.6+0.6
8 Florida Atlantic116555%85.876.5+9.3
9 UAB105550%84.275.6+8.6
10 Charlotte84450%71.571.8-0.2
11 Tulane115645%73.867.3+6.5
12 UTSA Roadrunners94544%75.478.6-3.1
13 Tulsa104640%74.175.9-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State118373%77.670.4+7.3
2 Texas State107370%76.665.5+11.1
3 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
4 South Alabama96367%73.466.1+7.3
5 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
6 Troy95456%70.769.7+1.0
7 Georgia Southern116555%74.578.4-3.8
8 Marshall105550%76.773.8+2.9
9 Coastal Carolina105550%68.566.7+1.8
10 Georgia State94544%75.678.1-2.6
11 Southern Miss94544%75.478.7-3.2
12 Louisiana Monroe114736%73.571.1+2.4
13 Old Dominion103730%67.678.1-10.5
14 Louisiana Lafayette112918%66.378.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida Atlantic434689
Texas State404080
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