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Grindavik W vs Stjarnan W Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Projected 87-78
Projected total 165.3
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game72.7
Grindavik W
Iceland
Vs
79%
21%
■ GRIN 79%■ STJA 21%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Stjarnan W
Iceland
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game74.5
IcelandPremier League WRound 7· HS Orku-hollin
Women2026-27
Meetings · Grindavik W v Stjarnan W
23 Nov 2026
GRIN v STJA
upcoming
21 Oct 2025
GRIN79
STJA66
04 Dec 2024
GRIN63
STJA65
28 Feb 2024
GRIN94
STJA78
30 Jan 2024
GRIN80
STJA72
15 Feb 2017
GRIN71
STJA74
07 Jan 2017
GRIN52
STJA66
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Grindavik W host Stjarnan W in the Premier League W. Pythia makes Grindavik W the favourite at 79% and projects 87-78, about 165 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Grindavik W are 6-0 this season (92.3 scored, 72.7 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Stjarnan W are 5-1 this season (89.7 scored, 74.5 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grindavik W win
79.3%fair 1.26
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan W win
20.7%fair 4.84
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:41 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Grindavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
W
94-75
94
75
+19
93avg 80
H23/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
80avg 80
A27/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
68-72
68
72
-4
64avg 80
H01/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
66avg 80
A05/05
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
104-65
104
65
+39
106avg 80
A29/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 80
H06/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
84-62
84
62
+22
80avg 80
A12/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
90avg 80
H21/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
99-70
99
70
+29
90avg 80
A28/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A03/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
22-15
19-29
30-19
12-26
19-18
30-25
27-25
27-30
23-12
15-15
3-15
14-20
17-24
20-14
21-25
25-21
21-13
30-18
28-13
27-25
13-9
18-26
23-11
19-16
29-12
22-18
14-16
31-21
19-18
18-17
21-19
29-26
23-19
18-4
29-21
21-23
26-30
26-22
24-18
163.6Avg total
87.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.372.7165.0+19.7100%
Season at home (2)85.073.0158.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)96.072.5168.5+23.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.676.0163.6+11.670%
Last 5 (5)90.074.2164.2+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)80.483.1163.5-2.735%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.975.3166.2+15.692%
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stjarnan WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
L
57-90
57
90
-33
46avg 74
A25/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
100-106
100
106
-6
91avg 74
A30/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 74
H03/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 74
A08/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 74
A29/09
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
80avg 74
H06/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 74
A12/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
102avg 74
H20/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
83avg 74
A27/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
110-69
110
69
+41
no box
H02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
8-22
18-39
10-14
21-24
14-33
40-29
25-20
25-24
19-22
7-24
19-17
7-29
22-20
22-21
33-18
20-17
15-24
24-23
28-30
23-10
18-24
16-17
23-11
17-24
15-18
24-11
20-17
19-25
27-16
22-16
25-23
25-21
23-13
23-16
21-22
28-20
27-20
26-11
29-18
166.7Avg total
84.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.774.5164.2+15.283%
Season at home (3)94.370.3164.7+24.0100%
Season away (3)85.078.7163.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)84.981.8166.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)90.270.6160.8+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.385.9163.2-8.623%
vs Similar (8)80.684.1164.8-3.550%
vs Weaker (9)91.477.0168.4+14.489%
This opponent (Grindavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
64.7%
Under 159
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
52.5%
Under 164
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
40.2%
Under 169
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Grindavik W total 79.5
Over 79.5
78.1%
Under 79.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik W total 83.5
Over 83.5
64.7%
Under 83.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik W total 87.5
Over 87.5
49.1%
Under 87.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan W total 77
Over 77
53.3%
Under 77
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan W total 81
Over 81
37.4%
Under 81
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan W total 85
Over 85
23.7%
Under 85
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Grindavik W -3
GRIN -3
73.0%
STJA +3
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
GRIN
No market prices yet.
STJA
No market prices yet.
Spread Grindavik W 0
GRIN 0
79.3%
STJA 0
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
GRIN
No market prices yet.
STJA
No market prices yet.
Spread Grindavik W +3
GRIN +3
85.3%
STJA -3
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
GRIN
No market prices yet.
STJA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
Grindavik WStjarnan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Grindavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H23/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H01/05
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/05
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/09
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A12/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H21/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A03/11
Premier League W
83.0Avg total
44.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.782.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.540.783.2+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)42.538.981.4+3.565%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.083.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.887.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)39.940.280.1-0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.839.184.8+6.777%-
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stjarnan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A25/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A30/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H03/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/09
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H06/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A27/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H02/11
Premier League W
81.5Avg total
39.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.683.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.741.084.7+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.282.2-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.181.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.282.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.643.281.8-4.538%-
vs Similar (8)43.144.087.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (9)45.037.382.3+7.778%-
This opponent (Grindavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Grindavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik W: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.6
57.2%
47.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.0
31.5%
30.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
74.1%14.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan W: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.423.2
47.9%
47.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
30.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.516.8
68.6%
74.1%16.8
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Grindavik W
WWWWWWLLLW
Stjarnan W
WWWWWLLLLL
#1
League position
#2
+15.7
Net rating
+0.5
96.6
Offensive rating
81.9
81.0
Defensive rating
81.4
53.0%
Effective FG%
46.4%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
28.8%
67.1%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 81.9Defence81.0 · 81.4Shooting53.0% · 46.4%3-point %31.5% · 28.8%Ball care15.1% · 20.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Grindavik W   ■ Stjarnan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Grindavik W wins
3
Stjarnan W wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26Stjarnan W v Grindavik W83-99
21/10/25Grindavik W v Stjarnan W79-66
25/02/25Stjarnan W v Grindavik W77-64
18/02/25Stjarnan W v Grindavik W62-66
04/12/24Grindavik W v Stjarnan W63-65
03/04/24Stjarnan W v Grindavik W73-77
28/02/24Grindavik W v Stjarnan W94-78
30/01/24Grindavik W v Stjarnan W80-72
21/11/23Stjarnan W v Grindavik W89-80
21/03/17Stjarnan W v Grindavik W53-67
Grindavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ANjardvik W97-93
28/10/26AFjolnir W99-70
21/10/26HKeflavik W89-75
12/10/26ATindastoll W84-62
06/10/26HHaukar W81-71
29/09/26AArmann W104-65
05/05/26ANjardvik W72-83
01/05/26HNjardvik W68-72
27/04/26ANjardvik W88-94
23/04/26HNjardvik W94-75
Stjarnan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HFjolnir W110-69
27/10/26AKeflavik W92-72
20/10/26HTindastoll W93-80
12/10/26AHaukar W76-70
06/10/26HArmann W80-62
29/09/26AKR Reykjavik W87-94
08/04/26AHaukar W84-88
03/04/26HHaukar W70-87
30/03/26AHaukar W100-106
25/03/26AKeflavik W57-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grindavik W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.385.096.0
Allowed / game72.773.072.5
Point differential+19.7+12.0+23.5
Avg total165.0158.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game89.794.385.0
Allowed / game74.570.378.7
Point differential+15.2+24.0+6.3
Avg total164.2164.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W660100%92.372.7+19.7
2 Stjarnan W65183%89.774.5+15.2
3 Haukar W64267%86.375.3+11.0
4 Njardvik W64267%91.781.0+10.7
5 Valur W64267%79.771.8+7.8
6 KR Reykjavik W64267%87.888.8-1.0
7 Tindastoll W62433%73.276.2-3.0
8 Keflavik W61517%75.380.8-5.5
9 Armann W6060%75.592.8-17.3
10 Fjolnir W6060%64.5102.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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