Howard vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 75-79

34-36 41-43

Position#302

Record3-4

FormWWWLL

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game79.3

Howard

Mount St. Mary's 🏆

Position#112

Record4-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game69.1

Allowed / game77.3

NCAA

Other2024-25

Meetings · Howard v Mount St. Mary's

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Howard winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mount St. Mary's winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Howard

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norfolk State

#72

80-74

A15/03

NCAA

Delaware State

#248

70-67

H16/03

NCAA

Wagner

#193

68-71

-3

H19/03

NCAA

Kansas

#114

57-87

-30

A05/11

NCAA

Missouri

#89

62-77

-15

A09/11

NCAA

Dillard

#471

91-73

+18

H11/11

NCAA

Tennessee State

#188

88-84 OT

A14/11

NCAA

Florida International

#330

75-70

A19/11

NCAA

Boston University

#211

62-69

-7

H24/11

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#280

77-95

-18

A25/11

NCAA

31-37

49-37

40-34

30-33

27-38

41-33

19-46

38-41

28-40

34-37

–

39-39

42-41

33-34

35-35

40-35

21-26

41-43

39-42

38-53

149.7Avg total

73.0Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	73.1	79.3	152.4	-6.1	43%
Season at home (2)	76.5	71.0	147.5	+5.5	50%
Season away (5)	71.8	82.6	154.4	-10.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	76.7	149.7	-3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	78.2	156.8	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	69.8	78.3	148.1	-8.6	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	73.8	74.3	148.1	-0.6	56%
vs Weaker (11)	76.2	70.3	146.5	+5.9	73%

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mount St. Mary's USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Niagara

#206

91-72

+19

A03/03

NCAA

Fairfield

#85

92-96

-4

H09/03

NCAA

Canisius

#264

61-77

-16

H12/03

NCAA

Notre Dame MD

#551

98-62

+36

H05/11

NCAA

Maryland

#35

52-86

-34

A09/11

NCAA

Army

#187

48-101

101

-53

A12/11

NCAA

Bucknell

#166

93-89 OT

A14/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#236

66-58

H17/11

NCAA

Georgetown

#176

51-79

-28

A21/11

NCAA

Delaware State

#170

76-66

+10

H23/11

NCAA

42-29

49-43

54-38

38-58

29-39

32-38

45-31

53-31

26-58

26-28

26-53

22-48

33-39

38-32

31-28

35-30

22-35

29-44

38-31

38-35

151.4Avg total

72.8Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	69.1	77.3	146.4	-8.1	57%
Season at home (3)	80.0	62.0	142.0	+18.0	100%
Season away (4)	61.0	88.8	149.8	-27.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	78.6	151.4	-5.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	78.6	145.4	-11.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.1	82.7	155.9	-9.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	69.2	72.5	141.7	-3.3	39%
vs Weaker (5)	81.4	65.0	146.4	+16.4	100%

This opponent (Howard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

HowardMount St. Mary's

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

HowardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norfolk State

#72

31-37

-6

A15/03

NCAA

Delaware State

#248

40-34

H16/03

NCAA

Wagner

#193

27-38

-11

H19/03

NCAA

Kansas

#114

19-46

-27

A05/11

NCAA

Missouri

#89

28-40

-12

A09/11

NCAA

Tennessee State

#188

42-41

A14/11

NCAA

Florida International

#330

35-35

A19/11

NCAA

Boston University

#211

21-26

-5

H24/11

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#280

39-42

-3

A25/11

NCAA

69.0Avg total

31.3Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.0	34.6	68.6	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.0	31.9	66.9	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.1	37.1	70.3	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	31.3	37.7	69.0	-6.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	36.8	69.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	30.9	35.9	66.8	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	34.9	35.6	70.4	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	35.6	32.4	68.0	+3.2	70%	-

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Niagara

#206

42-29

+13

A03/03

NCAA

Fairfield

#85

54-38

+16

H09/03

NCAA

Canisius

#264

29-39

-10

H12/03

NCAA

Notre Dame MD

#551

45-31

+14

H05/11

NCAA

Maryland

#35

26-58

-32

A09/11

NCAA

Army

#187

26-53

-27

A12/11

NCAA

Bucknell

#166

33-39

-6

A14/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#236

31-28

H17/11

NCAA

Georgetown

#176

22-35

-13

A21/11

NCAA

Delaware State

#170

38-31

H23/11

NCAA

72.7Avg total

34.6Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	33.7	68.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	32.3	68.6	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.1	34.9	68.0	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	38.1	72.7	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	37.2	67.2	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.7	41.1	76.9	-5.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	32.0	32.4	64.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	28.0	70.4	+14.4	100%	-

This opponent (Howard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	37.4	75.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	39.8	78.5	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.5	76.8	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.7	39.8	76.4	-3.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.9	38.8	77.7	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.1	37.7	76.8	+1.4	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.3	76.2	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	37.4	77.2	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.2	41.1	75.2	-6.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.7	74.7	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	37.8	70.2	-5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.4	41.6	79.0	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.0	39.1	75.1	-3.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Howard wins

Mount St. Mary's wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/22	Howard v Mount St. Mary's	63-62
01/12/21	Mount St. Mary's v Howard	72-70
30/11/19	Howard v Mount St. Mary's	56-73

Howardlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/24	A	UMBC Retrievers	77-95
24/11/24	H	Boston University	62-69
19/11/24	A	Florida International	75-70
14/11/24	A	Tennessee State	88-84 OT
11/11/24	H	Dillard	91-73
09/11/24	A	Missouri	62-77
05/11/24	A	Kansas	57-87
19/03/24	H	Wagner	68-71
16/03/24	H	Delaware State	70-67
15/03/24	A	Norfolk State	80-74

Mount St. Mary'slast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/24	H	Delaware State	76-66
21/11/24	A	Georgetown	51-79
17/11/24	H	St. Francis (PA)	66-58
14/11/24	A	Bucknell	93-89 OT
12/11/24	A	Army	48-101
09/11/24	A	Maryland	52-86
05/11/24	H	Notre Dame MD	98-62
12/03/24	H	Canisius	61-77
09/03/24	H	Fairfield	92-96
03/03/24	A	Niagara	91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Howard

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	43%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	2	5
Win %	43%	50%	40%
Points / game	73.1	76.5	71.8
Allowed / game	79.3	71.0	82.6
Point differential	-6.1	+5.5	-10.8
Avg total	152.4	147.5	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	14%	0%	20%

Mount St. Mary's

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	57%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	100%	25%
Points / game	69.1	80.0	61.0
Allowed / game	77.3	62.0	88.8
Point differential	-8.1	+18.0	-27.8
Avg total	146.4	142.0	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Norfolk State	8	5	3	62%	79.4	66.0	+13.4
2	South Carolina St	8	4	4	50%	78.2	68.6	+9.6
3	Howard	7	3	4	43%	73.1	79.3	-6.1
4	Delaware State	8	3	5	38%	72.2	69.8	+2.5
5	Morgan State	9	3	6	33%	76.0	77.2	-1.2
6	N. Carolina Central	8	2	6	25%	74.8	75.1	-0.4
7	Md.-East. Shore	10	2	8	20%	69.2	83.6	-14.4
8	Coppin State	8	0	8	0%	54.6	80.5	-25.9

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Marist	5	4	1	80%	73.0	70.0	+3.0
2	Mount St. Mary's	7	4	3	57%	69.1	77.3	-8.1
3	Rider	7	4	3	57%	62.1	70.3	-8.1
4	St. Peters	6	3	3	50%	75.8	66.8	+9.0
5	Fairfield	7	3	4	43%	66.3	69.9	-3.6
6	Manhattan	7	3	4	43%	74.1	77.9	-3.7
7	Quinnipiac	7	3	4	43%	67.9	72.9	-5.0
8	Siena	7	3	4	43%	67.6	74.3	-6.7
9	Niagara	6	2	4	33%	74.0	76.5	-2.5
10	Sacred Heart	7	2	5	29%	70.6	77.4	-6.9
11	Iona	7	2	5	29%	64.1	73.6	-9.4
12	Merrimack Warriors	8	2	6	25%	60.8	69.9	-9.1
13	Canisius	8	0	8	0%	62.2	84.1	-21.9