Hamburg vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 99-94

28-29 21-15 28-24 22-26

Position#3

Record25-15

FormWLWWL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game77.6

Hamburg 🏆

Nurnberger

Position#2

Record26-12

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game74.6

Pro APro A - Final

Other2018-19

Meetings · Hamburg v Nurnberger

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nurnberger winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hamburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rostock

79-64

+15

H06/04

Pro A

Rostock

79-94

-15

A09/04

Pro A

Rostock

84-74

+10

H12/04

Pro A

Rostock

91-85

A15/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

81-87

-6

A20/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

81-78

H23/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

63-84

-21

A26/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

98-96

H28/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

78-72

A30/04

Pro A

Nurnberger

87-90

-3

A02/05

Pro A

19-13

26-19

17-22

17-10

17-27

19-14

23-24

20-29

31-15

15-26

12-17

26-16

22-23

25-25

17-19

27-18

20-20

19-18

29-20

13-29

16-22

19-19

17-10

29-27

19-22

12-23

20-24

12-15

25-21

28-24

16-25

29-26

21-16

16-11

19-19

22-26

23-27

17-25

24-18

23-20

164.5Avg total

82.1Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	83.0	77.6	160.6	+5.4	62%
Season at home (19)	86.1	72.6	158.7	+13.5	84%
Season away (21)	80.1	82.1	162.2	-2.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	82.4	164.5	-0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	84.0	165.4	-2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	76.9	80.9	157.8	-4.1	36%
vs Weaker (16)	84.2	76.7	160.9	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nurnberger Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

#13

86-72

+14

A23/03

Pro A

Baunach

#16

69-66

H30/03

Pro A

Trier

92-74

+18

H06/04

Pro A

Trier

84-72

+12

A10/04

Pro A

Trier

91-64

+27

H12/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

87-77

+10

A20/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

62-67

-5

H23/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

76-71

A27/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

85-79

H29/04

Pro A

Hamburg

90-87

H02/05

Pro A

25-19

17-10

17-18

27-25

15-14

13-13

20-18

21-21

22-23

28-14

25-11

17-26

18-16

17-20

27-18

22-18

24-11

23-13

26-22

18-18

19-13

29-13

15-30

24-21

19-14

15-17

15-18

13-18

22-18

13-21

22-19

19-13

16-25

20-17

22-17

27-20

27-23

25-17

18-24

20-23

155.1Avg total

82.2Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	79.2	74.6	153.8	+4.6	68%
Season at home (20)	77.6	73.5	151.1	+4.1	60%
Season away (18)	80.9	75.9	156.8	+5.0	78%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	72.9	155.1	+9.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	76.2	156.2	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	78.8	78.5	157.2	+0.2	56%
vs Weaker (14)	80.3	68.7	149.0	+11.6	86%

This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HamburgNurnberger

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.2	40.1	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.3	21.9	42.1	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.1	19.1	40.1	+2.0	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	18.8	39.8	+2.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.6	38.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	16.2	35.1	+2.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	18.6	37.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	15.5	35.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.0	15.3	35.3	+4.7	64%	-

HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rostock

45-32

+13

H06/04

Pro A

Rostock

36-41

-5

A09/04

Pro A

Rostock

46-41

H12/04

Pro A

Rostock

47-48

-1

A15/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

39-38

A20/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

35-41

-6

H23/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

31-45

-14

A26/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

53-45

H28/04

Pro A

Chemnitz

37-27

+10

A30/04

Pro A

Nurnberger

40-52

-12

A02/05

Pro A

81.9Avg total

40.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.4	79.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	37.9	79.1	+3.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	40.6	79.8	-1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.0	81.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.3	40.0	78.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.6	38.9	80.5	+2.6	50%	-

This opponent (Nurnberger) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NurnbergerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

#13

42-29

+13

A23/03

Pro A

Baunach

#16

28-27

H30/03

Pro A

Trier

50-37

+13

H06/04

Pro A

Trier

35-36

-1

A10/04

Pro A

Trier

47-24

+23

H12/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

48-26

+22

A20/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

34-31

H23/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

35-39

-4

A27/04

Pro A

Heidelberg

36-42

-6

H29/04

Pro A

Hamburg

52-40

+12

H02/05

Pro A

73.8Avg total

40.7Scored

33.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	35.8	74.6	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.7	34.9	73.6	+3.7	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.0	37.1	76.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	33.1	73.8	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	35.6	76.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.7	39.6	78.2	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.9	31.5	70.4	+7.4	71%	-

This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.6	18.9	38.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.0	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	22.5	41.9	-3.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.2	19.2	41.3	+3.0	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.4	19.4	40.9	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.6	78.9	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.4	35.6	75.0	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.4	82.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.0	84.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.6	40.9	79.5	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.9	36.5	78.4	+5.4	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.1	78.8	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.7	38.2	77.9	+1.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.1	38.1	80.2	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.8	81.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.1	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hamburg wins

Nurnberger wins

Date	Game	Score
02/05/19	Nurnberger v Hamburg	90-87
23/01/19	Nurnberger v Hamburg	89-83
23/12/18	Hamburg v Nurnberger	75-69
10/03/18	Nurnberger v Hamburg	76-83
27/10/17	Hamburg v Nurnberger	85-72
11/02/17	Nurnberger v Hamburg	68-70
30/12/16	Hamburg v Nurnberger	83-84
04/03/16	Hamburg v Nurnberger	74-65
06/11/15	Nurnberger v Hamburg	73-79
11/01/15	Nurnberger v Hamburg	84-79

Hamburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/19	A	Nurnberger	87-90
30/04/19	A	Chemnitz	78-72
28/04/19	H	Chemnitz	98-96
26/04/19	A	Chemnitz	63-84
23/04/19	H	Chemnitz	81-78
20/04/19	A	Chemnitz	81-87
15/04/19	A	Rostock	91-85
12/04/19	H	Rostock	84-74
09/04/19	A	Rostock	79-94
06/04/19	H	Rostock	79-64

Nurnbergerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/19	H	Hamburg	90-87
29/04/19	H	Heidelberg	85-79
27/04/19	A	Heidelberg	76-71
23/04/19	H	Heidelberg	62-67
20/04/19	A	Heidelberg	87-77
12/04/19	H	Trier	91-64
10/04/19	A	Trier	84-72
06/04/19	H	Trier	92-74
30/03/19	H	Baunach	69-66
23/03/19	A	Paderborn	86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg

Pro A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	62%
Home	LWWWW	84%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	19	21
Win %	62%	84%	43%
Points / game	83.0	86.1	80.1
Allowed / game	77.6	72.6	82.1
Point differential	+5.4	+13.5	-2.0
Avg total	160.6	158.7	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	53%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	75% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

Nurnberger

Pro A 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	68%
Home	WWLWW	60%
Away	WWWWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	20	18
Win %	68%	60%	78%
Points / game	79.2	77.6	80.9
Allowed / game	74.6	73.5	75.9
Point differential	+4.6	+4.2	+5.0
Avg total	153.8	151.1	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	35%	39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	40% (5)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Chemnitz	38	29	9	76%	84.0	77.2	+6.8
2	Nurnberger	38	26	12	68%	79.2	74.6	+4.6
3	Hamburg	40	25	15	62%	83.0	77.6	+5.4
4	Heidelberg	37	23	14	62%	78.9	73.8	+5.1
5	Rostock	34	19	15	56%	79.7	78.4	+1.3
6	Ehingen	33	17	16	52%	83.5	81.6	+1.9
7	Trier	33	17	16	52%	78.3	81.9	-3.6
8	Phoenix Hagen	30	15	15	50%	82.3	80.4	+1.9
9	Tubingen	30	15	15	50%	85.7	86.0	-0.3
10	PS Karlsruhe	33	16	17	48%	80.2	79.6	+0.6
11	Kirchheim	30	14	16	47%	75.3	75.6	-0.3
12	Artland	30	14	16	47%	80.4	81.6	-1.2
13	Paderborn	30	10	20	33%	79.1	84.0	-4.9
14	Schalke	30	9	21	30%	73.6	78.7	-5.1
15	Hanau	30	8	22	27%	75.3	82.4	-7.1
16	Baunach	30	6	24	20%	72.6	83.7	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hamburg	28	21	28	22	99
Nurnberger	29	15	24	26	94

← all games of the day

Hamburg vs Nurnberger Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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