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Georgetown vs Navy Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 77-65
Projected total 142.7
Scheduled
Position#69
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game72.0
Vs
86%
14%
■ GEOR 86%■ NAVY 14%
Pythia win probability
Position#85
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Georgetown v Navy
18 Nov 2026
GEOR v NAVY
upcoming
01 Dec 2020
GEOR71
NAVY78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Georgetown faces Navy on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Georgetown as the favourite at 86% versus 14% for Navy, reflecting Georgetown's perfect 3-0 record, 83.0 points per game and 70.0 allowed per game, while Navy sits 3-1 with 72.0 points per game and 68.2 allowed. Georgetown's home form is flawless, 3-0 at home with the same averages, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 83-78 win over Delaware State, an 86-74 victory over Maryland and an 80-58 triumph over Loyola Maryland. Navy's road record is 0-1, having scored 39.0 points and allowed 91.0 in their sole away outing, but they have won three of their last five games, notably a 81-76 win over Penn, a 102-46 rout of Central Penn and a 66-60 win over Delaware State. In the single meeting between the sides, Navy won 78-71 on 1 December 2020. Pythia projects a 77-65 score for Georgetown, a total of 142.7 points, and a 3% chance of overtime, with Georgetown covering the spread in 86% of the simulations.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgetown win
85.6%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Navy win
14.4%fair 6.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeorgetownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A28/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A12/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A13/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A14/03
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H02/11
NCAA
Maryland
#275
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Clemson
#131
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
45-53
34-26
35-46
43-34
37-45
21-24
42-32
35-31
43-33
21-32
30-35
44-20
36-38
44-28
42-46
33-43
50-35
47-32
38-46
147.6Avg total
75.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.572.0155.5+11.5100%
Season at home (3)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.971.7147.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)77.071.0148.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.272.3137.5-7.19%
vs Similar (15)75.373.5148.8+1.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.569.2155.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Navy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NavyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Army
#318
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A26/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H08/03
NCAA
George Washington
#23
L
39-91
39
91
-52
A03/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H06/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#501
W
102-46
102
46
+56
H08/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Hampton
#313
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-27
38-36
43-25
35-26
47-40
38-29
36-39
38-30
35-36
37-37
24-44
15-47
32-29
34-31
52-14
50-32
36-34
45-42
28-28
30-28
139.0Avg total
73.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.265.8135.0+3.480%
Season at home (4)76.859.5136.2+17.2100%
Season away (1)39.091.0130.0-52.00%
Last 10 (10)73.665.4139.0+8.280%
Last 5 (5)69.265.8135.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.091.0130.0-52.00%
vs Similar (1)66.060.0126.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (26)74.463.0137.3+11.488%
This opponent (Georgetown) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
38.9%
Under 147
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
27.6%
Under 152
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
18.3%
Under 157
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Georgetown total 80.5
Over 80.5
37.8%
Under 80.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgetown total 84.5
Over 84.5
23.7%
Under 84.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgetown total 88.5
Over 88.5
13.2%
Under 88.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Navy total 64
Over 64
54.7%
Under 64
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Navy total 68
Over 68
38.5%
Under 68
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Navy total 72
Over 72
24.3%
Under 72
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Georgetown -3
GEOR -3
80.7%
NAVY +3
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
No market prices yet.
NAVY
No market prices yet.
Spread Georgetown 0
GEOR 0
85.6%
NAVY 0
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
No market prices yet.
NAVY
No market prices yet.
Spread Georgetown +3
GEOR +3
90.2%
NAVY -3
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
No market prices yet.
NAVY
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +2.2+2.2
GeorgetownNavy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
GeorgetownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A13/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A14/03
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H02/11
NCAA
Maryland
#275
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H10/11
NCAA
Clemson
#131
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A13/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.569.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.233.771.9+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)33.033.366.3-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.866.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.068.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.433.666.0-1.336%-
vs Similar (15)35.934.670.5+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.529.072.5+14.575%-
This opponent (Navy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NavyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Army
#318
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A26/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
George Washington
#23
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A03/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#305
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#501
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H08/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Hampton
#313
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H14/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
37.6Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.628.863.4+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.729.766.4+7.174%-
Last 30 away (11)30.927.358.2+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.669.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.864.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)24.044.068.0-20.00%-
vs Similar (1)32.029.061.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)34.429.463.8+5.073%-
This opponent (Georgetown) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgetown wins
1
Navy wins
DateGameScore
01/12/20Georgetown v Navy71-78
Georgetownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AClemson85-78
10/11/26HDelaware State83-78
08/11/26HMaryland86-74
02/11/26HLoyola Maryland80-58
14/03/26AUconn51-67
13/03/26AVillanova78-64
12/03/26ADePaul63-56
08/03/26HProvidence80-79
04/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)69-72
28/02/26AXavier84-91
Navylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHampton58-56
11/11/26HPenn81-76
08/11/26HCentral Penn102-46
06/11/26HDelaware State66-60
03/11/26AGeorge Washington39-91
08/03/26HBoston University72-73
06/03/26HBucknell74-69
28/02/26HColgate85-69
26/02/26ALoyola Maryland78-51
21/02/26AArmy81-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgetown
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.583.085.0
Allowed / game72.070.078.0
Point differential+11.5+13.0+7.0
Avg total155.5153.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Navy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game69.276.839.0
Allowed / game65.859.591.0
Point differential+3.4+17.2-52.0
Avg total135.0136.2130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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