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Hogsbo vs Norrort Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-75
30-16 23-17 21-18 29-24
Position#1
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.8
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Norrort
Sweden
Position#15
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game72.2
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Norrort
21 Oct 2023
HOGS103
NORR75
29 Oct 2022
HOGS104
NORR76
09 Oct 2021
HOGS99
NORR84
12 Dec 2020
HOGS v NORR
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
HOGS133
NORR125
17 Nov 2019
HOGS94
NORR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norrort winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Team4Q
#14
W
143-79
143
79
+64
no box
A18/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
118-99
118
99
+19
no box
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
59avg 71
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 71
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 71
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 71
H13/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-31
37-11
32-20
38-17
25-16
19-21
22-22
13-27
26-25
36-30
28-18
28-26
27-16
19-25
26-17
38-21
17-27
17-29
27-23
28-21
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
22-18
29-23
11-20
14-20
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
179.5Avg total
95.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.577.8157.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
Season away (2)73.571.0144.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)95.184.4179.5+10.760%
Last 5 (5)82.480.2162.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.090.0190.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.282.2175.4+11.078%
This opponent (Norrort) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrortSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrort
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H05/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
A11/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H14/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
97-97
97
97
+0
no box
A16/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A16/09
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
74-56
74
56
+18
32avg 48
H24/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
53-74
53
74
-21
39avg 48
H01/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
62-75
62
75
-13
52avg 48
H08/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 48
A14/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
66-81
66
81
-15
53avg 48
H17/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
24-29
35-13
20-30
26-19
19-17
16-19
25-24
9-29
14-16
22-24
20-24
23-23
32-35
22-21
20-18
–
–
–
–
20-13
17-11
21-20
16-12
13-11
15-18
11-19
14-26
11-19
18-25
16-11
17-20
23-10
9-21
17-20
20-19
18-18
20-21
12-23
16-19
153.1Avg total
74.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.572.2137.7-6.717%
Season at home (4)63.871.5135.2-7.825%
Season away (2)69.073.5142.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)74.179.0153.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)64.871.2136.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.284.0159.2-8.823%
vs Similar (12)78.275.5153.7+2.758%
vs Weaker (5)81.272.0153.2+9.280%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
HogsboNorrort
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team4Q
#14
W
73-42
73
42
+31
A18/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
91.2Avg total
47.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.441.689.0+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.342.492.7+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)44.440.885.2+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)47.543.791.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.284.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.044.097.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.241.588.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Norrort) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrortLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H05/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H14/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A16/04
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H01/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H08/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/10
Superettan
75.9Avg total
36.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.938.377.2+0.641%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.176.8-1.533%-
Last 30 away (14)40.237.477.6+2.850%-
Last 10 (9)36.939.075.9-2.133%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.466.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.838.677.5+0.246%-
vs Similar (11)38.637.275.8+1.536%-
vs Weaker (5)39.640.079.6-0.440%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.0
55.6%
50.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.8
27.0%
31.3%23.2
🏀 Free throws20.513.2
64.6%
66.9%13.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrorttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrort: 64.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.819.0
41.5%
50.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.4
26.2%
31.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws15.210.2
67.1%
66.9%10.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWLLWLWWLW
Norrort
LLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#15
+2.2
Net rating
-7.5
97.4
Offensive rating
83.5
95.2
Defensive rating
91.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
40.8%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
23.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
27.0%
3-point %
26.2%
60.0%
Assist %
52.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 83.5Defence95.2 · 91.0Shooting49.1% · 40.8%3-point %27.0% · 26.2%Ball care19.4% · 23.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 33.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Norrort
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo wins
1
Norrort wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Norrort v Hogsbo53-74
04/03/23Norrort v Hogsbo77-85
29/10/22Hogsbo v Norrort104-76
20/02/22Norrort v Hogsbo89-92
09/10/21Hogsbo v Norrort99-84
22/02/20Hogsbo v Norrort133-125 OT
04/01/20Norrort v Hogsbo79-74
17/11/19Hogsbo v Norrort94-89
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
23/09/23HAIK Basket76-81
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90
06/04/23AIK Eos89-100
31/03/23AWetterbygden Stars110-79
25/03/23HIK Eos118-99
21/03/23ARIG Mark79-86
18/03/23ATeam4Q143-79
Norrortlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HTureberg66-81
14/10/23AHelsingborg69-70
08/10/23HMalbas62-75
01/10/23HHogsbo53-74
24/09/23HKFUM Kalmar74-56
16/09/23AOckelbo69-77
16/04/23AHelsingborg97-97
14/04/23HHelsingborg65-93
11/04/23ATureberg86-79
05/04/23HTureberg100-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.585.573.5
Allowed / game77.884.571.0
Point differential+1.8+1.0+2.5
Avg total157.2170.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norrort
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game65.563.869.0
Allowed / game72.271.573.5
Point differential-6.7-7.8-4.5
Avg total137.7135.2142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tureberg440100%73.060.0+13.0
2 AIK Basket660100%84.074.8+9.2
3 Helsingborg65183%84.773.2+11.5
4 Huddinge75271%86.077.3+8.7
5 IK Eos53260%83.276.6+6.6
6 Malbas53260%73.268.4+4.8
7 Djurgarden74357%86.483.6+2.9
8 KFUM Fryshuset74357%84.685.6-1.0
9 Hogsbo42250%79.577.8+1.8
10 Wetterbygden Stars83538%75.876.2-0.5
11 Ockelbo83538%68.871.9-3.1
12 Sloga Uppsala62433%73.079.5-6.5
13 Eskilstuna41325%70.585.8-15.2
14 RIG Mark61517%67.774.2-6.5
15 Norrort61517%65.572.2-6.7
16 KFUM Kalmar71614%64.179.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo30232129103
Norrort1617182475
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