PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston vs La Salle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 94-55
43-23 51-32
Position#56
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Houston 🏆
USA
Vs
96%
■ HOUS 96%■ LA S 4%
Pythia win probability
Projected 81-61
Projected total 141.9
La Salle
USA
Position#366
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 2 November 2026 the Houston Cougars will host the La Salle Explorers in an NCAA contest, with the model designating Houston as the clear favourite thanks to a 96% probability of victory, a 4% chance for La Salle, and a projected score of 81-61 that places Houston well above the 138.5 over/under line, where the model assigns a 58% chance of the total exceeding that figure. Houston's season record shows a strong overall performance, and the Cougars have won three of their last five games, including a 88-57 win over Texas A&M, a 78-47 victory against Idaho, and a 55-65 loss to Illinois at home on 26 March 2026. La Salle, meanwhile, has secured only one win in their last five outings, with a 87-84 home win over Fordham on 4 March 2026, a 76-88 away loss to Saint Josephs Hawks on 7 March 2026, and a 80-99 defeat to St. Bonaventure at home on 11 March 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
95.8%fair 1.04
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Salle winLost
4.2%fair 23.82
Best odds65.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H28/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H14/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H20/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H21/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H27/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-31
29-38
55-29
47-33
35-35
42-29
37-41
45-34
37-41
36-25
33-25
36-22
36-44
38-35
48-24
30-23
46-28
42-29
22-24
33-41
138.5Avg total
75.4Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.463.1138.5+12.370%
Last 5 (5)72.859.0131.8+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)65.571.8137.2-6.20%
vs Weaker (26)78.861.6140.4+17.292%
La SalleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A04/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A07/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
77-104
77
104
-27
H24/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
80-99
80
99
-19
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
31-41
27-31
31-51
31-37
37-40
28-32
33-30
39-25
20-21
35-45
42-59
27-33
37-38
46-37
41-47
34-35
42-53
33-48
47-51
147.5Avg total
69.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.178.4147.5-9.320%
Last 5 (5)76.889.2166.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)66.076.0142.0-9.922%
vs Similar (2)65.077.0142.0-12.00%
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 133.5Actual: Over 133.5
Over 133.5
69.7%
@ 1.76+15.8pp
Under 133.5
30.3%
@ 2.52-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.76
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.93
Over/Under 138.5 · main lineActual: Over 138.5
Over 138.5
58.1%
@ 2.40+8.1pp
Under 138.5
41.9%
@ 1.93-8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Marathon Be
1.96
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.65
Bet365
1.52
Over/Under 143.5Actual: Over 143.5
Over 143.5
45.8%
@ 3.30+12.5pp
Under 143.5
54.2%
@ 1.50-12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.30
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.29

📊 3. Team Totals

Houston total 80Actual: Houston over 80
Over 80
54.7%
Under 80
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Houston total 84 · main lineActual: Houston over 84
Over 84
38.0%
@ 1.85-12.0pp
Under 84
62.0%
@ 1.85+12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Houston total 88Actual: Houston over 88
Over 88
23.4%
Under 88
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Salle total 49.5Actual: La Salle over 49.5
Over 49.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under 49.5
no forecast
@ 3.05
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.29
Under
Betano
3.05
Bet365
2.65
1xBet
2.50
La Salle total 54 · main lineActual: La Salle over 54
Over 54
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 54
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
La Salle total 58Actual: La Salle under 58
Over 58
61.0%
Under 58
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Houston -33Actual: Houston -33
HOUS -33
no forecast
@ 2.35
LA S +33
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
HOUS
Bet365
2.35
LA S
Bet365
1.54
Spread Houston -30 · main lineActual: Houston -30
HOUS -30
no forecast
@ 1.96
LA S +30
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
HOUS
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.94
Marathon Be
1.91
LA S
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
Spread Houston -27Actual: Houston -27
HOUS -27
no forecast
@ 1.60
LA S +27
no forecast
@ 2.20
Best 5 market prices
HOUS
Bet365
1.60
LA S
Bet365
2.20

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -7.0-7.0
HoustonLa Salle
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H28/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H14/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H20/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H21/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H27/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
37.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)37.830.167.9+7.763%43%
Last 30 at home (19)38.026.564.5+11.574%37%
Last 30 away (11)37.536.473.9+1.245%55%
Last 10 (10)37.632.269.8+5.440%70%
Last 5 (5)37.029.066.0+8.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)32.236.869.0-4.50%50%
vs Weaker (26)38.729.167.8+9.673%42%
La SalleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#350
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A04/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H11/03
NCAA
68.3Avg total
33.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)33.835.969.7-2.230%43%
Last 30 at home (15)35.935.171.1+0.847%47%
Last 30 away (15)31.636.768.3-5.113%40%
Last 10 (10)33.035.368.3-2.320%40%
Last 5 (5)35.039.674.6-4.620%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)33.636.670.1-3.030%44%
vs Similar (2)29.536.065.5-6.50%50%
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Houston win
HOUS win
no forecast
@ 1.02
LA S win
no forecast
@ 15.50
1st half Spread Houston -15 · main lineActual: Houston -15
HOUS -15
no forecast
@ 1.85
LA S +15
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Houston 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Houston over 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
La Salle 1st half total 23.5 · main lineActual: La Salle under 23.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half: HOUS + total 64.5
HOUS & over
no forecast
@ 1.90
HOUS & under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: Draw + total 64.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 41.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 41.00
1st half: LA S + total 64.5
LA S & over
no forecast
@ 36.00
LA S & under
no forecast
@ 36.00
1st half Spread Houston -16Actual: Houston -16
HOUS -16
no forecast
@ 1.93
LA S +16
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.38
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 3.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Houston -13.5Actual: Houston -13.5
HOUS -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
LA S +13.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Spread Houston -17Actual: Houston -17
HOUS -17
no forecast
@ 1.90
LA S +17
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Over 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 4.75
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Houston (regulation)
HOUS
no forecast
@ 1.02
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
LA S
no forecast
@ 19.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
HOUS win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
LA S win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HOUS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LA S leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
La Salle over 5572.3%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+22.3ppPush
Over 13371.2%1.69
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.68		---+16.3ppWon
Over 13273.4%1.62
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.60		---+15.5ppWon
Over 13175.4%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+15.0ppWon
Over 130.575.9%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+13.4ppWon
Over 13077.4%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+13.2ppWon
Over 12979.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+13.0ppWon
Over 129.577.8%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+12.8ppWon
Over 128.579.6%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+12.1ppWon
Over 12881.0%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+11.5ppWon
Over 12782.7%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+11.2ppWon
Over 127.581.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.9ppWon
Over 132.571.8%1.57
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.40		--+10.7ppWon
Houston under 86.570.8%1.53
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.50		--+10.3ppLost
Houston under 88.577.3%1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.29		--+10.3ppLost
Over 126.582.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+10.1ppWon
Over 131.573.9%1.45
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.35		---+9.8ppWon
Houston under 89.580.2%1.28
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.22		--+9.1ppLost
Houston under 90.582.9%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+8.8ppLost
Over 125.584.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+8.3ppWon
Houston under 87.574.1%1.40
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.33		---+8.3ppLost
Houston under 91.585.3%1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.14		---+4.9ppLost
Over 120.590.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.7ppWon
Over 117.593.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.7ppWon
Houston over 65.594.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.7ppWon
Houston over 63.596.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.5ppWon
Over 118.592.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.2ppWon
Houston over 67.591.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.9ppWon
Over 122.588.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+1.9ppWon
Houston over 64.595.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.6ppWon
Houston over 66.593.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.5ppWon
Over 123.587.3%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.2ppWon
Houston over 69.588.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+0.1ppWon
Houston over 68.589.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----0.5ppWon
Houston over 71.583.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----0.9ppWon
Houston over 73.578.0%1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.16		----1.4ppWon
Under 163.591.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.7ppWon
Houston over 70.585.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----2.8ppWon
Houston over 75.571.6%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----2.9ppWon
Under 162.590.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----3.7ppWon
Houston over 72.580.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----4.6ppWon
Under 158.585.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----5.5ppWon
Under 160.587.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----6.0ppWon
Houston over 74.574.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.14		----6.1ppWon
Under 157.583.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----6.7ppWon
Houston -9.583.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----9.1ppWon
Under 153.576.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----9.5ppWon
Under 155.580.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----10.5ppWon
Under 152.574.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----10.9ppWon
La Salle under 69.581.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----12.6ppWon
Under 150.570.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----16.1ppWon
La Salle under 67.575.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----18.4ppWon
La Salle under 66.572.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----19.4ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
La Salle wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HIllinois55-65
21/03/26HTexas A&M88-57
20/03/26HIdaho78-47
14/03/26AArizona74-79
14/03/26HKansas69-47
12/03/26HBrigham Young73-66
07/03/26AOklahoma State82-75
05/03/26HBaylor77-64
28/02/26HColorado102-62
24/02/26AKansas56-69
La Sallelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HSt. Bonaventure80-99
07/03/26ASaint Josephs Hawks76-88
04/03/26HFordham87-84
01/03/26ADavidson64-71
24/02/26HGeorge Washington77-104
21/02/26HRhode Island59-46
19/02/26ADuquesne61-62
11/02/26HVCU Rams68-77
07/02/26ASt. Louis Billikens58-82
04/02/26ALoyola Chicago61-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 138.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
La Salle
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 138.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Virginia110100%91.046.0+45.0
2 TCU110100%98.059.0+39.0
3 Texas Tech110100%76.042.0+34.0
4 Kansas110100%95.065.0+30.0
5 Cincinnati110100%79.053.0+26.0
6 UCF Knights110100%96.095.0+1.0
7 Iowa State1010%76.080.0-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington110100%91.039.0+52.0
2 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
3 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
4 Loyola Chicago110100%77.052.0+25.0
5 St. Louis Billikens110100%92.067.0+25.0
6 Richmond Spiders110100%100.077.0+23.0
7 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
8 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
9 Fordham1010%65.095.0-30.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston435194
La Salle233255
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.