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Fos-sur-Mer vs St. Chamond Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-63
21-18 14-17 22-14 17-14
Position#19
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game83.2
Fos-sur-Mer 🏆
France
Vs
33%
67%
■ FSM 33%■ ST. 67%
Pythia win probability
Projected 78-83
Projected total 160.4
St. Chamond
France
Position#12
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game88.2
FrancePro BRound 7· Palais des Sports Pierre Ratte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond
30 Oct 2026
FSM74
ST. 63
06 Dec 2024
FSM65
ST. 82
02 Mar 2024
FSM86
ST. 78
23 Jan 2021
FSM101
ST. 73
13 Dec 2019
FSM73
ST. 77
15 Oct 2019
FSM83
ST. 60
04 May 2018
FSM83
ST. 77
29 Apr 2017
FSM74
ST. 67
08 Apr 2016
FSM64
ST. 63
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Fos-sur-Mer host St. Chamond in the Pro B. Pythia makes St. Chamond the favourite at 67% and projects 78-83, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Fos-sur-Mer are 1-5 this season (71.2 scored, 83.2 allowed a game), form LLWLL; St. Chamond are 3-3 this season (87.3 scored, 88.2 allowed a game), form LWWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
33.2%fair 3.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Chamond winLost
66.8%fair 1.50
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
H03/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A07/05
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H13/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 61
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 61
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#11
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 61
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 61
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 61
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#7
L
50-72
50
72
-22
38avg 61
A24/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
20-20
21-28
23-15
18-29
24-20
21-21
21-13
19-24
15-20
18-19
25-14
25-20
18-14
16-16
10-21
25-22
22-21
16-17
13-22
17-25
14-26
20-18
26-26
20-25
18-25
22-25
19-19
19-22
20-28
24-7
15-19
22-18
11-23
18-20
16-19
14-16
10-15
8-21
18-20
155.5Avg total
74.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.283.2154.3-12.017%
Season at home (3)73.779.3153.0-5.733%
Season away (3)68.787.0155.7-18.30%
Last 10 (10)74.281.3155.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)70.283.4153.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.884.5158.4-10.721%
vs Similar (5)74.678.6153.2-4.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Chamond) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. ChamondFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChamond
Date
Competition
Nantes
#6
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 76
A01/05
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
90avg 76
A05/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 76
H08/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 76
A15/05
Pro B
Le Havre
#11
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 76
A25/09
Pro B
Caen
#14
L
111-115 OT
111
115
-4
106avg 76
H02/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#20
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 76
A09/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
87avg 76
H16/10
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 76
A20/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 76
H23/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
14-26
26-19
20-24
23-20
22-18
15-17
22-27
24-16
16-24
23-28
16-25
21-12
13-27
18-22
24-26
15-15
17-20
27-24
18-31
18-22
25-22
21-20
28-28
30-23
18-21
22-22
14-15
16-16
16-25
27-17
20-21
21-28
16-15
25-17
23-16
24-18
15-15
21-17
18-31
173.0Avg total
83.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.388.2175.5-0.850%
Season at home (3)92.794.0186.7-1.333%
Season away (3)82.082.3164.3-0.367%
Last 10 (10)83.789.3173.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)89.487.8177.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.885.5159.2-11.80%
vs Similar (20)81.083.0164.0-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.278.5169.7+12.783%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160
Over 160
50.3%
Under 160
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165Actual: Under 165
Over 165
38.1%
Under 165
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170
Over 170
27.2%
Under 170
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Fos-sur-Mer total 79.5Actual: Fos-sur-Mer under 79.5
Over 79.5
42.8%
Under 79.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fos-sur-Mer total 83.5Actual: Fos-sur-Mer under 83.5
Over 83.5
28.6%
Under 83.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fos-sur-Mer total 87.5Actual: Fos-sur-Mer under 87.5
Over 87.5
17.4%
Under 87.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 77.5Actual: St. Chamond under 77.5
Over 77.5
69.4%
Under 77.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 81.5Actual: St. Chamond under 81.5
Over 81.5
54.5%
Under 81.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 85.5Actual: St. Chamond under 85.5
Over 85.5
39.0%
Under 85.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fos-sur-Mer -3Actual: Fos-sur-Mer -3
FSM -3
25.1%
ST. +3
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
FSM
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Fos-sur-Mer 0Actual: Fos-sur-Mer 0
FSM 0
33.2%
ST. 0
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
FSM
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Fos-sur-Mer +3Actual: Fos-sur-Mer +3
FSM +3
41.5%
ST. -3
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
FSM
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
Fos-sur-MerSt. Chamond
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/05
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H13/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#7
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/10
Pro B
79.2Avg total
36.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.141.577.6-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.240.178.4-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)33.743.076.7-9.37%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.677.6-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.942.578.3-6.617%-
vs Similar (5)36.038.274.2-2.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Chamond) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. ChamondLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nantes
#6
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A01/05
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H08/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/05
Pro B
Le Havre
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/09
Pro B
Caen
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H02/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A09/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/10
Pro B
ASA
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/10
Pro B
77.6Avg total
37.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.978.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.979.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)34.942.977.9-8.013%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.277.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.040.874.8-6.80%-
vs Similar (20)37.840.678.4-2.835%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.242.083.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.4
48.3%
53.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.4
28.4%
33.4%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
74.0%15.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
St. Chamondtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Chamond: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
53.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.218.4
73.0%
74.0%18.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLLLLWWL
St. Chamond
LWWWLLLLLL
#19
League position
#12
-9.5
Net rating
-6.1
88.8
Offensive rating
91.3
98.3
Defensive rating
97.4
46.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.4%
3-point %
35.3%
65.9%
Assist %
76.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence88.8 · 91.3Defence98.3 · 97.4Shooting46.3% · 50.9%3-point %28.4% · 35.3%Ball care18.1% · 18.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ St. Chamond
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fos-sur-Mer wins
4
St. Chamond wins
DateGameScore
07/05/25St. Chamond v Fos-sur-Mer83-84
06/12/24Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond65-82
02/03/24Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond86-78
01/12/23St. Chamond v Fos-sur-Mer97-76
18/05/21St. Chamond v Fos-sur-Mer79-73
23/01/21Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond101-73
13/12/19Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond73-77
15/10/19Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond83-60
04/05/18Fos-sur-Mer v St. Chamond83-77
19/01/18St. Chamond v Fos-sur-Mer57-73
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AQuimper50-72
21/10/26HPoitiers67-80
16/10/26HAntibes78-76
09/10/26ALe Havre79-94
02/10/26AEvreux77-95
25/09/26HHyeres-Toulon76-82
13/09/25HHyeres-Toulon69-71
13/05/25HRoanne85-82 OT
07/05/25ASt. Chamond84-83
03/05/25HPoitiers77-78
St. Chamondlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HChalons-Reims78-81
20/10/26AASA85-76
16/10/26HEvreux89-86 OT
09/10/26ALa Rochelle84-81
02/10/26HCaen111-115 OT
25/09/26ALe Havre77-90
15/05/26ALa Rochelle76-87
08/05/26HRoanne79-93
05/05/26AOrleans88-96 OT
01/05/26ANantes70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game71.273.768.7
Allowed / game83.279.387.0
Point differential-12.0-5.7-18.3
Avg total154.3153.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Chamond
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.392.782.0
Allowed / game88.294.082.3
Point differential-0.8-1.3-0.3
Avg total175.5186.7164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %33%67%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire76186%88.776.7+12.0
2 Chalons-Reims75271%82.080.6+1.4
3 Quimper64267%79.372.2+7.2
4 Poitiers64267%85.580.3+5.2
5 Antibes64267%84.782.5+2.2
6 Evreux74357%85.986.3-0.4
7 Nantes74357%81.982.7-0.9
8 Hyeres-Toulon74357%85.486.6-1.1
9 Ada Blois63350%92.788.3+4.3
10 Orleans63350%85.383.3+2.0
11 Caen63350%87.086.5+0.5
12 St. Chamond63350%87.388.2-0.8
13 Vichy63350%87.288.0-0.8
14 Aix Maurienne63350%83.587.7-4.2
15 Le Havre73443%90.787.1+3.6
16 Levallois73443%82.184.6-2.4
17 Rouen72529%83.788.9-5.1
18 La Rochelle61517%86.089.7-3.7
19 ASA61517%80.788.7-8.0
20 Fos-sur-Mer61517%71.283.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer2114221774
St. Chamond1817141463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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