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Ilirija W vs Triglav W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game67.3
Ilirija W
Slovenia
vs
Triglav W
Slovenia
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game52.0
Slovenia1 SKL WRound 12· Dvorana Jezica
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ilirija W v Triglav W
16 Jan 2027
ILIR v TRIG
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
ILIR61
TRIG73
04 Apr 2026
ILIR76
TRIG65
11 Feb 2026
ILIR60
TRIG55
31 Oct 2025
ILIR72
TRIG57
09 Apr 2025
ILIR48
TRIG73
19 Feb 2025
ILIR59
TRIG70
19 Oct 2024
ILIR45
TRIG50
10 Apr 2024
ILIR63
TRIG80
26 Jan 2024
ILIR55
TRIG71
04 Oct 2023
ILIR41
TRIG64
19 Apr 2023
ILIR69
TRIG72
25 Mar 2023
ILIR77
TRIG66
10 Dec 2022
ILIR75
TRIG69
06 Apr 2022
ILIR62
TRIG87
23 Oct 2021
ILIR64
TRIG75
27 Feb 2021
ILIR55
TRIG69
19 Dec 2020
ILIR62
TRIG75
18 Jan 2020
ILIR65
TRIG81
12 Apr 2019
ILIR62
TRIG92
28 Mar 2019
ILIR69
TRIG90
28 Sep 2018
ILIR57
TRIG77
05 May 2018
ILIR56
TRIG102
27 Mar 2018
ILIR55
TRIG66
12 Jan 2018
ILIR45
TRIG89
17 Apr 2017
ILIR52
TRIG75
18 Mar 2017
ILIR64
TRIG77
11 Jan 2017
ILIR56
TRIG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ilirija W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Triglav W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ilirija WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A27/03
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#3
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A01/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H04/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A08/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H11/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H18/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A03/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H10/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
87-57
87
57
+30
A14/10
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
9-17
10-21
15-21
7-14
21-11
11-11
17-10
14-14
24-20
16-18
22-13
11-17
11-23
15-16
21-15
13-27
18-24
12-20
17-17
12-10
16-11
12-18
11-9
23-18
19-18
11-24
2-12
16-19
9-12
15-17
10-24
15-27
11-19
15-13
20-14
14-24
23-14
18-8
32-11
127.2Avg total
60.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.067.3133.3-1.333%
Season at home (1)61.073.0134.0-12.00%
Season away (2)68.564.5133.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)60.766.5127.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)60.864.4125.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)58.776.4135.1-17.69%
vs Similar (10)64.463.1127.5+1.370%
vs Weaker (9)72.356.9129.2+15.489%
This opponent (Triglav W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Triglav WSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maribor W
#4
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H14/02
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A28/02
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A20/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H27/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H01/04
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A04/04
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#4
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A10/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H14/10
1 SKL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
19-15
17-18
18-9
18-12
17-19
18-23
26-6
14-19
19-22
21-13
4-19
17-14
23-13
18-14
14-21
14-19
17-9
21-10
21-15
14-7
11-21
11-11
10-17
14-14
20-24
18-16
13-22
18-5
8-14
12-11
9-12
27-15
19-11
13-15
14-20
21-10
21-17
24-14
10-12
124.8Avg total
66.1Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.352.0117.3+13.3100%
Season at home (1)76.053.0129.0+23.0100%
Season away (2)60.051.5111.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)66.158.7124.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)61.457.6119.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)54.972.9127.7-18.00%
vs Similar (6)61.861.2123.0+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)70.157.4127.5+12.788%
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Ilirija WTriglav W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ilirija WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Triglav W
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A27/03
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#3
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A01/04
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A08/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H11/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/04
1 SKL W
Cinkarna Celje W
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A03/10
1 SKL W
Triglav W
#2
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H10/10
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A14/10
1 SKL W
65.8Avg total
30.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.064.3-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.933.866.7-0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)29.932.262.1-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)30.535.365.8-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.466.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.039.270.2-8.236%-
vs Similar (10)30.830.060.8+0.860%-
vs Weaker (9)32.228.760.9+3.656%-
This opponent (Triglav W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Triglav WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maribor W
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H14/02
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A28/02
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A14/03
1 SKL W
Domel Skofja Loka W
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A20/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/03
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H01/04
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/04
1 SKL W
Maribor W
#3
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A03/10
1 SKL W
Ilirija W
#4
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A10/10
1 SKL W
Jezica W
#5
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/10
1 SKL W
63.8Avg total
34.9Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.364.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.628.662.2+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)33.931.865.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.928.963.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.662.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.435.767.1-4.329%-
vs Similar (6)29.529.759.2-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.228.364.5+7.982%-
This opponent (Ilirija W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ilirija Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ilirija W: 60.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 58.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.0
44.5%
46.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.2
30.4%
26.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws12.48.9
71.8%
69.4%8.9
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triglav Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Triglav W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 58.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.0
49.1%
46.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
26.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.5
80.8%
69.4%13.5
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ilirija W
WLLLWLLWWL
Triglav W
WWWLLWWLWW
#4
League position
#2
-7.3
Net rating
+14.4
73.4
Offensive rating
84.0
80.6
Defensive rating
69.7
44.9%
Effective FG%
47.9%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
23.5%
Turnover %
21.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
30.5%
64.4%
Assist %
74.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence73.4 · 84.0Defence80.6 · 69.7Shooting44.9% · 47.9%3-point %30.4% · 30.5%Ball care23.5% · 21.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Ilirija W   ■ Triglav W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ilirija W wins
5
Triglav W wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Ilirija W v Triglav W61-73
04/04/26Ilirija W v Triglav W76-65
01/04/26Triglav W v Ilirija W46-56
27/03/26Triglav W v Ilirija W73-53
11/02/26Ilirija W v Triglav W60-55
28/01/26Triglav W v Ilirija W75-50
31/10/25Ilirija W v Triglav W72-57
12/04/25Triglav W v Ilirija W61-45
09/04/25Ilirija W v Triglav W48-73
05/04/25Triglav W v Ilirija W54-61
Ilirija Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ADomel Skofja Loka W87-57
10/10/26HTriglav W61-73
03/10/26ACinkarna Celje W50-72
18/04/26HCinkarna Celje W55-72
14/04/26ACinkarna Celje W51-48
11/04/26HCinkarna Celje W60-88
08/04/26ACinkarna Celje W58-71
04/04/26HTriglav W76-65
01/04/26ATriglav W56-46
27/03/26ATriglav W53-73
Triglav Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HJezica W76-53
10/10/26AIlirija W73-61
03/10/26AMaribor W47-42
04/04/26AIlirija W65-76
01/04/26HIlirija W46-56
27/03/26HIlirija W73-53
20/03/26ADomel Skofja Loka W72-62
14/03/26AMaribor W58-73
28/02/26AJezica W79-60
14/02/26HMaribor W72-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ilirija W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game66.061.068.5
Allowed / game67.373.064.5
Point differential-1.3-12.0+4.0
Avg total133.3134.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Triglav W
1 SKL W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game65.376.060.0
Allowed / game52.053.051.5
Point differential+13.3+23.0+8.5
Avg total117.3129.0111.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cinkarna Celje W330100%75.746.0+29.7
2 Triglav W330100%65.352.0+13.3
3 Maribor W42250%49.551.2-1.8
4 Ilirija W31233%66.067.3-1.3
5 Jezica W31233%60.362.3-2.0
6 Domel Skofja Loka W4040%51.279.2-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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