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Hercegovac vs Sloboda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-76
15-23 24-24 12-18 24-11
Position#3
Record15-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#2
Record13-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.7
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 21· Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hercegovac v Sloboda
30 Dec 2026
HERC v SLOB
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
HERC75
SLOB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hercegovac winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HercegovacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHercegovac
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 83
H13/12
First League
Vrsac
#15
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 83
A20/12
First League
Tamis
#11
W
90-68
90
68
+22
93avg 83
H28/12
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
103-88
103
88
+15
97avg 83
A04/01
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
66avg 83
H10/01
First League
Sloga
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
no box
H16/01
First League
Cacak 94
#12
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 83
A25/01
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
98avg 83
H31/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 83
H07/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 83
A11/02
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-19
28-21
16-16
24-21
26-26
22-16
18-22
22-9
25-28
23-16
20-15
25-25
26-22
33-23
19-18
22-24
15-23
19-23
21-31
23-21
25-17
12-20
19-20
15-22
24-22
26-15
19-14
24-19
27-18
23-20
20-13
22-18
20-17
26-16
27-28
28-29
13-16
20-21
23-26
168.8Avg total
87.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.881.8169.6+6.075%
Season at home (10)87.479.4166.8+8.090%
Season away (10)88.384.2172.5+4.160%
Last 10 (10)87.881.0168.8+6.880%
Last 5 (5)87.278.4165.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.0101.0178.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)74.777.3152.0-2.733%
vs Weaker (16)91.081.4172.4+9.688%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
66-67
66
67
-1
no box
H17/01
First League
TFT Skopje
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
83avg 79
A21/01
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 79
A24/01
First League
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
92-63
92
63
+29
89avg 79
H25/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloga
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H31/01
First League
Vrsac
#13
W
88-70
88
70
+18
91avg 79
H04/02
ABA League 2
Jahorina
#7
L
71-77
71
77
-6
62avg 79
H07/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Cacak 94
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
82avg 79
A08/02
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 79
H11/02
First League
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
66-79
66
79
-13
58avg 79
A11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
8-19
25-15
10-24
21-27
22-26
21-17
17-11
13-25
25-28
19-17
13-21
18-19
24-18
27-16
23-10
19-16
23-24
24-16
17-21
21-15
25-20
24-17
18-18
17-33
24-16
21-14
9-14
24-20
23-18
25-21
21-27
15-13
24-21
21-25
25-23
15-19
17-18
17-21
17-21
159.3Avg total
80.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.278.7162.9+5.565%
Season at home (10)83.772.0155.7+11.780%
Season away (10)84.885.4170.2-0.650%
Last 10 (10)80.578.8159.3+1.750%
Last 5 (5)80.678.8159.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.092.0181.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.275.6148.8-2.460%
vs Weaker (24)87.776.7164.4+11.079%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
HercegovacSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HercegovacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/12
First League
Vrsac
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A20/12
First League
Tamis
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H28/12
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/01
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H10/01
First League
Sloga
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/01
First League
Cacak 94
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/01
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H31/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/02
First League
86.0Avg total
44.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)42.240.983.0+1.352%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.139.182.2+4.070%-
Last 30 away (11)41.442.583.8-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.884.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.740.380.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (16)43.840.884.6+3.062%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H17/01
First League
TFT Skopje
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A21/01
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/01
First League
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Sloga
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H31/01
First League
Vrsac
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/02
ABA League 2
Jahorina
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H07/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Cacak 94
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A08/02
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
First League
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
80.5Avg total
40.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.380.5+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.737.178.8+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.882.4+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.480.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.679.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.040.087.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
vs Weaker (24)42.637.580.1+5.271%-
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hercegovactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hercegovac: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.222.1
61.0%
57.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.7
30.5%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws27.819.6
70.5%
72.6%19.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.8
60.6%
57.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.3
29.2%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.014.4
68.6%
72.6%14.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hercegovac
LWWWWLWWWW
Sloboda
LWWLWWWLLL
#3
League position
#2
+6.8
Net rating
+4.3
105.2
Offensive rating
96.0
98.4
Defensive rating
91.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.5%
3-point %
29.2%
68.8%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 96.0Defence98.4 · 91.7Shooting54.3% · 52.3%3-point %30.5% · 29.2%Ball care16.1% · 14.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · -Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Hercegovac   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hercegovac wins
1
Sloboda wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Sloboda v Hercegovac70-65
Hercegovaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AOKK Beograd84-92
07/02/26HMladost Zemun95-79
31/01/26HBorac Zemun94-70
25/01/26ACacak 9484-73
16/01/26HSloga79-78
10/01/26HZlatibor77-101
04/01/26AVojvodina Novi Sad103-88
28/12/25HTamis90-68
20/12/25AVrsac90-85
13/12/25HRadnicki82-76
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AMrkonjic Grad66-79
11/02/26HBorac Zemun85-82
08/02/26ACacak 9493-86
07/02/26HJahorina71-77
04/02/26HVrsac88-70
31/01/26HSloga83-77
25/01/26HLeotar Trebinje92-63
24/01/26AZlatibor70-91
21/01/26ATFT Skopje91-96 OT
17/01/26HVojvodina Novi Sad66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hercegovac
First League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game87.887.488.3
Allowed / game81.879.484.2
Point differential+6.0+8.0+4.1
Avg total169.7166.8172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Sloboda
First League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game84.283.784.8
Allowed / game78.772.085.4
Point differential+5.5+11.7-0.6
Avg total162.9155.7170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor2120195%92.880.4+12.3
2 Hercegovac2015575%87.881.8+6.0
3 Sloga2114767%88.281.3+7.0
4 Sloboda2013765%84.278.7+5.5
5 Vojvodina Novi Sad2013765%84.281.2+3.0
6 BKK Radnicki2012860%85.683.9+1.7
7 Tamis2011955%86.283.8+2.4
8 KK Metalac21111052%84.585.0-0.5
9 Radnicki2191243%85.388.3-3.0
10 OKK Beograd2081240%93.396.7-3.4
11 Cacak 942071335%82.886.3-3.5
12 Borac Zemun2071335%85.990.8-5.0
13 Dynamic2071335%86.392.4-6.1
14 Vrsac1951426%86.491.0-4.6
15 Mladost Zemun1951426%81.088.1-7.1
16 Sombor BC2041620%79.185.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hercegovac1524122475
Sloboda2324181176
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