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Harvard vs MIT Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 80-61
Projected total 141.4
Final 73-45
39-22 34-23
Position#76
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Harvard 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ HARV 95%■ MIT 5%
Pythia win probability
MIT
USA
Position#384
Record-
FormLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Harvard v MIT
02 Nov 2026
HARV73
MIT45
07 Nov 2025
HARV79
MIT50
20 Nov 2021
HARV98
MIT52
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Harvard host MIT in the NCAA. Pythia makes Harvard the favourite at 95% and projects 80-61, about 141 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Harvard winWon
95.1%fair 1.05
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MIT winLost
4.9%fair 20.48
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HarvardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A07/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
35-31
29-21
38-44
32-30
39-28
31-22
25-31
34-30
32-36
25-24
48-30
21-33
37-23
31-21
30-43
38-33
43-38
26-30
27-23
128.9Avg total
67.1Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.161.8128.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)66.661.4128.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.871.0137.8-4.250%
vs Similar (14)69.365.8135.1+3.557%
vs Weaker (11)71.167.0138.1+4.164%
MITUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#195
L
52-98
52
98
-46
A20/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
50-79
50
79
-29
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-44
28-54
18-34
32-45
139.5Avg total
51.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)51.088.5139.5-37.50%
Last 5 (2)51.088.5139.5-37.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Under 142
Over 142
48.2%
Under 142
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147
Over 147
35.9%
Under 147
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
24.9%
Under 152
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Harvard total 73Push
Over 73
78.2%
Under 73
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Harvard total 77Actual: Harvard under 77
Over 77
64.1%
Under 77
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Harvard total 81Actual: Harvard under 81
Over 81
47.5%
Under 81
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MIT total 66Actual: MIT under 66
Over 66
29.7%
Under 66
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MIT total 70Actual: MIT under 70
Over 70
17.4%
Under 70
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MIT total 74Actual: MIT under 74
Over 74
9.1%
Under 74
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Harvard -3Actual: Harvard -3
HARV -3
93.1%
MIT +3
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
HARV
No market prices yet.
MIT
No market prices yet.
Spread Harvard 0Actual: Harvard 0
HARV 0
95.1%
MIT 0
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
HARV
No market prices yet.
MIT
No market prices yet.
Spread Harvard +3Actual: Harvard +3
HARV +3
96.9%
MIT -3
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
HARV
No market prices yet.
MIT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-24-12+0+12+241st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -18.0-18.02nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -19.5-19.5
-24-12+0+12+241st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -18.0-18.02nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -19.5-19.5
HarvardMIT
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#319
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/03
NCAA
57.3Avg total
30.1Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.363.4+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.831.465.2+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)30.831.161.9-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)30.127.257.3+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)28.228.256.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.032.066.0+2.075%-
vs Similar (14)31.629.461.0+2.371%-
vs Weaker (11)32.034.666.6-2.645%-
MITLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#195
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A20/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A07/11
NCAA
60.0Avg total
21.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (2)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
Last 10 (2)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
Last 5 (2)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Harvard wins
0
MIT wins
DateGameScore
07/11/25Harvard v MIT79-50
20/11/21Harvard v MIT98-52
Harvardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HPenn60-62 OT
07/03/26HColumbia81-71
28/02/26APenn61-64
28/02/26APrinceton58-56
21/02/26ACornell73-54
14/02/26HYale75-76 OT
14/02/26HBrown56-53
07/02/26ADartmouth71-58
01/02/26AYale67-65
31/01/26ABrown69-59
MITlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25AHarvard50-79
20/11/21AHarvard52-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Harvard
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
MIT
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Harvard393473
MIT222345
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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