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Greece W vs Turkey W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 72-83
21-17 14-26 24-19 13-21
Position#22
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game71.4
Greece W
vs
Turkey W 🏆
Position#5
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game60.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 61
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
56-45
56
45
+11
52avg 61
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
66-81
66
81
-15
63avg 61
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 61
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
87-65
87
65
+22
90avg 61
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
56-92
56
92
-36
44avg 61
A19/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
9-15
22-20
11-21
22-22
20-19
19-20
15-18
10-24
21-15
17-14
19-23
18-11
19-23
24-18
14-14
19-19
16-20
18-19
23-21
23-20
10-8
9-7
14-10
21-15
16-19
14-20
15-27
16-20
10-17
13-11
25-19
19-19
27-13
18-12
23-21
17-21
20-23
10-20
9-28
140.9Avg total
68.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.471.4139.8-3.038%
Season at home (4)70.560.8131.2+9.875%
Season away (4)66.282.0148.2-15.80%
Last 10 (10)68.372.6140.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)65.870.0135.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.772.9137.6-8.225%
vs Similar (11)70.567.0137.5+3.555%
vs Weaker (7)76.062.4138.4+13.671%
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turkey WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
75-40
75
40
+35
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
101-54
101
54
+47
110avg 82
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
65-50
65
50
+15
62avg 82
A10/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
83-76
83
76
+7
81avg 82
H06/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
99-61
99
61
+38
98avg 82
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
61avg 82
H18/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
91-67
91
67
+24
102avg 82
A19/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
13-16
16-17
27-17
15-21
16-19
14-18
21-22
19-8
24-12
10-6
22-14
20-17
19-9
18-24
15-15
25-16
33-15
20-10
23-13
19-9
13-9
19-20
14-12
22-15
16-18
26-23
19-20
23-12
21-17
30-14
25-18
23-22
21-14
10-12
15-23
27-13
24-21
17-19
23-14
142.2Avg total
79.0Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.960.5142.4+21.488%
Season at home (4)82.060.2142.2+21.875%
Season away (4)81.860.8142.5+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.063.2142.2+15.880%
Last 5 (5)81.465.0146.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.966.1127.0-5.212%
vs Similar (8)65.661.2126.9+4.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.461.8146.2+22.686%
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
Greece WTurkey W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A19/06
European Championship Women
71.4Avg total
35.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.967.7-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.530.965.4+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.937.069.9-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.371.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.037.367.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (11)34.931.966.8+3.064%-
vs Weaker (7)38.331.369.6+7.057%-
This opponent (Turkey W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turkey WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#15
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A16/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H09/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A10/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#30
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A09/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A19/06
European Championship Women
70.7Avg total
40.6Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.429.866.2+6.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.130.467.6+6.756%-
Last 30 away (14)35.629.064.6+6.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.630.170.7+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.830.071.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.632.663.2-2.025%-
vs Similar (8)32.428.560.9+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.028.970.9+13.171%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.018.5
43.0%
45.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.15.6
32.8%
30.0%16.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.5%
72.4%13.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkey Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey W: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.1
52.2%
45.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.9
32.2%
30.0%20.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.2
72.6%
72.4%16.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 21 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece W
LWLLWLWLLL
Turkey W
WLWWWWWWLW
#22
League position
#5
-4.1
Net rating
+30.0
91.1
Offensive rating
112.7
95.1
Defensive rating
82.7
44.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
41.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
32.2%
73.1%
Assist %
73.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 112.7Defence95.1 · 82.7Shooting44.8% · 50.9%3-point %32.8% · 32.2%Ball care20.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.7% · 41.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Greece W   ■ Turkey W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece W wins
0
Turkey W wins
No previous meetings.
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/25AFrance W56-92
18/06/25HSwitzerland W87-65
09/02/25HGermany W64-67
06/02/25ACzech Republic W66-81
10/11/24HItaly W56-45
07/11/24AGermany W76-79
12/11/23HCzech Republic W75-66
09/11/23AItaly W67-76
19/06/23ACzech Republic W76-79
18/06/23ASpain W60-76
Turkey Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/25ASwitzerland W91-67
18/06/25HFrance W69-71
09/02/25ARomania W99-61
06/02/25HIceland W83-76
10/11/24ASlovakia W65-50
07/11/24HRomania W101-54
12/11/23AIceland W72-65
09/11/23HSlovakia W75-40
18/06/23HSlovakia W66-80
16/06/23AHungary W69-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game68.470.566.2
Allowed / game71.460.882.0
Point differential-3.0+9.8-15.8
Avg total139.8131.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turkey W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game81.982.081.8
Allowed / game60.560.260.8
Point differential+21.4+21.8+21.0
Avg total142.4142.2142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W990100%94.047.2+46.8
2 Spain W880100%76.257.4+18.9
3 Belgium W87188%86.855.0+31.8
4 Turkey W87188%81.960.5+21.4
5 Sweden W87188%75.565.1+10.4
6 Lithuania W86275%80.567.0+13.5
7 Italy W86275%69.260.5+8.8
8 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
9 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
10 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
11 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
12 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
13 Germany W85362%70.969.0+1.9
14 Portugal W85362%59.660.0-0.4
15 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Great Britain W84450%73.061.8+11.2
18 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
19 Czech Republic W84450%67.266.6+0.6
20 Montenegro W84450%67.567.2+0.2
21 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
22 Greece W83538%68.471.4-3.0
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece W2114241372
Turkey W1726192183
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