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Grengewald Hueschtert vs Esch Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 80-82
Projected total 162.1
Final 56-65
19-20 7-26 17-11 13-8
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game87.4
Grengewald Hueschtert
Luxembourg
Vs
42%
58%
■ GREN 42%■ ESCH 58%
Pythia win probability
Esch 🏆
Luxembourg
Position#5
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game86.5
LuxembourgTotal LeagueRound 9· Centre sportif Am Sand
Other2026-27
Meetings · Grengewald Hueschtert v Esch
15 Nov 2026
GREN56
ESCH65
14 Oct 2023
GREN73
ESCH89
05 Feb 2023
GREN86
ESCH81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Grengewald Hueschtert will host Esch on 15 November 2026 in the Total League, with the Pythia model designating Esch as the favourite and predicting a close contest that will likely swing in their favour. Grengewald Hueschtert, 3-5 overall, averages 78.5 points scored and 87.4 points allowed, sits 10th in the league, and has a 2-2 record at home with 87.0 points scored and 90.8 points allowed; their last five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a 92-89 home victory over Racing Luxembourg and a 75-101 away loss to Bertrange. Esch, 4-4 overall, averages 77.6 points scored and 86.5 points allowed, is 6th in the standings, and holds a 2-1 record on the road with 92.3 points scored and 85.0 points allowed; their last five games also produced two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 111-78 away win over Racing Luxembourg and two home defeats to Larochette and Bertrange. In head-to-head play, Esch leads 3-1, most recently defeating Grengewald Hueschtert 74-45 on 6 January 2024. Pythia assigns a 42% chance to Grengewald Hueschtert and a 58% chance to Esch, projecting a final score of 80-82 and a total of 162.1 points, with a 5% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grengewald Hueschtert winLost
42.3%fair 2.37
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esch winWon
57.7%fair 1.73
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Grengewald HueschtertLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHueschtert
Date
Competition
Mambra Mamer
#10
L
80-99
80
99
-19
no box
A21/04
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
no box
A27/04
Total League
Musel Pikes
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 66
H20/09
Total League
Walferdange
#7
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 66
A26/09
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
L
94-105
94
105
-11
70avg 66
H03/10
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
no box
A10/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H17/10
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#10
L
65-83
65
83
-18
no box
A24/10
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H31/10
Total League
Bertrange
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
no box
A08/11
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
23-31
18-19
19-21
26-22
23-21
23-29
27-20
27-24
17-23
23-20
17-16
15-13
16-18
11-20
19-34
16-32
22-21
24-21
32-31
21-20
22-15
18-13
18-19
27-24
12-21
9-19
30-22
15-24
18-25
16-14
16-20
28-23
18-26
23-20
23-20
8-28
26-22
18-32
23-19
169.7Avg total
80.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.587.4165.9-8.938%
Season at home (4)87.090.8177.8-3.850%
Season away (4)70.084.0154.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)80.789.0169.7-8.340%
Last 5 (5)77.885.2163.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.488.8165.2-12.429%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.987.2171.2-3.333%
vs Weaker (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Esch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EschLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsch
Date
Competition
Amicale Steesel
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
H15/04
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A18/04
Total League
Walferdange
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
67avg 67
H19/09
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
80avg 67
A27/09
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#8
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 67
H03/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
A11/10
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H18/10
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
W
111-78
111
78
+33
no box
A24/10
Total League
Bertrange
#2
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
H31/10
Total League
Larochette
#1
L
53-96
53
96
-43
no box
H07/11
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-20
22-18
14-16
14-15
17-20
15-12
19-32
18-23
19-16
19-17
22-18
27-20
22-30
26-17
22-26
14-16
15-15
13-30
19-30
19-15
18-25
18-18
14-26
22-21
23-17
21-21
21-21
31-21
35-20
22-21
23-16
19-16
18-28
12-24
16-28
12-22
11-37
23-24
7-13
160.5Avg total
75.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.686.5164.1-8.950%
Season at home (5)68.887.4156.2-18.640%
Season away (3)92.385.0177.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)75.684.9160.5-9.340%
Last 5 (5)77.086.8163.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.583.9155.4-12.536%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.281.9156.1-7.638%
vs Weaker (11)88.273.4161.5+14.873%
This opponent (Grengewald Hueschtert) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
53.1%
Under 160.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
41.2%
Under 165.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
30.1%
Under 170.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Grengewald Hueschtert total 80Actual: Grengewald Hueschtert under 80
Over 80
49.4%
Under 80
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grengewald Hueschtert total 84Actual: Grengewald Hueschtert under 84
Over 84
34.0%
Under 84
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grengewald Hueschtert total 88Actual: Grengewald Hueschtert under 88
Over 88
21.1%
Under 88
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esch total 78Actual: Esch under 78
Over 78
66.2%
Under 78
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esch total 82Actual: Esch under 82
Over 82
50.5%
Under 82
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esch total 86Actual: Esch under 86
Over 86
34.8%
Under 86
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Grengewald Hueschtert -3Actual: Esch +3
GREN -3
33.4%
ESCH +3
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
GREN
No market prices yet.
ESCH
No market prices yet.
Spread Grengewald Hueschtert 0Actual: Esch 0
GREN 0
42.3%
ESCH 0
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
GREN
No market prices yet.
ESCH
No market prices yet.
Spread Grengewald Hueschtert +3Actual: Esch -3
GREN +3
51.3%
ESCH -3
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
GREN
No market prices yet.
ESCH
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -4.9-4.9
Grengewald HueschtertEsch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Grengewald HueschtertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mambra Mamer
#10
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A21/04
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A27/04
Total League
Musel Pikes
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/09
Total League
Walferdange
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/09
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H03/10
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A10/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/10
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#10
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A24/10
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H31/10
Total League
Bertrange
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A08/11
Total League
86.1Avg total
40.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.083.9-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.784.8-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.745.282.9-7.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.186.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.684.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.844.583.3-5.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.042.883.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker (1)46.049.095.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Esch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amicale Steesel
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/04
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A18/04
Total League
Walferdange
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H19/09
Total League
Soleuvre
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A27/09
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Total League
Ettelbruck
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/10
Total League
Kordall Steelers
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H18/10
Total League
Racing Luxembourg
#12
W
66-41
66
41
+25
A24/10
Total League
Bertrange
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H31/10
Total League
Larochette
#1
L
23-59
23
59
-36
H07/11
Total League
80.9Avg total
38.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.240.080.2+0.234%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.341.781.0-2.527%-
Last 30 away (14)41.338.179.4+3.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.180.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.140.273.3-7.19%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.342.982.1-3.614%-
vs Weaker (11)48.038.086.0+10.073%-
This opponent (Grengewald Hueschtert) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Grengewald Hueschterttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grengewald Hueschtert: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.717.9
45.1%
51.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.5
35.4%
30.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.0
68.1%
71.5%13.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esch: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.3
48.7%
51.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.912.5
78.6%
71.5%12.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Grengewald Hueschtert
LWLLWLLWWL
Esch
LLWWLLWWLL
#11
League position
#5
-9.6
Net rating
-3.3
95.1
Offensive rating
90.1
104.7
Defensive rating
93.4
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.4%
3-point %
35.4%
52.1%
Assist %
48.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 90.1Defence104.7 · 93.4Shooting48.5% · 50.3%3-point %35.4% · 35.4%Ball care16.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Grengewald Hueschtert   ■ Esch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Grengewald Hueschtert wins
3
Esch wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Esch v Grengewald Hueschtert74-45
14/10/23Grengewald Hueschtert v Esch73-89
05/02/23Grengewald Hueschtert v Esch86-81
05/11/22Esch v Grengewald Hueschtert91-79
Grengewald Hueschtertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ABertrange75-101
31/10/26HRacing Luxembourg92-89
24/10/26AKordall Steelers65-83
17/10/26HEttelbruck78-86
10/10/26AAmicale Steesel79-67
03/10/26HSoleuvre94-105
26/09/26AWalferdange61-85
20/09/26HMusel Pikes84-83
27/04/24AKordall Steelers99-92
21/04/24AMambra Mamer80-99
Eschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HLarochette53-96
31/10/26HBertrange65-96
24/10/26ARacing Luxembourg111-78
18/10/26HKordall Steelers87-80
11/10/26AEttelbruck69-84
03/10/26HAmicale Steesel61-91
27/09/26ASoleuvre97-93
19/09/26HWalferdange78-74
18/04/26AAmicale Steesel65-79
15/04/26HAmicale Steesel70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grengewald Hueschtert
Total League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game78.587.070.0
Allowed / game87.490.884.0
Point differential-8.9-3.8-14.0
Avg total165.9177.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esch
Total League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game77.668.892.3
Allowed / game86.587.485.0
Point differential-8.9-18.6+7.3
Avg total164.1156.2177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bertrange97278%89.674.3+15.2
2 Larochette86275%93.277.6+15.6
3 Ettelbruck86275%86.975.0+11.9
4 T71 Dudelange95456%77.776.4+1.2
5 Amicale Steesel84450%80.280.9-0.6
6 Esch84450%77.686.5-8.9
7 Musel Pikes94544%83.082.1+0.9
8 Walferdange94544%84.985.1-0.2
9 Soleuvre83538%86.088.5-2.5
10 Grengewald Hueschtert83538%78.587.4-8.9
11 Kordall Steelers93633%79.086.9-7.9
12 Racing Luxembourg92722%77.192.2-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Grengewald Hueschtert197171356
Esch202611865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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