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Hungary W vs Bulgaria W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-83
23-20 10-31 18-15 17-17
Position#16
Record2-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game53.5
vs
Position#23
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· DVTK Arena
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hungary W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hungary WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turkey W
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
60-69
60
69
-9
no box
A24/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
70-51
70
51
+19
68avg 64
H09/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
67-56
67
56
+11
61avg 64
A12/11
European Championship Women
Canada W
#8
L
55-67
55
67
-12
41avg 64
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
81avg 64
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
74avg 64
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
16-13
17-16
17-27
23-23
16-21
27-11
15-20
7-11
22-11
19-17
14-22
14-18
14-20
18-12
14-19
8-26
22-23
19-12
19-21
25-19
15-9
18-9
12-14
15-13
16-15
15-15
21-13
11-25
19-16
9-14
16-12
13-22
19-10
21-16
28-27
24-19
22-8
18-23
8-23
136.2Avg total
68.4Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.553.5122.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)70.051.0121.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.467.8136.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)69.064.4133.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.869.8130.5-9.00%
vs Similar (5)71.870.0141.8+1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.859.5137.2+18.283%
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Greece W
#20
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
74-53
74
53
+21
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A04/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
51-79
51
79
-28
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
76-102
76
102
-26
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
50avg 48
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
46avg 48
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
14-11
22-16
18-25
21-7
23-14
16-17
14-15
18-20
14-21
19-14
15-16
11-20
22-17
9-15
13-21
27-22
11-26
21-22
14-14
9-25
7-31
22-10
13-13
29-24
13-27
14-16
18-26
22-22
17-22
24-30
13-28
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
144.4Avg total
66.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.076.5140.5-12.50%
Season at home (1)65.075.0140.0-10.00%
Season away (1)63.078.0141.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)66.378.1144.4-11.810%
Last 5 (5)65.885.4151.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.782.7149.4-16.00%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker (3)74.365.7140.0+8.767%
This opponent (Hungary W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.8-4.8
Hungary WBulgaria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hungary WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey W
#10
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H16/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H22/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A24/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H25/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/11
European Championship Women
Canada W
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
67.4Avg total
33.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)36.432.468.8+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.133.968.0+0.255%-
Last 30 away (10)38.930.869.7+8.160%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.567.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.267.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.838.867.5-10.00%-
vs Similar (5)37.834.872.6+3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.329.367.7+9.075%-
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#20
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A12/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#33
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
16-56
16
56
-40
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
73.9Avg total
34.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)34.638.172.7-3.542%-
Last 30 at home (6)37.235.772.8+1.550%-
Last 30 away (6)32.040.572.5-8.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.139.873.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.877.4-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.943.777.6-9.929%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (3)39.727.367.0+12.3100%-
This opponent (Hungary W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hungary Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary W: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.6
44.4%
45.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.8
31.5%
30.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws14.012.2
87.1%
72.4%12.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.516.0
37.6%
45.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.0
24.4%
30.0%15.0
🏀 Free throws19.016.0
84.2%
72.4%16.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/2 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hungary W
LWLWWLLWWL
Bulgaria W
LLLLLLLLWL
#16
League position
#23
+5.7
Net rating
-15.8
92.8
Offensive rating
79.6
87.0
Defensive rating
95.4
45.4%
Effective FG%
37.3%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
24.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
12.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
24.4%
74.6%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 79.6Defence87.0 · 95.4Shooting45.4% · 37.3%3-point %31.5% · 24.4%Ball care24.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds32.8% · 12.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Hungary W   ■ Bulgaria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hungary W wins
0
Bulgaria W wins
No previous meetings.
Hungary Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASpain W72-73
09/02/24AJapan W81-75
08/02/24HCanada W55-67
12/11/23AFinland W67-56
09/11/23HSlovenia W70-51
25/06/23HFrance W68-82
24/06/23ASpain W60-69
22/06/23HCzech Republic W62-61
18/06/23HSerbia W81-75
16/06/23HTurkey W68-69
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
12/02/23HSerbia W76-102
27/11/22ACroatia W74-93
24/11/22ASerbia W51-79
11/11/21HCroatia W73-84
06/02/21HGreece W55-73
04/02/21ASlovenia W66-71
14/11/20HIceland W74-53
12/11/20AGreece W66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hungary W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game68.570.067.0
Allowed / game53.551.056.0
Point differential+15.0+19.0+11.0
Avg total122.0121.0123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.065.063.0
Allowed / game76.575.078.0
Point differential-12.5-10.0-15.0
Avg total140.5140.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W220100%92.550.0+42.5
2 France W220100%85.548.5+37.0
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
5 Montenegro W220100%88.065.5+22.5
6 Lithuania W220100%87.067.5+19.5
7 Hungary W220100%68.553.5+15.0
8 Portugal W220100%71.557.5+14.0
9 Italy W220100%73.060.0+13.0
10 Luxembourg W220100%66.556.0+10.5
11 Sweden W220100%70.065.5+4.5
12 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
13 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
14 Great Britain W21150%72.554.5+18.0
15 Germany W21150%69.055.5+13.5
16 Israel W21150%85.071.5+13.5
17 Denmark W21150%75.064.5+10.5
18 Croatia W21150%73.063.5+9.5
19 Poland W21150%70.068.5+1.5
20 Greece W21150%71.071.0+0.0
21 Netherlands W21150%60.563.0-2.5
22 Latvia W21150%67.577.0-9.5
23 Slovakia W21150%66.576.0-9.5
24 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
25 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
26 Iceland W2020%67.577.0-9.5
27 Bulgaria W2020%64.076.5-12.5
28 Switzerland W2020%54.570.5-16.0
29 Bosnia & Herzegovina W2020%67.084.0-17.0
30 Czech Republic W2020%53.580.0-26.5
31 North Macedonia W2020%56.084.0-28.0
32 Ukraine W2020%51.580.0-28.5
33 Austria W2020%39.569.5-30.0
34 Estonia W2020%49.082.0-33.0
35 Ireland W2020%52.593.5-41.0
36 Azerbaijan W2020%45.0117.5-72.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hungary W2310181768
Bulgaria W2031151783
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