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Hamar W vs Valur W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 83-88
15-21 22-26 21-16 25-25
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game95.5
Hamar W
Iceland
vs
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.5
IcelandPremier League WRound 3· Frystikistan arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hamar W v Valur W
14 Oct 2025
HAMA83
VALU88
19 Feb 2025
HAMA83
VALU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamar W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hamar WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tindastoll W
#7
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 73
A15/02
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 73
H19/02
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
87-88
87
88
-1
76avg 73
H25/02
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 73
H01/03
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
77avg 73
A04/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
79avg 73
A26/03
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H15/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 73
A18/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
62avg 73
H01/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
89-102
89
102
-13
82avg 73
A07/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
33-25
16-15
23-27
22-22
19-25
27-19
15-23
27-26
23-26
19-19
18-17
21-21
20-14
26-26
10-11
23-19
20-13
18-20
17-20
29-26
31-26
18-19
12-20
13-22
20-15
23-26
29-26
22-23
16-16
17-22
23-22
23-26
15-19
19-21
17-23
19-27
24-24
25-28
21-23
170.6Avg total
83.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.595.5177.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
Season away (1)89.0102.0191.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)83.786.9170.6-3.230%
Last 5 (5)83.290.8174.0-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.990.8167.7-13.912%
vs Similar (10)88.887.0175.8+1.860%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
64avg 65
H12/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
80avg 65
A01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 65
H05/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
60-72
60
72
-12
47avg 65
A09/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
72avg 65
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
66-101
66
101
-35
57avg 65
A19/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 65
H22/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
51avg 65
A26/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 65
A01/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 65
H07/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
24-23
12-19
19-18
24-28
20-21
25-17
23-20
25-12
26-21
24-19
27-23
13-21
12-18
20-14
15-19
22-16
12-22
22-23
19-9
13-27
20-24
19-24
14-26
22-14
21-26
21-19
16-23
20-21
20-16
8-15
16-27
20-22
12-19
26-21
30-17
26-22
18-18
14-22
19-18
159.8Avg total
78.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.579.5162.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
Season away (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.481.4159.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)75.084.2159.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.681.9156.6-7.322%
vs Similar (10)73.271.8145.0+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.571.0156.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Hamar W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
Hamar WValur W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hamar WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll W
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A15/02
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H19/02
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/02
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/03
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A26/03
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A18/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/10
Premier League W
88.6Avg total
44.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.547.089.5-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.448.189.5-6.723%-
Last 30 away (13)43.645.889.5-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.288.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.147.686.6-8.512%-
vs Similar (10)48.046.094.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H12/03
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A09/04
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A19/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/10
Premier League W
81.6Avg total
39.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.178.3-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.880.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.940.376.2-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.181.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.341.879.1-4.422%-
vs Similar (10)38.737.676.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.537.081.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Hamar W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamar Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamar W: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.0
52.4%
49.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.4%
31.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.9
82.0%
76.4%16.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.4
46.2%
49.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
31.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
76.4%13.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamar W
LLLLLWWLLW
Valur W
LWLLLWLWWL
#10
League position
#5
-4.4
Net rating
-3.9
101.9
Offensive rating
101.6
106.2
Defensive rating
105.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.4%
3-point %
32.5%
58.9%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 101.6Defence106.2 · 105.5Shooting49.9% · 47.3%3-point %30.4% · 32.5%Ball care20.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 36.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hamar W   ■ Valur W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamar W wins
2
Valur W wins
DateGameScore
19/02/25Hamar W v Valur W83-89
04/12/24Valur W v Hamar W82-59
Hamar Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25AKeflavik W89-102
01/10/25HGrindavik W74-89
18/04/25AKR Reykjavik W78-83
15/04/25HKR Reykjavik W85-89
26/03/25AGrindavik W90-91
04/03/25AStjarnan W78-72
01/03/25HTindastoll W77-72
25/02/25HAthena W87-88
19/02/25HValur W83-89
15/02/25ATindastoll W96-94
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25HNjardvik W77-80
01/10/25AKeflavik W88-79
26/04/25AHaukar W64-79
22/04/25HHaukar W80-82
19/04/25AHaukar W66-101
13/04/25HThor AK Akureyri W75-70
09/04/25AThor AK Akureyri W60-72
05/04/25HThor AK Akureyri W102-75
01/04/25AThor AK Akureyri W92-86
12/03/25HNjardvik W80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamar W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.574.089.0
Allowed / game95.589.0102.0
Point differential-14.0-15.0-13.0
Avg total177.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.577.088.0
Allowed / game79.580.079.0
Point differential+3.0-3.0+9.0
Avg total162.0157.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W220100%87.566.5+21.0
2 Haukar W220100%95.577.5+18.0
3 Njardvik W220100%80.570.5+10.0
4 KR Reykjavik W32167%74.070.7+3.3
5 Valur W21150%82.579.5+3.0
6 Keflavik W21150%90.588.5+2.0
7 Tindastoll W21150%90.095.5-5.5
8 Stjarnan W3030%72.084.3-12.3
9 Hamar W2020%81.595.5-14.0
10 Armann W2020%59.580.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamar W1522212583
Valur W2126162588
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