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Germany W vs Italy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 53-70
8-21 19-15 12-12 14-22
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game41.0
Germany W
vs
Italy W 🏆
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Edel-optics.de Arena
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#3
L
44-69
44
69
-25
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#25
W
92-61
92
61
+31
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 96
A09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
10-12
13-15
12-20
30-15
14-22
24-12
24-12
16-11
7-16
15-16
12-15
14-17
18-13
10-15
24-17
15-19
14-19
18-6
15-17
21-19
23-17
17-12
18-21
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
128.8Avg total
65.3Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.041.0126.0+44.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.041.0126.0+44.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.363.5128.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)67.864.8132.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)56.170.4126.5-14.225%
vs Similar (3)70.766.3137.0+4.3100%
vs Weaker (9)83.257.8141.0+25.478%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Luxembourg W
#29
W
82-48
82
48
+34
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
78-29
78
29
+49
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
109-51
109
51
+58
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
49-63
49
63
-14
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
76-67
76
67
+9
72avg 72
H09/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
17-12
18-15
24-7
25-10
26-12
19-4
8-3
19-9
23-15
24-18
15-18
24-13
25-12
25-18
35-8
19-21
17-12
20-18
23-12
17-17
16-15
17-11
8-18
30-18
17-13
20-14
21-23
22-26
17-17
15-11
10-18
8-22
14-13
9-13
18-15
24-10
15-21
14-17
23-19
134.6Avg total
76.4Scored
58.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.067.0143.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)76.067.0143.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.458.2134.6+18.270%
Last 5 (5)67.066.2133.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.579.0151.5-6.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)76.060.7136.7+15.379%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
Germany WItaly W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#3
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#25
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A12/02
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H15/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
64.5Avg total
31.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)33.033.866.8-0.835%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.334.367.5-1.027%-
Last 30 away (9)32.733.165.8-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.464.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.666.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)25.133.858.9-8.612%-
vs Similar (3)34.035.769.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker (9)39.733.172.8+6.656%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg W
#29
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H24/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/06
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A16/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H09/11
European Championship Women
70.0Avg total
39.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)38.930.869.6+8.176%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.028.066.0+10.082%-
Last 30 away (10)39.833.873.6+6.070%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.270.0+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.829.868.6+9.179%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.016.0
61.5%
45.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.011.0
42.3%
30.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.018.0
81.8%
72.4%18.0
They take 52.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy W: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws3.0 pts a game · 4% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
45.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.0
36.7%
30.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws6.03.0
50.0%
72.4%3.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany W
WLWLWWWLWL
Italy W
WLLWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#6
+55.7
Net rating
+16.2
110.0
Offensive rating
112.0
54.3
Defensive rating
95.8
62.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
25.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
29.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
41.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.08
42.3%
3-point %
36.7%
81.5%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 112.0Defence54.3 · 95.8Shooting62.5% · 51.4%3-point %42.3% · 36.7%Ball care29.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 41.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.08Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Germany W   ■ Italy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany W wins
0
Italy W wins
No previous meetings.
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
20/06/23HSlovakia W79-69
18/06/23HGreat Britain W62-61
16/06/23ASlovenia W66-62
15/06/23HFrance W50-58
12/02/23ABosnia & Herzegovina W92-61
09/02/23HBelgium W44-69
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HGreece W76-67
19/06/23AMontenegro W49-63
18/06/23ABelgium W64-72
16/06/23AIsrael W88-68
15/06/23HCzech Republic W58-61
12/02/23ASwitzerland W79-63
09/02/23ALuxembourg W109-51
27/11/22HSlovakia W81-60
24/11/22HSwitzerland W78-29
14/11/21HLuxembourg W82-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game41.0-41.0
Point differential+44.0-+44.0
Avg total126.0-126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Italy W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany W110100%85.041.0+44.0
2 Serbia W110100%82.040.0+42.0
3 Turkey W110100%75.040.0+35.0
4 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
5 France W110100%71.049.0+22.0
6 Montenegro W110100%91.070.0+21.0
7 Lithuania W220100%87.067.5+19.5
8 Netherlands W110100%64.045.0+19.0
9 Hungary W220100%68.553.5+15.0
10 Portugal W220100%71.557.5+14.0
11 Luxembourg W220100%66.556.0+10.5
12 Italy W110100%76.067.0+9.0
13 Sweden W220100%70.065.5+4.5
14 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
15 Great Britain W21150%72.554.5+18.0
16 Denmark W21150%75.064.5+10.5
17 Poland W21150%70.068.5+1.5
18 Greece W21150%71.071.0+0.0
19 Finland W21150%65.566.0-0.5
20 Romania W21150%79.581.5-2.0
21 Slovakia W21150%66.576.0-9.5
22 Croatia W1010%65.070.0-5.0
23 Switzerland W1010%48.056.0-8.0
24 Bulgaria W1010%65.075.0-10.0
25 Iceland W1010%70.082.0-12.0
26 North Macedonia W1010%52.065.0-13.0
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W2020%67.084.0-17.0
28 Slovenia W1010%51.070.0-19.0
29 Latvia W1010%49.071.0-22.0
30 Czech Republic W2020%53.580.0-26.5
31 Ukraine W2020%51.580.0-28.5
32 Austria W2020%39.569.5-30.0
33 Estonia W2020%49.082.0-33.0
34 Azerbaijan W2020%45.0117.5-72.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany W819121453
Italy W2115122270
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