High Point faces Washington State on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the model rates High Point as the clear favourite, giving it a 97% chance to win largely because of its undefeated 2-0 record, 67.5 points per game and 53.0 points allowed per game, while Washington State sits 0-1 with 61.0 points per game and 76.0 points allowed. High Point has won both of its games, including a 63-49 victory over Md.-East. Shore and a 72-57 win over Liberty, and its last five games show four wins and one loss, with the most recent loss to Arkansas 88-94 away. Washington State has lost all five of its recent games, including defeats to Davidson, Portland and Pepperdine, and its only game this season ended 61-76 at home. The two teams have not met before, so there is no head-to-head history. Pythia projects a 88-65 score, 152.5 total points, a 97% probability for High Point to win and a 3% chance for Washington State, with a -11.5 line that High Point has an 84% chance to cover, an over-line of 153.5 with a 48% probability of the over, and a 1% chance of overtime, leaving the game poised for a decisive High Point performance.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
High Point winWon
97.1%fair 1.03
Best odds1.12
Implied86.2%
Edge+10.9pp
Washington State winLost
2.9%fair 34.64
Best odds8.00
Implied13.8%
Edge-10.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (High Point) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
52.5%
@ 1.72-2.5pp
Under 151.5
47.5%
@ 2.47+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Be
1.61
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.10
Over/Under 156.5 · main lineActual: Under 156.5
Over 156.5
40.2%
@ 1.91-9.8pp
Under 156.5
59.8%
@ 1.95+9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
28.8%
@ 2.90-6.4pp
Under 161.5
71.2%
@ 1.50+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.90
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.36
📊 3. Team Totals
High Point total 79Actual: High Point over 79
Over 79
81.7%
Under 79
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
High Point total 83 · main linePush
Over 83
68.6%
@ 1.85+18.6pp
Under 83
31.4%
@ 1.85-18.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
High Point total 87Actual: High Point under 87
Over 87
52.5%
Under 87
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Washington State total 67Actual: Washington State over 67
Over 67
41.2%
Under 67
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Washington State total 71 · main linePush
Over 71
26.2%
@ 1.85-24.0pp
Under 71
73.8%
@ 1.86+24.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Washington State total 75Actual: Washington State under 75
Over 75
14.8%
Under 75
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread High Point -16Actual: Washington State +16
HIGH -16
72.9%
@ 2.25+31.8pp
WASH +16
27.1%
@ 1.57-31.8pp
Best 5 market prices
HIGH
Bet365
2.25
WASH
Bet365
1.57
Spread High Point -13 · main lineActual: Washington State +13
HIGH -13
81.0%
@ 1.93+31.1pp
WASH +13
19.0%
@ 1.95-31.1pp
Best 5 market prices
HIGH
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.80
WASH
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
Spread High Point -10Actual: High Point -10
HIGH -10
87.2%
@ 1.72+29.1pp
WASH +10
12.8%
@ 2.50-29.1pp
Best 5 market prices
HIGH
Marathon Be
1.72
Bet365
1.50
WASH
Bet365
2.50
Marathon Be
2.01
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
High PointWashington State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (High Point) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: High Point win
HIGH win
no forecast
@ 1.31
WASH win
no forecast
@ 3.50
2nd half Spread High Point -5.5 · main lineActual: High Point -5.5
HIGH -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
WASH +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
2nd half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: High Point (regulation)
HIGH
no forecast
@ 1.34
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
WASH
no forecast
@ 3.50
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
High Point -15
75.8%
2.21
Pinnacle
2.33
Bet365
2.10
-
-
-
+34.6pp
Lost
High Point -14
78.5%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathon Bet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.92
-
+33.5pp
Lost
High Point -14.5
76.5%
2.07
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
SBO
2.00
-
+33.5pp
Lost
High Point -16
72.9%
2.25
Bet365
2.25
-
-
-
-
+31.8pp
Lost
High Point -13.5
79.0%
1.91
Pinnacle
2.03
SBO
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
+31.8pp
Lost
High Point -15.5
73.7%
2.18
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.12
-
-
+31.5pp
Lost
High Point -13
81.0%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
-
+31.1pp
Lost
High Point -16.5
70.8%
2.31
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
-
-
-
+30.7pp
Lost
High Point -12.5
81.4%
1.78
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
SBO
1.78
+29.1pp
Lost
High Point -10
87.2%
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+29.1pp
Won
High Point -12
83.3%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.68
-
-
+28.7pp
Push
High Point -10.5
85.6%
1.64
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
+27.2pp
Won
High Point -11.5
83.6%
1.73
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
+27.1pp
Won
High Point -11
85.4%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.57
-
-
+27.0pp
Won
Washington State under 72.5
77.8%
1.79
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.72
-
-
+26.6pp
Won
Washington State under 72
77.1%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Won
Washington State under 71.5
74.7%
1.88
Pinnacle
1.96
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
+26.4pp
Won
Washington State under 70.5
71.4%
1.92
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.02
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
+26.4pp
Lost
High Point -9.5
87.5%
1.54
Marathon Bet
1.67
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
+24.5pp
Won
Washington State under 71
73.8%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+24.0pp
Push
High Point -9
89.0%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
High Point -8.5
89.1%
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+23.2pp
Won
Washington State under 73.5
80.6%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+23.2pp
Won
High Point over 82
72.3%
1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Won
High Point -8
90.5%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+21.5pp
Won
High Point -7.5
90.6%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+21.4pp
Won
Washington State under 75.5
85.6%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+21.0pp
Won
Washington State under 74.5
83.2%
1.47
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
+20.7pp
Won
Washington State under 70
70.4%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
-
-
-
-
+20.6pp
Lost
High Point -4.5
94.2%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+20.1pp
Won
High Point -7
91.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Won
High Point -6.5
92.0%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Won
High Point over 81.5
73.2%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Won
High Point -5.5
93.2%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Won
High Point -5
94.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+19.4pp
Won
High Point -4
95.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Won
High Point -6
93.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
Washington State under 76.5
87.7%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Won
Washington State under 77.5
89.5%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
High Point -1.5
96.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
High Point over 77.5
84.7%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
High Point (regulation)
96.6%
1.11
Marathon Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
-
-
-
+15.7pp
Won
High Point -3.5
95.2%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+15.7pp
Won
High Point over 78.5
82.2%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
High Point over 73.5
92.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+12.8pp
Won
High Point win
97.1%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
+10.9pp
Won
High Point +3.5
98.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
High Point over 79.5
79.4%
1.35
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
High Point +1.5
97.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Won
Under 163
74.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
High Point over 80.5
76.5%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Under 164
76.8%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Won
Under 163.5
75.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Won
Under 164.5
77.2%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
High Point +6.5
98.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
High Point +8.5
99.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
High Point over 75.5
89.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Won
Under 166.5
80.8%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 161.5
71.2%
1.43
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
High Point over 74.5
90.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Overtime: no
99.2%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+6.2pp
-
Under 162.5
73.3%
1.38
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Under 171.5
88.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
High Point over 76.5
87.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Under 176.5
93.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Under 161
70.6%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Under 162
72.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 178.5
94.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Under 173.5
90.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Over 128.5
93.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Under 168.5
84.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
High Point under 102.5
93.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
High Point under 101.5
91.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Over 133.5
88.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Over 131.5
90.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
High Point under 99.5
88.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
High Point under 95.5
78.8%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Over 138.5
80.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Over 143.5
71.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Washington State over 53.5
87.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
High Point under 97.5
84.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Over 136.5
84.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
High Point under 94.5
75.8%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Washington State over 54.5
85.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Washington State over 55.5
82.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.5pp
Won
Over 141.5
75.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.2pp
Won
Washington State over 56.5
80.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
High Point under 93.5
72.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-11.9pp
Won
Washington State over 57.5
77.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-13.6pp
Won
Washington State over 58.5
74.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.4pp
Won
Washington State over 59.5
70.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-18.1pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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