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HNMKY W vs LePy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 53-67
9-16 13-13 12-17 19-21
Position#9
Record6-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#7
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game62.3
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Namika Areena
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HNMKY W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HNMKY WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#8
L
65-67
65
67
-2
59avg 50
A02/11
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
68-55
68
55
+13
60avg 50
H08/11
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
76avg 50
A23/11
I Divisioona Women
Salon Vilpas W
#17
W
76-62
76
62
+14
61avg 50
A30/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
51-63
51
63
-12
41avg 50
H07/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
54-58
54
58
-4
34avg 50
H14/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
40-95
40
95
-55
27avg 50
A21/12
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
64-56
64
56
+8
60avg 50
H11/01
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A15/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
W
72-70
72
70
+2
70avg 50
A25/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
15-15
18-15
13-11
24-11
20-8
14-15
10-21
26-15
21-13
13-21
21-10
21-10
21-11
22-25
12-16
7-21
19-14
14-14
11-14
18-15
14-13
13-21
9-9
10-28
6-19
19-36
5-12
21-14
10-7
19-14
14-21
25-8
14-15
29-13
27-13
17-19
17-15
21-13
17-23
130.0Avg total
66.6Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)63.062.5125.5+0.546%
Season at home (6)55.757.2112.8-1.533%
Season away (7)69.367.1136.4+2.157%
Last 10 (10)66.663.4130.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)65.065.6130.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)56.674.2130.8-17.722%
vs Similar ◀ (8)59.464.9124.2-5.538%
vs Weaker (13)69.454.3123.7+15.185%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
66-59
66
59
+7
58avg 53
H02/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
55-90
55
90
-35
40avg 53
A09/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
66-61
66
61
+5
52avg 53
A16/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
44-73
44
73
-29
25avg 53
H23/11
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 53
H30/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#10
W
58-52
58
52
+6
44avg 53
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
L
47-70
47
70
-23
28avg 53
H18/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
61avg 53
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
no box
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
73-53
73
53
+20
76avg 53
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-9
14-22
8-15
28-13
11-19
18-20
6-26
20-25
9-11
16-13
22-17
19-20
11-19
13-19
12-19
8-16
26-15
10-23
8-19
14-23
11-18
19-12
15-16
13-6
11-25
13-21
10-8
13-16
19-26
18-15
13-12
18-20
4-16
19-14
14-18
5-4
15-12
23-15
17-12
18-14
124.0Avg total
57.7Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)61.862.3124.1-0.554%
Season at home (7)59.061.9120.9-2.943%
Season away (6)65.062.8127.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)57.766.3124.0-8.640%
Last 5 (5)57.660.0117.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)54.459.9114.3-5.540%
vs Similar ◀ (6)61.864.7126.5-2.850%
vs Weaker (14)70.954.7125.6+16.179%
This opponent (HNMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
HNMKY WLePy W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HNMKY WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A02/11
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#11
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H08/11
I Divisioona Women
Huima W
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A23/11
I Divisioona Women
Salon Vilpas W
#17
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A30/11
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H07/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H14/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
16-47
16
47
-31
A21/12
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H11/01
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A15/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/01
I Divisioona Women
64.2Avg total
34.5Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.929.362.2+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.729.661.3+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)34.228.963.1+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)34.529.764.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)30.430.661.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.036.167.1-5.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)28.531.259.8-2.812%-
vs Weaker (13)37.023.360.3+13.792%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H02/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A09/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#14
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A16/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H23/11
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/11
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#10
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#16
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H18/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H18/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H25/01
I Divisioona Women
64.0Avg total
29.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.962.2+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.630.962.5+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)33.028.961.9+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)29.634.464.0-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.434.865.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.528.355.8-0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.234.765.8-3.517%-
vs Weaker (14)36.129.165.2+7.164%-
This opponent (HNMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HNMKY Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HNMKY W: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.918.1
37.8%
41.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.34.6
21.6%
25.8%13.8
🏀 Free throws20.211.8
58.4%
63.9%11.8
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 60.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.312.9
38.7%
41.2%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.27.5
21.3%
25.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
63.9%12.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HNMKY W
WWWLLLWWWL
LePy W
WLLLWLLWLW
#9
League position
#7
-1.1
Net rating
-6.1
70.6
Offensive rating
75.5
71.8
Defensive rating
81.7
36.1%
Effective FG%
35.3%
37.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
28.2%
Turnover %
26.2%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
40.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
21.6%
3-point %
21.3%
64.3%
Assist %
77.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence70.6 · 75.5Defence71.8 · 81.7Shooting36.1% · 35.3%3-point %21.6% · 21.3%Ball care28.2% · 26.2%Off. rebounds37.3% · 40.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ HNMKY W   ■ LePy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
HNMKY W wins
0
LePy W wins
No previous meetings.
HNMKY Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26ATapiolan Honka II W72-70
15/01/26APeKa II W95-49
11/01/26HLappeenranta W64-56
21/12/25AEspoo Team II W40-95
14/12/25HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W54-58
07/12/25HPuhuttaret W51-63
30/11/25ASalon Vilpas W76-62
23/11/25AHuima W81-59
08/11/25HFeeniks Basket W68-55
02/11/25APantterit W65-67
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HPantterit W73-53
18/01/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W42-52
08/01/26ATapiolan Honka II W68-73
18/12/25HPeKa II W47-70
07/12/25ALahti Basketball W58-52
30/11/25HJyvaskyla BA W58-80
23/11/25HPyrinto II W44-73
16/11/25ALappeenranta W66-61
09/11/25AEspoo Team II W55-90
02/11/25HPuhuttaret W66-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HNMKY W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW46%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayWWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%33%57%
Points / game63.055.769.3
Allowed / game62.557.267.1
Point differential+0.5-1.5+2.1
Avg total125.5112.8136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%17%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%43%67%
Points / game61.859.065.0
Allowed / game62.361.962.8
Point differential-0.5-2.9+2.2
Avg total124.1120.9127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Espoo Team II W1211192%89.954.2+35.8
2 Puhuttaret W1210283%68.855.5+13.3
3 Pantterit W1310377%70.759.8+10.8
4 Pyrinto II W129375%62.056.8+5.2
5 Turun NMKY W139469%72.361.2+11.1
6 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W149564%70.063.2+6.8
7 Tapiolan Honka II W138562%73.965.6+8.3
8 LePy W137654%61.862.3-0.5
9 HNMKY W136746%63.062.5+0.5
10 PeKa II W135838%60.764.7-4.0
11 Lahti Basketball W135838%61.566.5-5.0
12 Feeniks Basket W135838%57.162.4-5.3
13 Jyvaskyla BA W135838%57.967.6-9.7
14 Huima W134931%61.672.7-11.1
15 Lappeenranta W1331023%60.572.0-11.5
16 HyPo W1321115%56.278.7-22.5
17 Salon Vilpas W121118%56.276.2-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HNMKY W913121953
LePy W1613172167
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