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Fos-sur-Mer vs Denain-Voltaire Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 75-83
Projected total 157.7
Scheduled
Position#20
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.0
Fos-sur-Mer
France
Vs
24%
76%
■ FSM 24%■ DENA 76%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Denain-Voltaire
France
Position#1
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game78.7
FrancePro BRound 11· Palais des Sports Pierre Ratte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Denain-Voltaire
20 Nov 2026
FSM v DENA
upcoming
05 Nov 2024
FSM74
DENA72
12 Apr 2024
FSM71
DENA75
20 Apr 2021
FSM83
DENA89
27 Mar 2020
FSM v DENA
upcoming
19 Dec 2017
FSM79
DENA70
18 Nov 2016
FSM75
DENA71
15 Jan 2016
FSM84
DENA63
06 Feb 2015
FSM91
DENA92
24 Jan 2014
FSM86
DENA71
07 Dec 2012
FSM90
DENA62
06 Apr 2012
FSM88
DENA64
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 20 November 2026 in the Pro B competition, Fos-sur-Mer hosts Denain-Voltaire, with the Pythia model designating the latter as favourite because its 6-3 record, 86.3 points per game and 78.7 allowed per game place it first in the league, whereas Fos-sur-Mer's 2-7 record, 72.0 points per game and 80.0 allowed per game sit at twentieth; the model gives Denain-Voltaire a 76% chance to win against Fos-sur-Mer's 24%. Fos-sur-Mer has struggled all season, winning only two of nine games and averaging 72.0 points while conceding 80.0, and at home they are 2-3 with 73.6 points for and 76.2 against; their last five games included a 73-80 loss to Chalons-Reims, a 74-78 defeat away to Levallois and a 74-63 home victory over St. Chamond. Denain-Voltaire, meanwhile, has won six of nine, scoring 86.3 and allowing 78.7, and on the road they are 2-2 with 84.5 points for and 81.5 against; their recent five games feature a 96-72 win over Nantes, a 73-85 loss away to La Rochelle and an 83-86 defeat at home to Caen. In head-to-head history Denain-Voltaire has won seven of ten meetings, most recently defeating Fos-sur-Mer 105-62 on 24 January 2025. The Pythia model projects a 75-83 score, a total of 157.7 points, and assigns a 24% probability that Fos-sur-Mer will win and a 76% probability that Denain-Voltaire will win, with a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer win
24.1%fair 4.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denain-Voltaire win
75.9%fair 1.32
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 62
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 62
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 62
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 62
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 62
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
50-72
50
72
-22
38avg 62
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 62
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-14
16-16
10-21
25-22
22-21
16-17
13-22
17-25
14-26
20-18
26-26
20-25
18-25
22-25
19-19
19-22
20-28
24-7
15-19
22-18
11-23
18-20
16-19
14-16
10-15
8-21
18-20
21-18
14-17
22-14
17-14
22-12
17-19
14-26
21-21
22-15
17-22
22-24
12-19
150.8Avg total
71.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.080.0152.0-8.022%
Season at home (5)73.676.2149.8-2.640%
Season away (4)70.084.8154.8-14.80%
Last 10 (10)71.779.1150.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)67.674.6142.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.584.4157.9-11.017%
vs Similar (5)73.474.4147.8-1.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denain-Voltaire) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denain-VoltaireFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenain-Voltaire
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
60-62
60
62
-2
49avg 77
H19/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
75avg 77
H25/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
80-55
80
55
+25
81avg 77
A02/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 77
H09/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-77
95
77
+18
88avg 77
H16/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
79avg 77
A20/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
W
103-95
103
95
+8
102avg 77
A24/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 77
H30/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Caen
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
14-20
12-16
18-14
19-24
30-12
19-18
19-22
22-16
16-12
23-15
19-12
25-10
9-26
14-19
30-16
27-23
26-12
20-21
22-21
15-22
26-16
17-29
24-24
22-27
20-24
26-27
35-17
22-16
26-30
24-16
24-10
12-27
23-21
19-17
19-20
17-23
19-24
20-20
27-19
160.7Avg total
83.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.378.7165.0+7.767%
Season at home (5)87.876.4164.2+11.480%
Season away (4)84.581.5166.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)83.777.0160.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)87.485.8173.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)78.281.4159.7-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.576.2161.7+9.375%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
40.2%
Under 161.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
29.1%
Under 166.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
19.8%
Under 171.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Fos-sur-Mer total 80.5
Over 80.5
28.8%
Under 80.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fos-sur-Mer total 84.5
Over 84.5
17.5%
Under 84.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fos-sur-Mer total 88.5
Over 88.5
9.7%
Under 88.5
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denain-Voltaire total 78
Over 78
69.0%
Under 78
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denain-Voltaire total 82
Over 82
53.4%
Under 82
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denain-Voltaire total 86
Over 86
37.1%
Under 86
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fos-sur-Mer -3
FSM -3
17.5%
DENA +3
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
FSM
No market prices yet.
DENA
No market prices yet.
Spread Fos-sur-Mer 0
FSM 0
24.1%
DENA 0
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
FSM
No market prices yet.
DENA
No market prices yet.
Spread Fos-sur-Mer +3
FSM +3
31.2%
DENA -3
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
FSM
No market prices yet.
DENA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +6.2+6.2
Fos-sur-MerDenain-Voltaire
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/11
Pro B
77.1Avg total
36.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.377.0-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.439.977.4-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)33.642.976.5-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.377.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.542.277.7-6.721%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denain-Voltaire) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denain-VoltaireLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H19/05
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H25/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A02/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H16/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A20/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A24/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H30/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A06/11
Pro B
Caen
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H13/11
Pro B
80.3Avg total
40.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.081.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.940.380.2-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)39.143.982.9-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.780.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.086.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (16)38.541.980.4-3.431%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.340.781.0-0.350%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.2
47.1%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.5
29.4%
33.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
74.0%16.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denain-Voltairetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denain-Voltaire: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.0
57.6%
53.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.8
33.2%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.1
73.6%
74.0%13.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLLWLLLL
Denain-Voltaire
LLWWLWWWWL
#20
League position
#1
-7.1
Net rating
+9.5
87.9
Offensive rating
96.5
95.0
Defensive rating
87.0
46.0%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.4%
3-point %
33.2%
63.4%
Assist %
58.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 96.5Defence95.0 · 87.0Shooting46.0% · 54.4%3-point %29.4% · 33.2%Ball care17.6% · 16.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Denain-Voltaire
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fos-sur-Mer wins
7
Denain-Voltaire wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Denain-Voltaire v Fos-sur-Mer105-62
05/11/24Fos-sur-Mer v Denain-Voltaire74-72
12/04/24Fos-sur-Mer v Denain-Voltaire71-75
12/01/24Denain-Voltaire v Fos-sur-Mer74-70
20/04/21Fos-sur-Mer v Denain-Voltaire83-89
31/01/21Denain-Voltaire v Fos-sur-Mer73-77
15/11/19Denain-Voltaire v Fos-sur-Mer87-70
30/03/18Denain-Voltaire v Fos-sur-Mer82-73
19/12/17Fos-sur-Mer v Denain-Voltaire79-70
07/03/17Denain-Voltaire v Fos-sur-Mer80-73
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HChalons-Reims73-80
06/11/26ALevallois74-78
30/10/26HSt. Chamond74-63
24/10/26AQuimper50-72
21/10/26HPoitiers67-80
16/10/26HAntibes78-76
09/10/26ALe Havre79-94
02/10/26AEvreux77-95
25/09/26HHyeres-Toulon76-82
13/09/25HHyeres-Toulon69-71
Denain-Voltairelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCaen83-86
06/11/26ALa Rochelle73-85
30/10/26HNantes96-72
24/10/26ALe Havre103-95
20/10/26AAntibes82-91
16/10/26HAix Maurienne95-77
09/10/26HLevallois78-71
02/10/26AChalons-Reims80-55
25/09/26HAda Blois87-76
19/05/26HChalons-Reims60-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game72.073.670.0
Allowed / game80.076.284.8
Point differential-8.0-2.6-14.8
Avg total152.0149.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denain-Voltaire
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game86.387.884.5
Allowed / game78.776.481.5
Point differential+7.7+11.4+3.0
Avg total165.0164.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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