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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs H. Afula Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-73
17-24 23-9 22-28 16-12
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.5
IsraelSuper LeagueRound 3· Conch Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hapoel Beer Sheva v H. Afula
21 Oct 2024
HAPO78
H. A73
16 Sep 2024
HAPO78
H. A86
23 May 2024
HAPO90
H. A87
28 Nov 2023
HAPO81
H. A90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
H. Afula winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Beer ShevaIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSheva
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H09/05
Israel Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 81
A14/05
Super League
Ironi Eilat
#13
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 81
H17/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#11
L
60-86
60
86
-26
44avg 81
A20/05
Super League
H. Afula
#9
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
83avg 81
H23/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 81
H26/05
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
51avg 81
A09/09
League Cup
H. Afula
#10
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 81
H16/09
League Cup
Hapoel Holon
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
65avg 81
H20/09
League Cup
Bnei Herzliya
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 81
A13/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
26-20
13-21
19-12
12-15
21-20
20-32
17-18
23-18
27-22
19-25
31-26
11-28
22-20
14-26
13-12
19-21
21-24
20-19
17-13
24-24
23-21
16-18
25-19
15-13
15-25
19-30
17-17
23-26
16-17
18-20
21-23
29-21
16-26
5-18
26-18
22-30
27-21
11-25
21-11
162.4Avg total
77.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)77.884.6162.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)77.884.6162.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.785.8163.5-8.123%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.887.6172.4-2.831%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (H. Afula) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
H. AfulaIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAfula
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 72
H07/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
59avg 72
H14/05
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
L
80-88
80
88
-8
70avg 72
A17/05
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#12
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
82avg 72
A23/05
Super League
Ironi Eilat
#13
L
82-94
82
94
-12
79avg 72
A26/05
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 72
H09/09
League Cup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
L
67-91
67
91
-24
51avg 72
H13/09
League Cup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#13
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 72
A16/09
League Cup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
84-67
84
67
+17
74avg 72
A06/10
Super League
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
L
84-92
84
92
-8
78avg 72
A14/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
26-19
18-23
19-30
17-15
12-19
18-15
21-16
26-24
21-15
18-24
15-25
21-19
24-21
19-20
13-17
17-23
24-26
17-24
24-21
19-16
19-20
20-24
9-15
12-30
14-20
17-22
24-19
26-23
17-16
20-18
23-21
22-20
21-16
30-12
11-19
23-16
15-26
17-25
29-25
161.2Avg total
78.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.079.5163.5+4.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)84.079.5163.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.782.5161.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)77.680.6158.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.788.2164.8-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.974.3150.2+1.658%
vs Weaker (11)86.185.4171.5+0.736%
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
Hapoel Beer ShevaH. Afula
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Beer ShevaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/05
Israel Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/05
Super League
Ironi Eilat
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H17/05
Super League
Galil Elyon
#11
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/05
Super League
H. Afula
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H26/05
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/09
League Cup
H. Afula
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/09
League Cup
Hapoel Holon
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/09
League Cup
Bnei Herzliya
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A13/10
Super League
83.6Avg total
40.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.184.7-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.441.283.6+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)40.944.585.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.383.6-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.886.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.843.283.0-3.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (H. Afula) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
H. AfulaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H07/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/05
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/05
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/05
Super League
Ironi Eilat
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A26/05
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/09
League Cup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H13/09
League Cup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/09
League Cup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/10
Super League
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A14/10
Super League
79.2Avg total
39.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.182.3-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.641.379.9-2.743%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.884.5-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.779.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.249.288.3-10.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.239.177.3-0.842%-
vs Weaker (11)42.541.183.6+1.564%-
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Beer Shevatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Beer Sheva: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.319.8
46.8%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
73.8%15.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
H. Afulatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

H. Afula: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.0
46.5%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.5
32.2%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.912.6
63.3%
73.8%12.6
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
LLLLWWLWLL
H. Afula
LWWLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#12
-5.5
Net rating
-4.1
105.5
Offensive rating
103.0
111.0
Defensive rating
107.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
47.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
32.2%
64.9%
Assist %
67.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 103.0Defence111.0 · 107.0Shooting48.8% · 47.2%3-point %34.7% · 32.2%Ball care15.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds27.3% · 32.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hapoel Beer Sheva   ■ H. Afula
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
3
H. Afula wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ABnei Herzliya81-87
20/09/24HHapoel Holon76-83
16/09/24HH. Afula78-86
09/09/24AIroni Kiryat Ata66-85
26/05/24HBnei Herzliya88-82
23/05/24HH. Afula90-87 OT
20/05/24AGalil Elyon60-86
17/05/24HIroni Eilat100-91
14/05/24ANes Ziona70-85
09/05/24HHapoel Jerusalem69-74
H. Afulalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24AElitzur Maccabi Netanya84-92
06/10/24AIroni Kiryat Ata84-67
16/09/24AHapoel Beer Sheva86-78
13/09/24HIroni Kiryat Ata67-91
09/09/24HHapoel Holon67-75
26/05/24AIroni Eilat82-94
23/05/24AHapoel Beer Sheva87-90 OT
17/05/24AHapoel Haifa80-88
14/05/24HBnei Herzliya68-65
07/05/24HGalil Elyon82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Beer Sheva
Super League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
H. Afula
Super League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game84.0-84.0
Allowed / game79.5-79.5
Point differential+4.5-+4.5
Avg total163.5-163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan220100%100.579.5+21.0
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv220100%91.075.5+15.5
3 Hapoel Holon220100%79.569.0+10.5
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv220100%87.082.0+5.0
5 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%80.775.0+5.7
6 Bnei Herzliya32167%86.388.3-2.0
7 H. Afula21150%84.079.5+4.5
8 Hapoel Haifa21150%82.587.0-4.5
9 Gilboa Galil31233%86.783.0+3.7
10 Galil Elyon31233%82.380.0+2.3
11 Elitzur Maccabi Netanya31233%81.392.7-11.3
12 Hapoel Beer Sheva1010%81.087.0-6.0
13 Nes Ziona3030%79.791.3-11.7
14 Ironi Kiryat Ata3030%69.388.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Beer Sheva1723221678
H. Afula249281273
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