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Hawaii vs Seattle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 04:59
Final 74-73
47-39 27-34
Position#211
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Hawaii 🏆
USA
Vs
60%
40%
■ HAWA 60%■ SEAT 40%
Pythia win probability
Projected 72-69
Projected total 141.1
Seattle
USA
Position#217
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Hawaii faces Seattle in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, with the model favouring the Warriors as the favourite and predicting a competitive contest. Hawaii has gone 3-2 in its last five games, including a 78-63 home win over CS Fullerton, a 71-64 away win over UC Irvine and a 78-97 loss to Arkansas; Seattle has gone 4-1 in its last five, with a 71-66 away win over Loyola Marymount, a 58-56 home win over San Diego Toreros and a 58-61 loss to Pacific. The projected score is 72-69 for Hawaii, with a projected total of 141.1 points. The home line is -2.0 and the model gives a 55% chance that Hawaii will cover; the total line is 142.0 with a 47% probability of the over. The probability of Hawaii winning is 60% versus 40% for Seattle, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime. The Warriors' recent form suggests they will edge the Bruins in a close game.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hawaii winWon
60.0%fair 1.67
Best odds1.79
Implied53.7%
Edge+6.3pp
Seattle winLost
40.0%fair 2.50
Best odds2.08
Implied46.3%
Edge-6.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HawaiiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H20/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
H22/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A27/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A01/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H06/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H08/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H14/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A19/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
32-44
35-44
40-42
30-32
38-36
43-31
34-42
32-35
55-50
46-39
47-35
34-44
41-40
29-21
49-42
31-30
40-34
36-54
42-43
155.7Avg total
77.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.278.5155.7-1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.076.4155.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)72.877.3150.2-4.550%
vs Weaker (23)80.270.8151.0+9.478%
SeattleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H05/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-43
39-38
27-19
26-35
29-33
43-51
36-18
24-32
28-35
42-37
29-20
42-39
39-27
48-53
29-32
42-34
30-35
28-21
29-32
29-29
134.6Avg total
68.3Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.366.3134.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)69.064.4133.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
vs Similar (10)67.464.8132.2+2.660%
vs Weaker (13)69.165.2134.2+3.977%
Over/Under 137Actual: Over 137
Over 137
59.6%
@ 1.43-5.4pp
Under 137
40.4%
@ 2.65+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Under
Bet365
2.65
Over/Under 142 · main lineActual: Over 142
Over 142
47.2%
@ 1.88-3.3pp
Under 142
52.8%
@ 1.95+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.87
Over/Under 147Push
Over 147
35.2%
@ 2.50-2.3pp
Under 147
64.8%
@ 1.50+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Hawaii total 69Actual: Hawaii over 69
Over 69
61.9%
Under 69
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hawaii total 73 · main lineActual: Hawaii over 73
Over 73
45.9%
@ 1.85-4.1pp
Under 73
54.1%
@ 1.85+4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Hawaii total 77Actual: Hawaii under 77
Over 77
30.5%
Under 77
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 66Actual: Seattle over 66
Over 66
62.1%
Under 66
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 70 · main lineActual: Seattle over 70
Over 70
46.2%
@ 1.85-3.8pp
Under 70
53.8%
@ 1.85+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Seattle total 74Actual: Seattle under 74
Over 74
31.0%
Under 74
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hawaii -5Actual: Seattle +5
HAWA -5
43.4%
@ 2.40+4.6pp
SEAT +5
56.6%
@ 1.52-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
HAWA
Bet365
2.40
SEAT
Bet365
1.52
Spread Hawaii -2 · main lineActual: Seattle +2
HAWA -2
55.2%
@ 1.96+6.4pp
SEAT +2
44.8%
@ 1.87-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
HAWA
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.91
SEAT
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Spread Hawaii +1Actual: Hawaii +1
HAWA +1
61.7%
@ 1.71+5.8pp
SEAT -1
38.3%
@ 2.17-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
HAWA
Pinnacle
1.71
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Be
1.66
SEAT
Pinnacle
2.17
Bet365
2.07

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -0.6-0.6
HawaiiSeattle
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HawaiiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H20/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H14/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A15/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A19/03
NCAA
71.4Avg total
34.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)35.632.768.3+2.967%47%
Last 30 at home (18)36.430.667.0+5.878%50%
Last 30 away (12)34.435.870.2-1.350%42%
Last 10 (10)34.437.071.4-2.640%50%
Last 5 (5)35.237.672.8-2.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)31.236.067.2-4.850%17%
vs Weaker (23)36.232.268.4+4.070%52%
SeattleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#347
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
27-19
27
19
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/03
NCAA
61.4Avg total
32.0Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)34.530.865.3+3.750%27%
Last 30 at home (17)35.429.464.8+5.959%24%
Last 30 away (13)33.432.766.1+0.738%31%
Last 10 (10)32.029.461.4+2.650%10%
Last 5 (5)31.229.260.4+2.040%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.433.666.0-1.240%20%
vs Similar (10)31.232.964.1-1.710%20%
vs Weaker (13)35.128.563.5+6.677%23%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Hawaii win
HAWA win
no forecast
@ 1.87
SEAT win
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Spread Hawaii -0.5 · main lineActual: Hawaii -0.5
HAWA -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
SEAT +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.38
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Hawaii 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Hawaii over 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Seattle 1st half total 33 · main lineActual: Seattle over 33
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: HAWA + total 66.5
HAWA & over
no forecast
@ 3.60
HAWA & under
no forecast
@ 3.60
1st half: Draw + total 66.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: SEAT + total 66.5
SEAT & over
no forecast
@ 3.90
SEAT & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half Over/Under 67Actual: Over 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Spread Hawaii -1.5Actual: Hawaii -1.5
HAWA -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
SEAT +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Hawaii +0.5Actual: Hawaii +0.5
HAWA +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
SEAT -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Over 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Over 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 2.14
1st half Spread Hawaii -2.5Actual: Hawaii -2.5
HAWA -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
SEAT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.69
1st half Spread Hawaii +1.5Actual: Hawaii +1.5
HAWA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
SEAT -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Hawaii (regulation)
HAWA
no forecast
@ 1.87
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
SEAT
no forecast
@ 2.09

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
HAWA win + total 142.5
🔒 Pro
SEAT win + total 142.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HAWA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SEAT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Seattle under 76.576.3%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+8.9ppWon
Hawaii +8.583.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+7.3ppWon
Hawaii +678.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+7.2ppWon
Hawaii +575.1%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+7.2ppWon
Hawaii +7.581.2%1.25
Betano
1.25		----+7.2ppWon
Hawaii +6.578.7%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29		---+7.0ppWon
Hawaii +4.572.9%1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40		---+6.9ppWon
Seattle under 74.570.0%1.46
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.42		---+6.9ppWon
Hawaii +5.575.9%1.35
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.34		---+6.8ppWon
Hawaii +18.596.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.8ppWon
Hawaii +472.0%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+6.6ppWon
Under 15173.3%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+6.4ppWon
Hawaii +13.591.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+6.3ppWon
Hawaii +23.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.1ppWon
Under 151.573.9%1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35		---+5.8ppWon
Seattle under 77.579.1%1.26
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.23		---+5.7ppWon
Under 15275.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+5.3ppWon
Overtime: no94.7%1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03		---+5.1pp-
Seattle under 75.573.3%1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.34		---+5.0ppWon
Seattle +21.594.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.6ppWon
Seattle under 80.586.3%1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12		---+4.1ppWon
Under 154.579.3%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+4.0ppWon
Under 150.571.9%1.36
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.31		---+4.0ppWon
Under 169.595.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.8ppWon
Seattle under 79.584.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+3.7ppWon
Hawaii under 77.570.6%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+3.2ppWon
Hawaii under 88.594.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.1ppWon
Seattle under 83.591.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.9ppWon
Under 164.591.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.8ppWon
Seattle under 81.588.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.8ppWon
Hawaii under 90.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.7ppWon
Under 167.594.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.6ppWon
Under 159.586.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.3ppWon
Seattle +16.588.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.0ppWon
Hawaii under 86.592.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.0ppWon
Under 15071.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+1.3ppWon
Hawaii under 84.589.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+0.7ppWon
Under 162.590.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+0.6ppWon
Under 152.575.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+0.5ppWon
Hawaii under 78.573.9%1.27
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25		--+0.2ppWon
Hawaii over 62.582.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+0.1ppWon
Seattle +11.577.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----0.2ppWon
Over 117.592.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----0.3ppWon
Seattle over 55.590.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----0.4ppWon
Under 157.584.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----0.4ppWon
Hawaii over 66.570.5%1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.30		---0.5ppWon
Hawaii under 81.582.4%1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12		----0.5ppWon
Hawaii under 82.584.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.7ppWon
Hawaii under 80.579.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----0.7ppWon
Hawaii over 64.576.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----0.9ppWon
Seattle +971.0%1.28
Bet365
1.28		-----1.3ppWon
Seattle +9.571.9%1.25
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.24		----1.8ppWon
Seattle over 56.589.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----2.1ppWon
Hawaii over 63.579.7%1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13		----2.2ppWon
Over 119.590.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.3ppWon
Seattle over 57.587.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----2.3ppWon
Over 122.587.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----2.6ppWon
Hawaii over 65.573.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----4.0ppWon
Seattle over 58.584.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----4.1ppWon
Seattle over 59.582.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----4.1ppWon
Seattle over 60.579.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----5.2ppWon
Seattle over 61.577.0%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----5.3ppWon
Over 124.584.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----5.4ppWon
Seattle over 63.570.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----5.6ppWon
Over 127.579.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----6.2ppWon
Seattle over 62.573.9%1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.13		----6.9ppWon
Over 129.575.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----9.9ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hawaii wins
0
Seattle wins
No previous meetings.
Hawaiilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AArkansas78-97
15/03/26AUC Irvine71-64
14/03/26HCS Fullerton78-63
08/03/26HLong Beach State75-84
06/03/26HUC Riverside93-74
01/03/26ACS Fullerton87-85
27/02/26AUC Davis77-73
22/02/26HUC Santa Barbara78-75 OT
20/02/26HCal Poly75-86
15/02/26ACS Northridge60-84
Seattlelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26APacific58-61
07/03/26HSan Diego Toreros58-56
01/03/26ALoyola Marymount71-66
26/02/26APepperdine87-80
22/02/26HPortland71-59
19/02/26HSt. Marys (CA)70-72
16/02/26HOregon State60-50
12/02/26ASanta Clara72-84
08/02/26APortland53-54
05/02/26HPepperdine83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hawaii
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 142---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Seattle
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 142---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Riverside110100%110.047.0+63.0
2 UC Santa Barbara110100%85.055.0+30.0
3 UC San Diego110100%100.075.0+25.0
4 Cal Poly110100%78.062.0+16.0
5 Long Beach State1010%63.066.0-3.0
6 UC Davis1010%75.079.0-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland110100%133.089.0+44.0
2 Oregon State110100%102.061.0+41.0
3 Santa Clara110100%89.070.0+19.0
4 San Diego Toreros110100%79.062.0+17.0
5 San Francisco110100%76.062.0+14.0
6 St. Marys (CA)110100%90.085.0+5.0
7 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
8 Gonzaga1010%72.078.0-6.0
9 Washington State1010%61.076.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Hawaii472774
Seattle393473
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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