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FUS Rabat (Mar) vs Al Ahly Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-77 (OT)
10-10 14-14 14-22 19-11 14-20
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Al Ahly 🏆
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeBAL· Salle Moulay Abdellah
Other2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FUS Rabat (Mar) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FUS Rabat (Mar)Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form(Mar)
Date
Competition
Stade Malien (Mli)
#12
W
92-72
92
72
+20
no box
H08/04
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
H10/04
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A12/04
BAL
Al Ittihad Alexandria (Egy)
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
no box
A13/04
BAL
Kriol Star
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 73
A06/06
BAL
Al Ittihad Alexandria (Egy)
#2
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
76avg 73
A08/06
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
85-55
85
55
+30
71avg 73
A24/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
95avg 73
A26/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
66-67
66
67
-1
61avg 73
H29/04
BAL
Club Africain
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 73
H02/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
16-29
21-19
26-12
19-20
17-11
22-22
13-26
18-15
22-16
17-17
20-19
19-17
11-30
11-26
33-25
20-19
22-22
26-21
20-29
14-16
20-25
16-15
24-18
20-8
25-13
18-21
22-13
23-19
23-16
25-21
26-16
11-21
21-16
22-16
12-14
20-21
15-18
18-20
18-9
155.9Avg total
80.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.865.5145.2+14.275%
Season at home (2)68.567.5136.0+1.050%
Season away (2)91.063.5154.5+27.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.475.5155.9+4.950%
Last 5 (5)80.469.6150.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.385.0157.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.078.0155.0-1.025%
vs Weaker (12)79.567.6147.1+11.975%
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhlyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhly
Date
Competition
Al Ahly Benghazi
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A26/04
BAL
Bangui
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
no box
H27/04
BAL
Cape Town
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H24/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H24/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
A29/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
L
94-107
94
107
-13
no box
A01/06
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 75
A25/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 75
A26/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 75
H29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 75
A01/05
BAL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
17-24
27-18
18-13
28-15
25-17
21-21
20-18
21-25
26-16
25-17
15-18
19-22
30-19
15-17
14-31
27-21
21-16
8-23
17-13
24-26
28-14
23-35
19-32
18-17
11-23
19-16
20-13
15-12
27-20
15-21
19-19
29-23
23-24
18-19
19-14
37-16
11-17
20-14
17-18
163.5Avg total
84.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.571.5151.0+8.075%
Season at home (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)76.368.7145.0+7.767%
Last 10 (10)84.778.8163.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)82.478.6161.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.377.3150.7-4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.486.3173.7+1.157%
vs Weaker (20)82.272.4154.6+9.885%
This opponent (FUS Rabat (Mar)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
FUS Rabat (Mar)Al Ahly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FUS Rabat (Mar)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stade Malien (Mli)
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/04
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/04
BAL
Stade Malien (Mli)
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/04
BAL
Al Ittihad Alexandria (Egy)
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A13/04
BAL
Kriol Star
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A06/06
BAL
Al Ittihad Alexandria (Egy)
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/06
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A24/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/04
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/05
BAL
74.9Avg total
38.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)38.538.376.8+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (8)36.038.674.6-2.638%-
Last 30 away (10)40.538.078.5+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.474.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.673.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.741.772.3-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.841.879.5-4.025%-
vs Weaker (11)40.936.177.0+4.873%-
This opponent (Al Ahly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhlyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahly Benghazi
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/04
BAL
Bangui
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H27/04
BAL
Cape Town
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/05
BAL
FUS Rabat (Mar)
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H24/05
BAL
Rivers Hoopers
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A29/05
BAL
Petro Atletico
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A01/06
BAL
Club Africain
#6
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/04
BAL
Ville de Dakar
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/04
BAL
Maktown Flyers (Nga)
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H29/04
BAL
JCA Kings (Ivo)
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A01/05
BAL
85.0Avg total
46.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.379.7+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.036.980.9+7.186%-
Last 30 away (16)41.037.778.7+3.362%-
Last 10 (10)46.238.885.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.483.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.738.775.3-2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.640.686.1+5.071%-
vs Weaker (20)42.136.078.1+6.275%-
This opponent (FUS Rabat (Mar)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FUS Rabat (Mar)their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FUS Rabat (Mar): 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.5
48.0%
50.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.7
36.2%
29.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.89.2
58.2%
67.5%9.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahly: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.1
54.0%
50.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.4
30.5%
29.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.114.3
67.8%
67.5%14.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FUS Rabat (Mar)
WLWWLLLWLW
Al Ahly
WWWLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+5.7
95.1
Offensive rating
96.8
90.5
Defensive rating
91.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.2%
3-point %
30.5%
65.9%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 96.8Defence90.5 · 91.1Shooting50.4% · 50.7%3-point %36.2% · 30.5%Ball care16.0% · 18.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ FUS Rabat (Mar)   ■ Al Ahly
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FUS Rabat (Mar) wins
0
Al Ahly wins
DateGameScore
24/05/24Al Ahly v FUS Rabat (Mar)78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HClub Africain71-68
29/04/26HVille de Dakar66-67
26/04/26AMaktown Flyers (Nga)97-72
24/04/26AJCA Kings (Ivo)85-55
08/06/25AAl Ittihad Alexandria (Egy)83-86 OT
06/06/25AKriol Star88-91
13/04/25AAl Ittihad Alexandria (Egy)74-98
12/04/25AStade Malien (Mli)77-67
10/04/25HRivers Hoopers71-79
08/04/25HStade Malien (Mli)92-72
Al Ahlylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26AJCA Kings (Ivo)85-65
29/04/26HMaktown Flyers (Nga)89-80
26/04/26AVille de Dakar76-72
25/04/26AClub Africain68-69
01/06/24APetro Atletico94-107
29/05/24ARivers Hoopers89-83 OT
24/05/24HFUS Rabat (Mar)78-89
24/05/24HCape Town87-76
27/04/24HBangui94-71
26/04/24AAl Ahly Benghazi87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FUS Rabat (Mar)
BAL 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game79.868.591.0
Allowed / game65.567.563.5
Point differential+14.2+1.0+27.5
Avg total145.2136.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahly
BAL 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game79.589.076.3
Allowed / game71.580.068.7
Point differential+8.0+9.0+7.7
Avg total151.0169.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Petro Atletico54180%96.875.6+21.2
2 RSSB Tigers (Rwa)54180%96.691.0+5.6
3 Club Africain54180%77.473.8+3.6
4 FUS Rabat (Mar)43175%79.865.5+14.2
5 Al Ahly43175%79.571.5+8.0
6 Al Ahly Benghazi53260%104.091.2+12.8
7 Ville de Dakar53260%76.072.8+3.2
8 Dar City (Tan)52340%90.895.4-4.6
9 Nairobi City Thunder52340%81.490.2-8.8
10 Maktown Flyers (Nga)51420%73.483.8-10.4
11 JCA Kings (Ivo)5050%67.481.6-14.2
12 Joburg Giants (Rsa)5050%71.497.6-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
FUS Rabat (Mar)101414191471
Al Ahly101422112077
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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