George Washington faces Hampton on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Colonials the clear favourite with a 98% chance of winning, reflecting their 1-0 season record, 91.0 points scored per game and only 39.0 allowed per game, while the Pirates sit at 0-1, 55.0 points for and 75.0 against. George Washington has won its only game at home 91-39, and its last five contests include three wins and two losses, with a recent 91-39 victory over Navy at home; Hampton's single road loss was 55-75 to Georgia Tech. The teams have split their two meetings, the most recent being a 82-54 win for George Washington. Pythia projects a 86-61 score, 146.7 total points, and a 74% probability that the Colonials cover the -17.5 line; the over on the 145.5 total has a 53% chance, and the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The Colonials' dominant season numbers and the Pirates' early struggles suggest a decisive win for George Washington.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
George Washington winWon
97.9%fair 1.02
Best odds1.04
Implied92.7%
Edge+5.2pp
Hampton winLost
2.1%fair 48.24
Best odds15.50
Implied7.3%
Edge-5.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (George Washington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142Actual: Under 142
Over 142
61.7%
@ 1.41-4.0pp
Under 142
38.3%
@ 2.70+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 147 · main lineActual: Under 147
Over 147
49.2%
@ 1.91-0.6pp
Under 147
50.8%
@ 1.95+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
36.7%
@ 2.50-0.8pp
Under 152
63.3%
@ 1.50+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
George Washington total 79Actual: George Washington under 79
Over 79
75.9%
Under 79
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
George Washington total 83 · main lineActual: George Washington under 83
Over 83
61.1%
@ 1.85+10.8pp
Under 83
38.9%
@ 1.87-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
George Washington total 87Actual: George Washington under 87
Over 87
44.4%
Under 87
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hampton total 60Actual: Hampton over 60
Over 60
54.1%
Under 60
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hampton total 64 · main lineActual: Hampton under 64
Over 64
37.6%
@ 1.86-12.4pp
Under 64
62.4%
@ 1.87+12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Hampton total 68Actual: Hampton under 68
Over 68
23.2%
Under 68
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread George Washington -21.5Actual: Hampton +21.5
GEOR -21.5
61.0%
@ 2.22+19.1pp
HAMP +21.5
39.0%
@ 1.60-19.1pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
HAMP
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Spread George Washington -18.5 · main lineActual: Hampton +18.5
GEOR -18.5
70.7%
@ 1.91+20.3pp
HAMP +18.5
29.3%
@ 2.00-20.3pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
HAMP
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.94
Marathon Be
1.93
Betano
1.91
Spread George Washington -15.5Actual: Hampton +15.5
GEOR -15.5
79.0%
@ 1.52+18.0pp
HAMP +15.5
21.0%
@ 2.40-18.0pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
HAMP
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
George WashingtonHampton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (George Washington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Hampton win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.19
HAMP win
no forecast
@ 4.80
2nd half Spread George Washington -8.5 · main lineActual: Hampton +8.5
GEOR -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
HAMP +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: George Washington (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.21
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
HAMP
no forecast
@ 4.70
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
George Washington -18.5
70.7%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
+20.3pp
Lost
George Washington -18
72.8%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.71
Bet365
1.71
+19.9pp
Lost
George Washington -16
78.4%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+18.7pp
Lost
George Washington -17.5
73.6%
1.70
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.67
+18.5pp
Lost
George Washington -17
75.7%
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.64
-
+18.4pp
Lost
George Washington -15.5
79.0%
1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Lost
George Washington -14.5
81.4%
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+17.5pp
Lost
George Washington -15
80.9%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+17.5pp
Lost
George Washington -16.5
76.4%
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.71
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
+17.3pp
Lost
George Washington -13.5
83.6%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
George Washington -14
83.2%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Push
George Washington -12.5
85.6%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
George Washington -13
85.3%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Won
George Washington -12
87.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
George Washington -11.5
87.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Won
George Washington -11
88.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
George Washington -10.5
89.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
George Washington -9.5
90.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+11.6pp
Won
Hampton under 66.5
71.1%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
George Washington -8.5
91.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+11.3pp
Won
Hampton under 68.5
77.5%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Won
Hampton under 67.5
74.4%
1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
George Washington over 79.5
73.4%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Lost
George Washington over 80.5
70.0%
1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
George Washington over 78.5
76.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Lost
Hampton under 69.5
80.4%
1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
George Washington (regulation)
97.5%
1.04
1xBet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.02
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
George Washington over 76.5
82.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Lost
George Washington -3.5
96.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
George Washington over 74.5
87.1%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
George Washington +1.5
98.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
George Washington -4.5
95.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
George Washington over 73.5
89.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Hampton under 71.5
85.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
George Washington +6.5
99.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Hampton under 73.5
89.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
George Washington win
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Marathon Bet
1.01
+5.2pp
Won
Hampton under 74.5
91.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Hampton under 77.5
94.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Hampton under 75.5
92.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 172.5
94.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
George Washington under 102.5
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
George Washington under 100.5
93.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Over 122.5
93.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Under 167.5
90.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Under 155
70.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
George Washington under 98.5
90.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Under 155.5
70.9%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Under 157.5
75.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Over 127.5
88.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Under 162.5
83.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
George Washington under 96.5
86.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Hampton over 47.5
91.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Hampton over 49.5
87.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
George Washington under 94.5
81.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Over 132.5
81.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
George Washington under 93.5
78.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Over 137.5
71.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Lost
George Washington under 92.5
75.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-5.0pp
Won
Hampton over 51.5
83.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.6pp
Won
Hampton over 53.5
77.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-9.7pp
Won
Hampton over 54.5
74.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.2pp
Won
Hampton over 55.5
71.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-11.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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