Geneve W will host Baden W in the SB League W on 7 November 2026, a contest where the balance is razor-thin as the two sides sit only a single win apart in the standings, 5-2 for Geneve and 6-1 for Baden, and the model gives Geneve a 51% edge over Baden's 49%. Geneve has averaged 87.9 points while conceding 68.4, and on home soil they have posted 96.0 points for 75.0 allowed in three games, winning two and losing one, with a 4-1 record in their last five. Their recent outings include a 99-50 win over Pully W at home, a 75-50 victory away against Alte Kanti Aarau W, and a 87-94 loss to Fribourg W at home. Baden, meanwhile, averages 89.1 points and 64.7 allowed overall, and they are unbeaten on the road with a 3-0 record, scoring 90.3 and allowing 61.7 in those three matches; their last five also feature four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 93-66 home win over Helios VS W, a 98-73 away win against BBC Troistorrents W, and a 107-50 home victory over Pully W. In head-to-head history Baden leads 4-2, most recently beating Geneve 91-80 on 6 March 2026. The Pythia model projects a 78-78 score, a total of 156.3 points, a 1.5-point home line with a 54% chance of Geneve covering, and a 155.5 total line with a 51% chance of the over, while the chance of overtime sits at 5%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 87.9 | 68.4 | 156.3 | +19.4 | 71% |
| Season at home (3) | 96.0 | 75.0 | 171.0 | +21.0 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 81.8 | 63.5 | 145.2 | +18.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.0 | 71.0 | 156.0 | +14.0 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.0 | 68.8 | 159.8 | +22.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 74.6 | 88.5 | 163.1 | -13.9 | 10% |
| vs Similar (3) | 77.3 | 88.7 | 166.0 | -11.3 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 88.0 | 63.6 | 151.6 | +24.4 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 89.1 | 64.7 | 153.9 | +24.4 | 86% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.2 | 67.0 | 155.2 | +21.2 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 90.3 | 61.7 | 152.0 | +28.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.3 | 69.9 | 156.2 | +16.4 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.6 | 65.4 | 160.0 | +29.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 71.6 | 83.8 | 155.4 | -12.1 | 12% |
| vs Similar (8) | 81.4 | 74.8 | 156.1 | +6.6 | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 85.9 | 62.3 | 148.2 | +23.6 | 93% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.4 | 39.1 | 81.4 | +3.3 | 57% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.5 | 37.6 | 81.1 | +5.9 | 60% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.3 | 40.5 | 81.8 | +0.7 | 53% | 73% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.2 | 37.5 | 80.7 | +5.7 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 33.2 | 79.0 | +12.6 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 39.1 | 46.2 | 85.3 | -7.1 | 20% | 90% |
| vs Similar (3) | 38.3 | 44.7 | 83.0 | -6.3 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 45.0 | 33.9 | 78.9 | +11.1 | 88% | 59% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.3 | 37.6 | 79.9 | +4.7 | 70% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.2 | 36.8 | 79.0 | +5.5 | 75% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.3 | 38.6 | 80.9 | +3.7 | 64% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.0 | 35.5 | 77.5 | +6.5 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 33.0 | 75.6 | +9.6 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 38.6 | 44.0 | 82.6 | -5.4 | 38% | 75% |
| vs Similar (8) | 41.6 | 37.0 | 78.6 | +4.6 | 75% | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 44.7 | 34.3 | 79.0 | +10.4 | 86% | 57% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geneve W +6 | 70.5% | 2.08 | 2.08 | - | - | - | - | +25.8pp | Lost |
| Geneve W +7 | 73.7% | 1.90 | 1.91 | 1.88 | - | - | - | +24.8pp | Push |
| Geneve W +6.5 | 71.5% | 1.93 | 2.00 | 1.99 | 1.97 | 1.84 | 1.83 | +24.7pp | Lost |
| Geneve W +8 | 76.7% | 1.74 | 1.75 | 1.73 | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Geneve W +7.5 | 74.5% | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.74 | - | +23.4pp | Won |
| Geneve W +9 | 79.4% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +22.9pp | Won |
| Geneve W +8.5 | 77.3% | 1.65 | 1.69 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +22.4pp | Won |
| Geneve W +9.5 | 79.9% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +21.9pp | Won |
| Geneve W +10.5 | 82.3% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| Geneve W +11.5 | 84.4% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +18.8pp | Won |
| Geneve W +12.5 | 86.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +17.4pp | Won |
| Geneve W over 72.5 | 70.9% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Won |
| Geneve W over 71.5 | 74.2% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Geneve W over 70.5 | 77.2% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Geneve W over 69.5 | 80.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Geneve W over 68.5 | 82.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Baden W under 84.5 | 73.5% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Baden W under 83.5 | 70.3% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Baden W under 85.5 | 76.6% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Baden W under 86.5 | 79.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Baden W under 87.5 | 82.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.7 | 22.9 | 48.8% | 45.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.3 | 7.8 | 29.8% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.0 | 12.2 | 68.3% | 12.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 50.3 | 28.0 | 48.8% | 56.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 16.9 | 5.3 | 29.8% | 15.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.5 | 14.2 | 68.3% | 14.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 | Baden W v Geneve W | 91-80 |
| 04/01/26 | Baden W v Geneve W | 82-92 |
| 11/10/25 | Geneve W v Baden W | 60-93 |
| 22/02/25 | Baden W v Geneve W | 73-75 |
| 19/01/25 | Geneve W v Baden W | 90-103 |
| 02/11/24 | Baden W v Geneve W | 97-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Pully W | 99-50 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Alte Kanti Aarau W | 75-50 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Fribourg W | 87-94 OT |
| 11/10/26 | A | GC Zurich W | 92-69 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Helios VS W | 102-81 |
| 04/10/26 | A | BBC Troistorrents W | 90-50 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Saarlouis W | 56-77 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Nyon W | 70-85 |
| 24/09/26 | H | Saarlouis W | 75-109 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Pully W | 104-45 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Helios VS W | 93-66 |
| 24/10/26 | A | BBC Troistorrents W | 98-73 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Pully W | 107-50 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Nyon W | 77-82 |
| 06/10/26 | A | GC Zurich W | 98-56 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Fribourg W | 76-70 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Alte Kanti Aarau W | 75-56 |
| 03/04/26 | H | Nyon W | 76-89 |
| 01/04/26 | A | Nyon W | 84-90 |
| 28/03/26 | H | BBC Troistorrents W | 79-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 71% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LWWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Points / game | 87.9 | 96.0 | 81.8 |
| Allowed / game | 68.4 | 75.0 | 63.5 |
| Point differential | +19.4 | +21.0 | +18.2 |
| Avg total | 156.3 | 171.0 | 145.2 |
| Over 157 | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 86% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.1 | 88.2 | 90.3 |
| Allowed / game | 64.7 | 67.0 | 61.7 |
| Point differential | +24.4 | +21.2 | +28.7 |
| Avg total | 153.9 | 155.2 | 152.0 |
| Over 157 | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 89.8 | 68.4 | +21.4 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 88.2 | 68.0 | +20.2 | |
| 3 | Baden W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 89.1 | 64.7 | +24.4 |
| 4 | Geneve W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 87.9 | 68.4 | +19.4 |
| 5 | GC Zurich W | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 71.1 | 81.4 | -10.3 |
| 6 | Helios VS W | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.1 | 87.0 | -6.9 |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 67.7 | 81.3 | -13.6 | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 62.0 | 74.0 | -12.0 | |
| 9 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0% | 54.6 | 97.2 | -42.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geneve W | 16 | 15 | 18 | 24 | 73 |
| Baden W | 15 | 26 | 21 | 18 | 80 |
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