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Florida Gators W vs Bucknell W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-60
27-14 15-11 20-17 21-18
Position#126
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Florida Gators W 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ FLOR 95%■ BUCK 5%
Pythia win probability
Projected 77-57
Projected total 134.4
Bucknell W
USA
Position#312
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Florida Gators W will host the Bucknell W on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA Women competition, with the Gators the clear favourite as Pythia gives them a 95% chance of winning, a 5% chance for Bucknell, and projects a 77-57 score for the Gators; the model also predicts a 1% chance of overtime. Florida's last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent loss to Oklahoma 64-82 and a win over Mississippi St. 86-68, while Bucknell's recent five also feature two wins and three losses, including a loss to Colgate 47-57 and a win over Lehigh 57-45. The projected total points for the game are 134.4. The Gators' projected margin of victory aligns with the model's high confidence, and the game is expected to stay well above the 134.4 point line. The Gators' 77-point projection reflects their strong offensive output, while Bucknell's 57 points show their defensive resilience. The game will likely finish in regulation, with only a 1% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida Gators W winWon
95.4%fair 1.05
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bucknell W winLost
4.6%fair 21.89
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida Gators WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt W
#17
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A01/02
NCAA Women
Auburn W
#222
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H06/02
NCAA Women
Arkansas Razorbacks W
#266
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H08/02
NCAA Women
Oklahoma Sooners W
#43
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A13/02
NCAA Women
Mississippi St. W
#152
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A20/02
NCAA Women
Alabama W
#88
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H22/02
NCAA Women
Ole Miss W
#112
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H26/02
NCAA Women
Georgia W
#84
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A01/03
NCAA Women
Mississippi St. W
#152
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H04/03
NCAA Women
Oklahoma Sooners W
#43
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A05/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
15-15
12-32
20-25
7-11
18-15
22-12
14-15
19-17
14-12
21-16
21-24
19-15
18-11
20-28
17-27
24-14
19-16
11-13
17-13
14-17
18-21
26-16
13-22
16-17
24-20
15-13
19-17
9-18
14-17
10-19
25-17
21-11
25-19
26-16
14-22
22-22
16-18
7-27
19-15
140.5Avg total
70.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.070.5140.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)70.672.8143.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.079.6147.6-11.610%
vs Similar (7)73.464.6138.0+8.957%
vs Weaker (13)71.860.5132.3+11.277%
Bucknell WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University W
#282
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A31/01
NCAA Women
American University W
#340
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H04/02
NCAA Women
Colgate W
#347
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A07/02
NCAA Women
Navy W
#71
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A12/02
NCAA Women
Boston University W
#282
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H14/02
NCAA Women
American University W
#340
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A18/02
NCAA Women
Holy Cross W
#78
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A21/02
NCAA Women
Lehigh W
#185
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H28/02
NCAA Women
Army W
#45
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/03
NCAA Women
Colgate W
#347
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H07/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-13
10-9
13-13
13-9
9-10
14-13
22-13
11-21
11-7
11-3
17-10
2-20
9-12
17-17
15-17
16-21
16-7
13-20
9-20
13-11
7-12
21-11
17-11
8-15
14-14
6-21
13-13
13-15
14-12
11-6
19-12
11-16
12-10
13-15
7-15
4-23
11-5
21-13
11-16
105.0Avg total
51.3Scored
53.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)51.353.7105.0-2.450%
Last 5 (5)49.253.2102.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)48.164.1112.2-16.08%
vs Similar (10)53.157.6110.7-4.540%
vs Weaker (6)54.045.399.3+8.783%
Over/Under 126Actual: Over 126
Over 126
70.3%
Under 126
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Over 131
Over 131
58.5%
Under 131
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 136Actual: Over 136
Over 136
45.9%
Under 136
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Florida Gators W total 66.5Actual: Florida Gators W over 66.5
Over 66.5
86.0%
Under 66.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida Gators W total 70.5Actual: Florida Gators W over 70.5
Over 70.5
75.0%
Under 70.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida Gators W total 74.5Actual: Florida Gators W over 74.5
Over 74.5
60.6%
Under 74.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bucknell W total 56.5Actual: Bucknell W over 56.5
Over 56.5
52.9%
Under 56.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bucknell W total 60.5Actual: Bucknell W under 60.5
Over 60.5
37.1%
Under 60.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bucknell W total 64.5Actual: Bucknell W under 64.5
Over 64.5
23.3%
Under 64.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Florida Gators W -3Actual: Florida Gators W -3
FLOR -3
93.5%
BUCK +3
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
FLOR
No market prices yet.
BUCK
No market prices yet.
Spread Florida Gators W 0Actual: Florida Gators W 0
FLOR 0
95.4%
BUCK 0
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
FLOR
No market prices yet.
BUCK
No market prices yet.
Spread Florida Gators W +3Actual: Florida Gators W +3
FLOR +3
97.1%
BUCK -3
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
FLOR
No market prices yet.
BUCK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Florida Gators WBucknell W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Florida Gators WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt W
#17
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A01/02
NCAA Women
Auburn W
#222
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H06/02
NCAA Women
Arkansas Razorbacks W
#266
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/02
NCAA Women
Oklahoma Sooners W
#43
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A13/02
NCAA Women
Mississippi St. W
#152
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/02
NCAA Women
Alabama W
#88
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/02
NCAA Women
Ole Miss W
#112
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/02
NCAA Women
Georgia W
#84
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A01/03
NCAA Women
Mississippi St. W
#152
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H04/03
NCAA Women
Oklahoma Sooners W
#43
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/03
NCAA Women
66.7Avg total
35.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.466.3+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.130.867.9+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)32.132.264.2-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)35.131.666.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.071.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.535.769.2-2.230%-
vs Similar (7)38.433.672.0+4.957%-
vs Weaker (13)34.126.961.0+7.277%-
Bucknell WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University W
#282
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A31/01
NCAA Women
American University W
#340
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H04/02
NCAA Women
Colgate W
#347
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A07/02
NCAA Women
Navy W
#71
L
11-32
11
32
-21
A12/02
NCAA Women
Boston University W
#282
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H14/02
NCAA Women
American University W
#340
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A18/02
NCAA Women
Holy Cross W
#78
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A21/02
NCAA Women
Lehigh W
#185
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H28/02
NCAA Women
Army W
#45
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H04/03
NCAA Women
Colgate W
#347
L
15-28
15
28
-13
H07/03
NCAA Women
50.2Avg total
23.3Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)24.426.951.3-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)25.323.749.0+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)23.530.153.6-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)23.326.950.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)21.426.648.0-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)20.130.650.7-10.58%-
vs Similar (10)29.726.756.4+3.060%-
vs Weaker (6)20.822.543.3-1.733%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida Gators W wins
0
Bucknell W wins
No previous meetings.
Florida Gators Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AOklahoma Sooners W64-82
04/03/26HMississippi St. W86-68
01/03/26AGeorgia W58-71
26/02/26HOle Miss W74-67
22/02/26HAlabama W71-76
20/02/26AMississippi St. W71-56
13/02/26AOklahoma Sooners W74-81
08/02/26HArkansas Razorbacks W75-69
06/02/26HAuburn W61-53
01/02/26AVanderbilt W66-82
Bucknell Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HColgate W47-57
04/03/26HArmy W43-56
28/02/26HLehigh W57-45
21/02/26AHoly Cross W41-63
18/02/26AAmerican University W58-45
14/02/26HBoston University W54-68
12/02/26ANavy W43-66
07/02/26AColgate W50-41
04/02/26HAmerican University W58-45
31/01/26ABoston University W62-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida Gators W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bucknell W
NCAA Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMKC W110100%120.040.0+80.0
2 Yale Bulldogs W110100%111.038.0+73.0
3 Louisville W110100%119.047.0+72.0
4 Oakland W110100%104.032.0+72.0
5 South Carolina State W110100%112.042.0+70.0
6 Longwood W110100%96.027.0+69.0
7 Utah Tech W110100%107.039.0+68.0
8 UConn W110100%100.035.0+65.0
9 Detroit Titans W110100%94.030.0+64.0
10 George Washington W110100%84.023.0+61.0
11 Samford Bulldogs W110100%102.042.0+60.0
12 Vanderbilt W110100%112.053.0+59.0
13 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%95.037.0+58.0
14 Morgan State W110100%103.047.0+56.0
15 Tulane Green Wave W110100%92.038.0+54.0
16 Bryant University W110100%75.025.0+50.0
17 Charleston W110100%92.043.0+49.0
18 Montana State W110100%82.038.0+44.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%80.038.0+42.0
20 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%81.040.0+41.0
21 William & Mary W110100%89.048.0+41.0
22 Georgia W110100%92.053.0+39.0
23 Butler W110100%108.071.0+37.0
24 Boise State W110100%84.048.0+36.0
25 Stony Brook W110100%73.039.0+34.0
26 USC Trojans W110100%100.068.0+32.0
27 Kennesaw State W110100%72.042.0+30.0
28 NC State W110100%80.050.0+30.0
29 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%81.054.0+27.0
30 South Florida W110100%80.054.0+26.0
31 Southern Mississippi W110100%85.059.0+26.0
32 Idaho Vandals W110100%71.047.0+24.0
33 Notre Dame W110100%99.075.0+24.0
34 UMass Lowell W110100%77.053.0+24.0
35 Iona W110100%76.054.0+22.0
36 Clemson W110100%68.047.0+21.0
37 UCLA W110100%73.053.0+20.0
38 Washington W110100%79.063.0+16.0
39 Georgia Tech W110100%80.065.0+15.0
40 Stanford Cardinal W110100%84.069.0+15.0
41 Coastal Carolina W110100%68.054.0+14.0
42 Mcneese State W110100%65.053.0+12.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%91.079.0+12.0
44 Houston Cougars W110100%73.065.0+8.0
45 South Carolina W110100%101.093.0+8.0
46 Wake Forest W110100%65.058.0+7.0
47 Columbia W110100%71.065.0+6.0
48 Old Dominion W110100%62.058.0+4.0
49 Cleveland State W110100%62.061.0+1.0
50 Seattle U Redhawks W110100%63.062.0+1.0
51 Virginia State W110100%63.062.0+1.0
52 New Mexico W1010%62.063.0-1.0
53 Norfolk State W1010%62.063.0-1.0
54 Penn State W1010%61.062.0-1.0
55 Central Michigan W1010%58.062.0-4.0
56 Davidson W1010%65.071.0-6.0
57 South Carolina Upstate W1010%58.065.0-7.0
58 Hampton W1010%65.073.0-8.0
59 Maryland W1010%93.0101.0-8.0
60 North Carolina W1010%79.091.0-12.0
61 Texas A&M-Kingsville W1010%53.065.0-12.0
62 Western Michigan W1010%54.068.0-14.0
63 Arizona Wildcats W1010%69.084.0-15.0
64 Hofstra W1010%65.080.0-15.0
65 UC San Diego Tritons W1010%63.079.0-16.0
66 Lehigh W1010%53.073.0-20.0
67 Radford W1010%47.068.0-21.0
68 Dominican Chargers W1010%54.076.0-22.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%53.077.0-24.0
70 St. Martin's W1010%47.071.0-24.0
71 Villanova W1010%75.099.0-24.0
72 Furman Paladins W1010%54.080.0-26.0
73 Mississippi Christian W1010%59.085.0-26.0
74 San Jose State W1010%54.081.0-27.0
75 Shorter W1010%42.072.0-30.0
76 Wofford W1010%50.080.0-30.0
77 UNLV Lady Rebels W1010%68.0100.0-32.0
78 Molloy W1010%39.073.0-34.0
79 Bushnell W1010%48.084.0-36.0
80 Tennessee Tech W1010%71.0108.0-37.0
81 West Georgia W1010%53.092.0-39.0
82 Chowan W1010%48.089.0-41.0
83 Oklahoma Christian W1010%40.081.0-41.0
84 Alcorn State W1010%38.080.0-42.0
85 Black Hills W1010%38.082.0-44.0
86 Berry Vikings W1010%43.092.0-49.0
87 MIT Engineers W1010%25.075.0-50.0
88 Texas W1010%38.092.0-54.0
89 Washington Adventist W1010%47.0103.0-56.0
90 Lafayette W1010%37.095.0-58.0
91 Lipscomb Bisons W1010%53.0112.0-59.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%42.0102.0-60.0
93 District of Columbia W1010%23.084.0-61.0
94 Michigan-Dearborn W1010%30.094.0-64.0
95 Cornell W1010%35.0100.0-65.0
96 Life Pacific W1010%39.0107.0-68.0
97 Apprentice Builders W1010%27.096.0-69.0
98 Trinity College of Jacksonville W1010%42.0112.0-70.0
99 Bellarmine W1010%47.0119.0-72.0
100 Cleary University W1010%32.0104.0-72.0
101 Elms College W1010%38.0111.0-73.0
102 Baker Wildcats W1010%40.0120.0-80.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 102 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Florida Gators W2715202183
Bucknell W1411171860
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