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Harem Spor vs Balikesir Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:30
Projected 82-69
Projected total 151.8
Final 77-73 (OT)
14-22 16-17 16-10 21-18 10-6
Position#2
Record6-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game66.5
Vs
87%
13%
■ HARE 87%■ BALI 13%
Pythia win probability
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game78.5
TurkeyTBLRound 9· Yalova
Other2026-27
Meetings · Harem Spor v Balikesir
31 Oct 2026
HARE77
BALI73
23 Feb 2026
HARE82
BALI76
24 Apr 2025
HARE96
BALI106
17 Nov 2024
HARE94
BALI93
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Harem Spor host Balikesir in the TBL. Pythia makes Harem Spor the favourite at 87% and projects 82-69, about 152 points in all (over 149: 57%). On the market's main spread (Harem Spor -14.5) Pythia gives Harem Spor 45% to cover. Overtime chance: 3%. Harem Spor are 6-2 this season (80.9 scored, 66.5 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Balikesir are 2-6 this season (73.2 scored, 78.5 allowed a game), form WLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Harem Spor winWon
87.3%fair 1.15
Best odds1.12
Implied85.8%
Edge+1.5pp
Balikesir winLost
12.7%fair 7.86
Best odds8.00
Implied14.2%
Edge-1.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Harem SporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpor
Date
Competition
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 74
A12/04
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 74
H18/04
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
113-62
113
62
+51
119avg 74
H12/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 74
A20/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 74
H26/09
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
55avg 74
A03/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
74-51
74
51
+23
70avg 74
H07/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#12
W
79-47
79
47
+32
85avg 74
A11/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
61avg 74
H17/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
72-66
72
66
+6
67avg 74
A24/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
21-20
9-24
25-26
21-23
22-24
19-18
16-5
19-13
38-20
30-16
26-13
30-12
22-24
20-25
19-20
25-30
17-17
16-14
24-20
21-20
16-16
13-16
17-18
22-16
15-8
22-9
15-18
27-11
13-9
21-9
18-18
23-20
20-12
10-24
16-18
20-23
24-16
15-15
13-12
148.8Avg total
80.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.966.5147.4+14.475%
Season at home (4)84.567.0151.5+17.575%
Season away (4)77.266.0143.2+11.275%
Last 10 (10)80.268.6148.8+11.670%
Last 5 (5)72.261.6133.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.585.7159.2-12.20%
vs Similar (15)83.183.1166.2+0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)68.750.9119.6+17.889%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalikesir
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce 2
#7
L
90-91
90
91
-1
86avg 68
A13/04
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#6
L
83-100
83
100
-17
69avg 68
H18/04
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
69-70
69
70
-1
56avg 68
H13/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#12
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 68
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 68
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 68
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
52avg 68
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
94-92
94
92
+2
84avg 68
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
52-68
52
68
-16
37avg 68
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#11
L
79-89 OT
79
89
-10
68avg 68
H25/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
25-11
21-18
20-39
16-31
27-27
23-18
17-24
14-17
13-19
20-16
22-18
11-22
20-17
15-10
19-18
13-23
23-18
8-16
25-22
15-29
25-13
25-19
26-24
22-16
11-25
17-20
17-17
29-20
15-23
26-25
24-24
16-20
11-12
10-16
15-20
15-7
16-22
16-29
26-15
157.8Avg total
75.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.278.5151.8-5.225%
Season at home (4)77.882.5160.2-4.825%
Season away (4)68.874.5143.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)75.981.9157.8-6.020%
Last 5 (5)76.682.4159.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.183.9158.0-9.721%
vs Similar (12)80.581.1161.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (4)46.039.085.0+7.050%
This opponent (Harem Spor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144Actual: Over 144
Over 144
68.5%
Under 144
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149 · main lineActual: Over 149
Over 149
56.5%
@ 1.82+6.0pp
Under 149
43.5%
@ 1.86-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.67
Under
SBO
1.86
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 154Actual: Under 154
Over 154
44.0%
@ 2.00-0.9pp
Under 154
56.0%
@ 1.63+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.63

📊 3. Team Totals

Harem Spor total 77.5Actual: Harem Spor under 77.5
Over 77.5
69.0%
@ 1.41+7.0pp
Under 77.5
31.0%
@ 2.30-7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.30
Harem Spor total 81.5 · main lineActual: Harem Spor under 81.5
Over 81.5
53.7%
@ 1.83+4.6pp
Under 81.5
46.3%
@ 1.83-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.66
Harem Spor total 85.5Actual: Harem Spor under 85.5
Over 85.5
37.7%
@ 2.53+2.9pp
Under 85.5
62.3%
@ 1.35-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.53
Under
1xBet
1.35
Balikesir total 63.5Actual: Balikesir over 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.27
Balikesir total 67.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir over 67.5
Over 67.5
56.8%
@ 1.83+6.8pp
Under 67.5
43.2%
@ 1.83-6.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.64
Balikesir total 71.5Actual: Balikesir over 71.5
Over 71.5
41.1%
@ 2.62+7.4pp
Under 71.5
58.9%
@ 1.33-7.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.33

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Harem Spor -17.5Actual: Balikesir +17.5
HARE -17.5
34.3%
@ 2.33-3.7pp
BALI +17.5
65.7%
@ 1.43+3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
HARE
1xBet
2.33
BALI
1xBet
1.43
Spread Harem Spor -14.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir +14.5
HARE -14.5
44.6%
@ 1.91-4.9pp
BALI +14.5
55.4%
@ 1.83+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
HARE
Betfair
1.91
SBO
1.89
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.83
BALI
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.81
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Spread Harem Spor -11.5Actual: Balikesir +11.5
HARE -11.5
55.3%
@ 1.50-3.7pp
BALI +11.5
44.7%
@ 2.16+3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
HARE
1xBet
1.50
BALI
1xBet
2.16

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Harem SporBalikesir
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Harem SporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Sportif
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A12/04
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/04
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H12/09
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A20/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/09
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#12
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A11/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/10
TBL
78.6Avg total
43.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (28)40.940.681.5+0.454%71%
Last 30 at home (14)41.840.782.5+1.150%64%
Last 30 away (14)40.140.480.5-0.457%79%
Last 10 (10)43.834.878.6+9.080%60%
Last 5 (5)40.230.270.4+10.0100%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.343.778.0-9.333%67%
vs Similar (15)42.142.684.7-0.547%80%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.133.677.7+10.686%57%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce 2
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A13/04
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#6
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H18/04
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H13/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#12
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/10
TBL
75.6Avg total
36.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (28)37.940.578.5-2.632%64%
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.579.3-1.633%67%
Last 30 away (13)36.840.677.5-3.831%62%
Last 10 (10)36.139.575.6-3.430%50%
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.941.678.6-4.721%64%
vs Similar (12)40.240.380.6-0.142%75%
vs Weaker (2)31.034.065.0-3.050%0%
This opponent (Harem Spor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Balikesir win
HARE win
no forecast
@ 1.25
BALI win
no forecast
@ 3.85
1st half Spread Harem Spor -7.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir +7.5
HARE -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
BALI +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Harem Spor 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Harem Spor under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Balikesir 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Balikesir over 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: HARE + total 75.5
HARE & over
no forecast
@ 2.50
HARE & under
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half: Draw + total 75.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 36.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 34.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation
HARE
no forecast
@ 1.28
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
BALI
no forecast
@ 4.64

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
HARE win + total 148.5
🔒 Pro
BALI win + total 148.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HARE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BALI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Harem Spor over 75.575.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+7.1ppWon
Harem Spor over 76.572.5%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+7.0ppWon
Harem Spor (regulation)85.6%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+5.3ppLost
Overtime: no97.3%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+4.8pp-
Balikesir +19.571.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+3.1ppWon
Harem Spor win87.3%1.07
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
WilliamHill
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+1.5ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Harem Sportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Harem Spor: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.5
53.6%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
33.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.58.7
64.4%
71.2%8.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balikesirtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balikesir: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.916.8
43.2%
53.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.1
35.1%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.314.6
68.5%
71.2%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Harem Spor
WLWWLWWWWL
Balikesir
LLWLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#14
+13.6
Net rating
-6.6
96.6
Offensive rating
88.5
83.0
Defensive rating
95.0
55.3%
Effective FG%
47.0%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.4%
3-point %
35.1%
63.6%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 88.5Defence83.0 · 95.0Shooting55.3% · 47.0%3-point %38.4% · 35.1%Ball care14.3% · 13.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Harem Spor   ■ Balikesir
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Harem Spor wins
3
Balikesir wins
DateGameScore
23/02/26Harem Spor v Balikesir82-76
02/11/25Balikesir v Harem Spor101-99 OT
24/04/25Harem Spor v Balikesir96-106
09/03/25Balikesir v Harem Spor94-69
17/11/24Harem Spor v Balikesir94-93
Harem Sporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler72-66
17/10/26HKahramanmaras69-74
11/10/26ADarussafaka79-47
07/10/26HFenerbahce 274-51
03/10/26AGaziantep67-70
26/09/26HiLab Basketbol82-81
20/09/26AKonya BBSK91-81
12/09/26HMKE Ankaragucu113-62
18/04/26HFenerbahce 278-70
12/04/26ABordo Sportif77-84
Balikesirlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HCO Basket79-89 OT
18/10/26AFinal Spor52-68
11/10/26HKecioren Baglum94-92
07/10/26AGoztepe67-78
03/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler91-85
27/09/26HKahramanmaras69-79
20/09/26ADarussafaka65-67
13/09/26HFenerbahce 269-70
18/04/26HOGM Ormanspor83-100
13/04/26AFenerbahce 290-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Harem Spor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game80.984.577.2
Allowed / game66.567.066.0
Point differential+14.4+17.5+11.2
Avg total147.4151.5143.2
Over 14938%50%25%
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balikesir
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.277.868.8
Allowed / game78.582.574.5
Point differential-5.2-4.8-5.8
Avg total151.8160.2143.2
Over 14938%50%25%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK880100%90.674.6+16.0
2 Goztepe76186%85.776.6+9.1
3 Harem Spor86275%80.966.5+14.4
4 Kahramanmaras86275%83.975.0+8.9
5 Final Spor85362%79.978.4+1.5
6 Buyukcekmece74357%81.979.0+2.9
7 iLab Basketbol74357%85.783.7+2.0
8 Gaziantep74357%79.778.7+1.0
9 OGM Ormanspor84450%84.283.0+1.2
10 CO Basket94544%74.481.8-7.3
11 MKE Ankaragucu73443%81.993.6-11.7
12 Fenerbahce 283538%72.978.8-5.9
13 Ankara Kolejliler93633%75.881.1-5.3
14 Darussafaka93633%76.083.4-7.4
15 Balikesir82625%73.278.5-5.2
16 Konya BBSK71614%77.784.4-6.7
17 Kecioren Baglum91811%82.887.4-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Harem Spor141616211077
Balikesir22171018673
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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