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HBA W vs Kataja W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-35
21-14 15-5 19-5 15-11
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game72.0
HBA W 🏆
Finland
vs
Kataja W
Finland
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game72.0
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Meetings · HBA W v Kataja W
22 Oct 2023
HBA 70
KATA35
22 Jan 2023
HBA 58
KATA45
03 Apr 2022
HBA 77
KATA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A19/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A24/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
H26/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A31/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H04/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
64-49
64
49
+15
no box
A12/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H14/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
no box
A18/04
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 60
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
69-61
69
61
+8
66avg 60
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
17-18
16-9
17-18
29-23
20-13
9-12
18-15
18-9
17-11
19-15
13-16
12-16
23-15
12-13
17-18
9-22
21-15
22-23
22-12
13-11
19-18
13-12
19-8
10-24
7-29
23-12
27-12
12-10
15-23
6-21
12-9
14-20
18-16
11-24
27-23
21-14
16-13
18-13
14-21
129.9Avg total
66.0Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.572.0141.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)69.061.0130.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)66.063.9129.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)63.066.6129.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.967.8129.8-5.942%
vs Similar (5)70.459.4129.8+11.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.153.8127.8+20.385%
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kataja WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
48-76
48
76
-28
no box
H29/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A05/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#10
W
61-37
61
37
+24
no box
H19/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A05/03
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
82-43
82
43
+39
no box
H12/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#3
L
54-81
54
81
-27
no box
A19/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
A22/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
61-81
61
81
-20
no box
H26/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
55-61
55
61
-6
40avg 38
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
53-83
53
83
-30
36avg 38
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
8-16
12-15
13-20
25-15
22-22
24-18
14-23
18-9
19-5
11-6
13-17
23-16
6-18
8-17
21-14
25-19
15-3
18-9
24-12
17-18
3-35
15-13
19-15
17-11
14-18
16-31
10-16
12-24
22-12
10-21
17-24
11-19
18-14
11-17
15-11
10-17
10-16
21-30
12-20
129.5Avg total
61.4Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)53.083.0136.0-30.00%
Season away (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)61.468.1129.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)56.076.4132.4-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.076.9130.9-22.96%
vs Similar (10)67.063.7130.7+3.360%
vs Weaker (4)62.052.8114.8+9.250%
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
HBA WKataja W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A19/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H26/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A31/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H04/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A12/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
17-53
17
53
-36
H14/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A18/04
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
65.8Avg total
32.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.329.065.2+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.063.1+9.171%-
Last 30 away (16)36.430.767.1+5.862%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.365.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.035.664.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.832.862.7-3.042%-
vs Similar (5)38.230.068.2+8.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.525.066.5+16.585%-
This opponent (Kataja W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kataja WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H29/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#10
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H19/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A05/03
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H12/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#3
L
20-53
20
53
-33
A19/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
64.2Avg total
31.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.466.2-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.333.964.3-3.627%-
Last 30 away (15)31.436.868.2-5.440%-
Last 10 (10)31.033.264.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)26.836.863.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.839.867.6-12.012%-
vs Similar (10)36.731.768.4+5.060%-
vs Weaker (4)28.526.855.2+1.850%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.015.5
36.9%
40.2%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
24.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
63.2%13.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kataja Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja W: 54.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀31%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers17.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.08.5
28.3%
40.2%17.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.08.5
25.8%
24.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.511.5
79.3%
63.2%11.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
WLLLWWWWWW
Kataja W
LLLLLWLWWL
#9
League position
#16
-2.8
Net rating
-21.1
76.7
Offensive rating
63.4
79.5
Defensive rating
84.5
41.7%
Effective FG%
33.7%
38.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
28.4%
Turnover %
32.2%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.3%
3-point %
25.8%
63.8%
Assist %
50.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence76.7 · 63.4Defence79.5 · 84.5Shooting41.7% · 33.7%3-point %33.3% · 25.8%Ball care28.4% · 32.2%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ HBA W   ■ Kataja W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
HBA W wins
0
Kataja W wins
DateGameScore
22/01/23HBA W v Kataja W58-45
03/04/22HBA W v Kataja W77-76
02/01/22Kataja W v HBA W43-54
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HLahti Basketball W69-61
08/10/23ABC Nokia W70-83
18/04/23AEspoo Team II W45-63
14/04/23HEspoo Team II W67-77
12/04/23AEspoo Team II W64-49
04/04/23HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W74-72
31/03/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W64-62
26/03/23HPyrinto II W67-51
24/03/23APyrinto II W76-63
19/03/23AEspoo Team II W64-58
Kataja Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HBC Nokia W53-83
08/10/23ALePy W55-61
26/03/23HEspoo Team II W61-81
22/03/23AEspoo Team II W57-76
19/03/23ATapiolan Honka II W54-81
12/03/23HPantterit W82-43
05/03/23AJyvaskyla BA W58-65
19/02/23HPuhuttaret W61-37
05/02/23ABC Nokia W85-78
29/01/23HPyrinto II W48-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.569.070.0
Allowed / game72.061.083.0
Point differential-2.5+8.0-13.0
Avg total141.5130.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game54.053.055.0
Allowed / game72.083.061.0
Point differential-18.0-30.0-6.0
Avg total126.0136.0116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tapiolan Honka II W220100%72.540.5+32.0
2 BC Nokia W330100%82.363.7+18.7
3 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W330100%79.361.7+17.7
4 LePy W220100%59.055.0+4.0
5 Lahti Basketball W32167%66.063.3+2.7
6 Lappeenranta W32167%64.364.3+0.0
7 HBA W21150%69.572.0-2.5
8 Korihait W21150%64.073.5-9.5
9 HyPo W21150%61.071.5-10.5
10 Espoo Team II W21150%56.068.5-12.5
11 Turun NMKY W21150%48.565.0-16.5
12 Puhuttaret W3030%71.374.3-3.0
13 Pyrinto II W2020%58.062.5-4.5
14 Pantterit W2020%57.062.0-5.0
15 Jyvaskyla BA W3030%60.367.7-7.3
16 Kataja W2020%54.072.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W2115191570
Kataja W14551135
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