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Germany vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-96
24-27 27-19 20-19 20-31
Position#17
Record7-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Spain 🏆
Position#1
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - Semi-finals
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A20/08
DBB Supercup
Sweden
#33
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A25/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H28/08
World Cup
France
#7
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A01/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
W
109-107 OT
109
107
+2
A04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
106-71
106
71
+35
A07/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
H13/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
18-14
10-27
15-18
25-9
21-20
8-13
13-8
17-20
16-11
28-15
29-25
17-13
21-18
19-12
19-20
18-20
24-27
28-11
22-24
19-19
27-22
20-24
23-24
14-21
22-23
19-17
25-27
22-19
32-20
27-19
25-13
19-10
29-14
19-26
18-29
31-27
26-34
26-10
24-25
165.8Avg total
86.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.882.1167.8+3.754%
Season at home (7)86.082.4168.4+3.657%
Season away (6)85.581.7167.2+3.850%
Last 10 (10)86.879.0165.8+7.880%
Last 5 (5)97.488.2185.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.884.4156.2-12.620%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.956%
vs Weaker (16)83.774.5158.2+9.281%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A07/07
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H24/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A27/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#36
W
114-87
114
87
+27
H01/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
90-64
90
64
+26
A03/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H04/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A06/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
W
102-94 OT
102
94
+8
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H13/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-20
17-21
20-16
26-15
25-13
18-17
18-12
17-24
23-8
28-18
18-14
28-17
29-18
32-31
25-21
18-16
22-15
31-16
19-17
11-15
22-17
21-25
19-26
27-17
26-14
14-17
15-17
17-18
21-16
18-16
16-19
19-20
21-25
23-23
20-15
19-30
24-22
30-15
27-23
163.2Avg total
88.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.276.9164.2+10.377%
Season at home (7)90.078.3168.3+11.771%
Season away (6)84.075.3159.3+8.783%
Last 10 (10)88.374.9163.2+13.490%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.581.8171.2+7.875%
vs Similar (2)70.071.5141.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.272.1158.4+14.188%
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
GermanySpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/08
DBB Supercup
Sweden
#33
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A25/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/08
World Cup
France
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H13/09
EuroBasket
81.6Avg total
43.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.879.6+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.082.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.577.0+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.581.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.890.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
vs Similar (9)41.843.184.9-1.322%-
vs Weaker (16)41.235.877.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/07
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H24/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A27/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#36
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A06/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/09
EuroBasket
79.4Avg total
43.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.234.176.3+8.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.834.376.1+7.672%-
Last 30 away (12)42.833.876.6+8.983%-
Last 10 (10)43.535.979.4+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.880.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.036.577.5+4.575%-
vs Similar (2)31.531.563.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.333.977.2+9.479%-
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany wins
0
Spain wins
No previous meetings.
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/22HGreece107-96
10/09/22HMontenegro85-79
07/09/22AHungary106-71
06/09/22HSlovenia80-88
04/09/22ALithuania109-107 OT
03/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina92-82
01/09/22AFrance76-63
28/08/22HSlovenia90-71
25/08/22ASweden67-50
20/08/22ASerbia56-83
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/22HFinland100-90
10/09/22HLithuania102-94 OT
07/09/22ATurkey72-69
06/09/22AMontenegro82-65
04/09/22HBelgium73-83
03/09/22AGeorgia90-64
01/09/22HBulgaria114-87
27/08/22ANetherlands86-64
24/08/22HIceland87-57
07/07/22AUkraine77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game85.886.085.5
Allowed / game82.182.481.7
Point differential+3.7+3.6+3.8
Avg total167.8168.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Spain
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game87.290.084.0
Allowed / game76.978.375.3
Point differential+10.3+11.7+8.7
Avg total164.2168.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain1310377%87.276.9+10.3
2 Greece1310377%85.080.5+4.5
3 Serbia129375%88.976.0+12.9
4 France1410471%80.174.9+5.2
5 Slovenia139469%85.379.1+6.2
6 Belgium1611569%79.472.7+6.7
7 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
8 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
9 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
10 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
11 Italy138562%84.579.2+5.3
12 Croatia127558%78.273.5+4.7
13 Ukraine127558%79.775.3+4.3
14 Great Britain1911858%75.775.7-0.1
15 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
16 Poland148657%79.681.1-1.4
17 Germany137654%85.882.1+3.7
18 Finland137654%81.881.0+0.8
19 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
20 Lithuania126650%85.582.5+3.0
21 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Turkey126650%78.477.7+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro126650%74.976.5-1.6
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Czech Republic124833%82.188.2-6.1
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany2427202091
Spain2719193196
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