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Greece vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 63-53
18-18 16-5 14-16 15-14
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game73.0
Greece 🏆
vs
Position#37
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· Dimitris Tofalos Arena
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
A26/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#33
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 71
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 71
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 71
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 71
A21/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
24-15
9-19
16-15
19-14
27-19
20-27
26-11
15-20
17-23
18-11
33-20
20-20
23-19
15-25
9-28
14-19
16-17
12-14
27-23
12-15
20-16
21-19
19-14
16-12
16-27
30-19
12-14
26-16
15-17
10-18
21-22
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
149.8Avg total
75.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.673.0150.6+4.680%
Season at home (2)74.565.5140.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)79.778.0157.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.674.2149.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)77.673.0150.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.481.7158.1-5.343%
vs Similar (14)81.276.6157.8+4.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.076.4163.4+10.689%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#34
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
56-72
56
72
-16
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
69avg 64
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 64
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 64
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
68avg 64
H21/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
20-22
18-28
18-12
21-28
14-31
21-19
21-18
21-21
22-22
16-18
13-23
19-17
23-18
20-31
18-22
17-18
14-16
8-23
17-15
23-28
18-27
25-16
28-27
12-16
27-16
19-30
14-12
21-21
24-25
16-30
13-20
25-10
12-17
17-14
23-29
14-20
15-11
21-18
19-24
157.7Avg total
73.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.282.2159.4-5.020%
Season at home (3)72.772.3145.0+0.333%
Season away (2)84.097.0181.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)73.883.9157.7-10.110%
Last 5 (5)77.282.2159.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)71.179.1150.2-8.015%
vs Similar (3)80.788.0168.7-7.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
GreeceNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Jordan
#37
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H30/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A01/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#33
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
72.4Avg total
36.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.777.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.337.074.3+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)41.538.279.8+3.359%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.972.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.071.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.338.774.0-3.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.137.478.5+3.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.937.478.3+3.467%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#34
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H11/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A26/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
78.3Avg total
37.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.376.7-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.476.7-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)35.741.176.8-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.078.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.139.977.0-2.830%-
vs Similar (3)30.743.374.0-12.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.8
46.8%
50.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.9%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
71.4%15.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.6
51.6%
50.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
71.4%15.0
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WWLWWLLWWL
Netherlands
LWLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#37
+5.5
Net rating
-6.1
100.3
Offensive rating
101.5
94.8
Defensive rating
107.6
46.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
24.4%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.9%
3-point %
36.7%
67.9%
Assist %
76.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 101.5Defence94.8 · 107.6Shooting46.6% · 53.1%3-point %30.9% · 36.7%Ball care18.2% · 24.4%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Greece   ■ Netherlands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Greece wins
0
Netherlands wins
DateGameScore
26/02/24Netherlands v Greece72-74
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
21/11/24AGreat Britain72-73
26/02/24ANetherlands74-72
23/02/24HCzech Republic72-64
03/09/23HMontenegro69-73
01/09/23ALithuania67-92
30/08/23HNew Zealand83-74
26/08/23AJordan92-71
27/02/23ALatvia57-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25HGreat Britain69-73
24/11/24HCzech Republic77-70
21/11/24ACzech Republic74-96
26/02/24HGreece72-74
23/02/24AGreat Britain94-98
26/02/23AUkraine56-72
23/02/23HGeorgia80-88
14/11/22ASpain72-84
11/11/22HUkraine77-96
08/09/22AFinland67-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.674.579.7
Allowed / game73.065.578.0
Point differential+4.6+9.0+1.7
Avg total150.6140.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Netherlands
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game77.272.784.0
Allowed / game82.272.397.0
Point differential-5.0+0.3-13.0
Avg total159.4145.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia660100%81.862.7+19.2
2 France550100%78.066.8+11.2
3 Latvia660100%79.269.3+9.8
4 Lithuania65183%80.365.2+15.2
5 Israel65183%82.276.3+5.8
6 Greece54180%77.673.0+4.6
7 Croatia1612475%85.871.1+14.7
8 Germany64267%81.370.5+10.8
9 Italy64267%81.072.0+9.0
10 Estonia64267%77.773.5+4.2
11 Slovenia64267%81.778.5+3.2
12 Bulgaria1610662%79.275.8+3.4
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%91.476.2+15.2
14 Great Britain53260%78.680.4-1.8
15 Portugal127558%80.475.2+5.2
16 North Macedonia127558%74.471.2+3.2
17 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
18 Belgium63350%72.265.8+6.3
19 Montenegro63350%81.780.7+1.0
20 Turkey63350%77.877.8+0.0
21 Georgia63350%69.870.2-0.3
22 Spain63350%68.869.2-0.3
23 Slovakia168850%72.072.9-0.9
24 Poland126650%76.377.4-1.1
25 Iceland63350%76.378.0-1.7
26 Sweden63350%75.280.2-5.0
27 Denmark2091145%73.873.5+0.3
28 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
29 Czech Republic52340%81.879.6+2.2
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Finland62433%79.285.8-6.7
35 Hungary62433%71.278.5-7.3
36 Netherlands51420%77.282.2-5.0
37 Ukraine61517%76.280.7-4.5
38 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
39 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
40 Cyprus181176%63.783.6-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece1816141563
Netherlands185161453
← all games of the day
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