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Geelong W vs Albury W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2019
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 82-62
21-20 28-10 18-17 15-15
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game63.3
Geelong W 🏆
Australia
vs
Albury W
Australia
Position#11
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game70.2
AustraliaNBL 1 W
Women2019
Meetings · Geelong W v Albury W
11 May 2019
GEEL82
ALBU62
05 Aug 2017
GEEL104
ALBU53
21 May 2016
GEEL83
ALBU64
25 Apr 2015
GEEL88
ALBU47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Albury W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#7
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H19/08
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#2
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A26/08
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H02/09
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#6
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H29/03
NBL 1 W
Knox W
#4
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H06/04
NBL 1 W
Frankston W
#10
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/04
NBL 1 W
Eltham W
#9
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H20/04
NBL 1 W
BA CoE W
#15
W
97-49
97
49
+48
A25/04
NBL 1 W
Kilsyth W
#3
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H27/04
NBL 1 W
Waverley W
#8
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A05/05
NBL 1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
18-10
11-14
14-12
12-10
11-11
17-10
22-12
12-21
14-19
25-12
25-15
12-18
23-16
15-10
13-10
16-14
29-22
20-23
15-21
17-13
14-11
20-21
13-20
26-20
19-10
23-15
28-15
31-3
21-20
22-11
23-15
29-27
11-13
19-15
24-17
17-8
24-13
25-20
17-13
139.2Avg total
78.2Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.963.3146.1+19.686%
Season at home (4)84.068.8152.8+15.2100%
Season away (3)81.356.0137.3+25.367%
Last 10 (10)78.261.0139.2+17.290%
Last 5 (5)84.660.0144.6+24.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)83.072.0155.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)78.662.3140.9+16.283%
This opponent (Albury W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Albury WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H14/07
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A22/07
SEABL Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A23/07
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#2
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H29/07
SEABL Women
Geelong W
#1
L
53-104
53
104
-51
A05/08
SEABL Women
Waverley W
#8
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/03
NBL 1 W
Ringwood W
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H06/04
NBL 1 W
Diamond Valley W
#18
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H13/04
NBL 1 W
BA CoE W
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H27/04
NBL 1 W
Ballarat W
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H04/05
NBL 1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
14-23
17-15
14-14
15-16
24-19
13-22
15-7
15-22
12-32
17-15
12-6
14-13
21-17
5-13
13-19
17-28
13-25
15-28
8-23
20-18
15-15
18-15
11-10
15-20
20-15
14-20
20-24
24-18
17-26
26-23
25-14
26-19
15-12
21-6
21-28
18-18
15-19
19-19
24-12
140.9Avg total
68.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.870.2147.0+6.680%
Season at home (4)80.073.2153.2+6.875%
Season away (1)64.058.0122.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.172.8140.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)76.870.2147.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)61.473.9135.3-12.514%
vs Similar (6)72.775.0147.7-2.350%
vs Weaker (2)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
Geelong WAlbury W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H19/08
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#2
W
23-21
23
21
+2
A26/08
SEABL Women
Bendigo W
#4
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H02/09
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H29/03
NBL 1 W
Knox W
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
NBL 1 W
Frankston W
#10
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A12/04
NBL 1 W
Eltham W
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H20/04
NBL 1 W
BA CoE W
#15
W
52-23
52
23
+29
A25/04
NBL 1 W
Kilsyth W
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/04
NBL 1 W
Waverley W
#8
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A05/05
NBL 1 W
67.7Avg total
37.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.531.169.6+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.032.373.3+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)35.929.965.9+6.067%-
Last 10 (10)37.730.067.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.827.669.4+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.430.869.2+7.672%-
This opponent (Albury W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Albury WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/07
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/07
SEABL Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
SEABL Women
Kilsyth W
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H29/07
SEABL Women
Geelong W
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A05/08
SEABL Women
Waverley W
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/03
NBL 1 W
Ringwood W
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/04
NBL 1 W
Diamond Valley W
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H13/04
NBL 1 W
BA CoE W
#15
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/04
NBL 1 W
Ballarat W
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/05
NBL 1 W
74.8Avg total
35.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.738.170.8-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.937.172.0-2.129%-
Last 30 away (13)29.739.569.2-9.823%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.574.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.938.869.7-7.923%-
vs Similar (6)36.335.872.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.578.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Geelong W wins
0
Albury W wins
DateGameScore
05/08/17Geelong W v Albury W104-53
21/04/17Albury W v Geelong W59-71
21/05/16Geelong W v Albury W83-64
07/05/16Albury W v Geelong W64-85
13/06/15Albury W v Geelong W49-102
25/04/15Geelong W v Albury W88-47
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/19AWaverley W83-54
27/04/19HKilsyth W83-72
25/04/19ABA CoE W97-49
20/04/19HEltham W96-60
12/04/19AFrankston W64-65
06/04/19HKnox W94-89 OT
29/03/19HNunawading W63-54
02/09/17HBendigo W76-67
26/08/17AKilsyth W62-43
19/08/17HSydney W64-57
Albury Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/19HBallarat W76-68
27/04/19HBA CoE W83-65
13/04/19HDiamond Valley W92-81
06/04/19HRingwood W69-79
31/03/19AWaverley W64-58
05/08/17AGeelong W53-104
29/07/17HKilsyth W53-62
23/07/17ABallarat W56-75
22/07/17ANunawading W67-64
14/07/17HBallarat W68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL 1 W 2019
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game82.984.081.3
Allowed / game63.368.856.0
Point differential+19.6+15.2+25.3
Avg total146.1152.8137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Albury W
NBL 1 W 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game76.880.064.0
Allowed / game70.273.258.0
Point differential+6.6+6.8+6.0
Avg total147.0153.2122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W770100%82.367.7+14.6
2 Southside W87188%80.867.6+13.1
3 Geelong W76186%82.963.3+19.6
4 Ringwood W65183%79.270.5+8.7
5 Albury W54180%76.870.2+6.6
6 Nunawading W75271%81.375.6+5.7
7 Knox W64267%90.580.7+9.8
8 Eltham W74357%75.482.0-6.6
9 Hobart Huskies W84450%82.079.1+2.9
10 Melbourne Tigers W84450%67.171.9-4.8
11 Kilsyth W73443%75.469.3+6.1
12 Frankston W72529%75.980.1-4.3
13 Sandringham W72529%70.681.3-10.7
14 Launceston W72529%82.193.3-11.1
15 Waverley W61517%70.575.7-5.2
16 Diamond Valley W71614%74.083.6-9.6
17 Ballarat W5050%70.884.2-13.4
18 BA CoE W7070%58.781.9-23.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W2128181582
Albury W2010171562
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