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Horsens vs Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Oct 2012
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-65
15-16 25-27 16-11 23-11
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game86.5
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game78.5
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 1
Other2012-13
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H15/03
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A19/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A02/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A16/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H27/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H30/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A04/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
27-21
30-16
17-27
15-21
21-28
29-24
22-11
17-20
21-17
22-25
14-22
26-22
15-24
23-20
23-27
27-14
11-22
23-24
24-33
13-22
13-17
16-20
6-34
26-17
18-30
25-23
18-27
23-23
22-23
34-24
21-20
22-24
21-21
16-26
26-23
23-25
19-13
21-12
16-15
170.5Avg total
82.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.886.5174.2+1.250%
Season at home (2)92.592.0184.5+0.550%
Season away (2)83.081.0164.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.887.7170.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)79.887.8167.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.687.3163.9-10.822%
vs Similar (15)88.585.8174.3+2.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.879.2161.0+2.750%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMI
#20
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A05/10
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#7
L
56-94
56
94
-38
H26/10
Denmark Cup
Aalborg
#10
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H22/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H25/09
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A29/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H08/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
21-15
22-21
25-26
18-24
20-16
11-21
20-22
14-19
17-14
16-9
20-23
14-17
13-28
17-22
12-18
19-15
148.3Avg total
70.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.578.5151.0-6.050%
Season at home (3)74.383.7158.0-9.333%
Season away (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (6)70.078.3148.3-8.350%
Last 5 (5)69.281.6150.8-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)60.785.0145.7-24.30%
vs Similar (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (1)97.090.0187.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
HorsensAarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H15/03
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A19/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A02/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A16/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H27/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/10
Basketligaen
82.6Avg total
40.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.041.983.9+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.741.784.4+1.038%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.183.5-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.439.778.1-1.256%-
vs Similar (15)44.343.487.7+0.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aalborg
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/09
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A29/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H08/10
Basketligaen
70.8Avg total
34.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)34.236.570.8-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (3)34.741.075.7-6.333%-
Last 30 away (1)33.023.056.0+10.0100%-
Last 10 (4)34.236.570.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (4)34.236.570.8-2.250%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.543.574.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (1)33.023.056.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Horsens wins
0
Aarhus wins
No previous meetings.
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/12AVaerlose79-65
30/09/12HTeam FOG Naestved85-94
27/09/12HRanders100-90
22/09/12ASvendborg87-97
16/04/12ATeam FOG Naestved48-93
02/04/12ABakken Bears85-93
28/03/12HBakken Bears87-93
26/03/12ABakken Bears74-84
19/03/12ASisu87-84
15/03/12HSisu96-84
Aarhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/12HTeam FOG Naestved61-83
29/09/12AHorsholm67-63
25/09/12HSvendborg65-78
22/09/12HAalborg97-90 OT
26/10/11HHorsholm56-94
05/10/11ABMI74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.892.583.0
Allowed / game86.592.081.0
Point differential+1.2+0.5+2.0
Avg total174.2184.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aarhus
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game72.574.367.0
Allowed / game78.583.763.0
Point differential-6.0-9.3+4.0
Avg total151.0158.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears440100%92.874.8+18.0
2 Svendborg550100%94.481.6+12.8
3 Sisu54180%83.074.2+8.8
4 Team FOG Naestved43175%76.070.0+6.0
5 Horsens42250%87.886.5+1.2
6 Aarhus42250%72.578.5-6.0
7 Horsholm51420%75.482.2-6.8
8 Randers4040%85.596.0-10.5
9 Aalborg4040%85.899.8-14.0
10 Vaerlose3030%67.084.7-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1525162379
Aarhus1627111165
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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