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Halcones de Xalapa vs Real Esteli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 100-75
26-20 23-25 25-21 26-9
Position#4
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeChampions League Americas· Nido del Halcón
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Xalapa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Esteli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A10/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
A11/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
no box
H14/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
66avg 78
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 78
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
86avg 78
A22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
82avg 78
A23/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 78
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
15-14
14-26
13-16
16-23
19-19
19-25
13-18
32-21
12-25
31-23
16-22
16-24
20-18
30-25
17-23
20-20
25-23
23-29
17-16
18-15
15-22
20-16
17-27
17-22
22-21
15-18
22-21
33-22
25-21
14-16
32-20
24-27
18-14
29-15
21-18
32-18
14-26
19-27
26-16
167.1Avg total
83.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.680.4167.0+6.260%
Season at home (2)83.584.5168.0-1.050%
Season away (3)88.777.7166.3+11.067%
Last 10 (10)83.383.8167.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)86.680.4167.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.388.4165.7-11.123%
vs Similar (10)87.584.4171.9+3.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.681.7168.3+4.957%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
109-93
109
93
+16
no box
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
no box
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
67-103
67
103
-36
no box
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 74
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
85avg 74
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
50avg 74
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
77avg 74
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 74
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
28-33
28-18
27-29
33-18
25-24
20-27
21-24
21-30
29-24
19-23
21-24
20-28
13-28
22-14
31-24
13-31
14-26
22-29
18-17
15-18
22-15
16-20
27-17
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
176.4Avg total
85.9Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.684.2165.8-2.660%
Season at home (3)85.388.7174.0-3.367%
Season away (2)76.077.5153.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)85.990.5176.4-4.650%
Last 5 (5)81.684.2165.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.288.3170.6-6.133%
vs Similar (10)82.081.8163.8+0.270%
vs Weaker (7)92.183.7175.9+8.471%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
Halcones de XalapaReal Esteli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#8
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H08/02
Champions League Americas
82.9Avg total
41.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.385.6-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.743.788.4+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.982.8-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.482.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.445.881.2-10.515%-
vs Similar (10)47.242.990.1+4.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.743.687.3+0.143%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
89.4Avg total
42.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.943.883.7-3.941%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.584.8-2.244%-
Last 30 away (13)38.344.282.5-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.689.4-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.646.485.0-7.833%-
vs Similar (10)40.141.381.4-1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.6
55.4%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
33.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
73.9%14.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.4
28.1%
33.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws27.418.0
65.7%
73.9%18.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Xalapa
WWWLLLLWLL
Real Esteli
WLLWWLLLWW
#4
League position
#8
+7.5
Net rating
-2.8
110.4
Offensive rating
101.1
102.9
Defensive rating
103.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.6%
3-point %
28.1%
59.6%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 101.1Defence102.9 · 103.9Shooting55.1% · 48.8%3-point %36.6% · 28.1%Ball care16.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Halcones de Xalapa   ■ Real Esteli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Halcones de Xalapa wins
1
Real Esteli wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HGladiadores91-87
23/01/24AGladiadores92-74
22/01/24AReal Esteli104-79
18/12/23HGladiadores76-82
17/12/23AReal Esteli70-80
17/11/23HFuerza Regia85-88
15/11/23HFuerza Regia83-90
14/11/23HFuerza Regia101-98 OT
11/11/23AFuerza Regia67-85
10/11/23AFuerza Regia64-75
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT
17/12/23HHalcones de Xalapa80-70
11/03/23AQuimsa67-103
07/03/23HQuimsa86-94
09/02/23HLibertadores90-101
08/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers99-93
19/01/23HBrampton Honey Badgers109-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Xalapa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.683.588.7
Allowed / game80.484.577.7
Point differential+6.2-1.0+11.0
Avg total167.0168.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game81.685.376.0
Allowed / game84.288.777.5
Point differential-2.6-3.3-1.5
Avg total165.8174.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca65183%97.282.7+14.5
2 Quimsa43175%92.077.0+15.0
3 Flamengo43175%74.273.5+0.8
4 Obras Sanitarias64267%91.085.8+5.2
5 Halcones de Xalapa53260%86.680.4+6.2
6 Real Esteli53260%81.684.2-2.6
7 Hebraica y Macabi42250%75.874.0+1.8
8 Nacional42250%82.884.5-1.8
9 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
10 Boca Juniors41325%67.069.5-2.5
11 Sao Paulo41325%79.592.8-13.2
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Xalapa26232526100
Real Esteli202521975
← all games of the day
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