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Illinois (Chi.) vs Dartmouth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 69-68 (OT)
36-39 30-27 3-2
Position#154
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#203
Record4-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dartmouth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A09/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
91-43
91
43
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H09/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A13/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#663
W
117-59
117
59
+58
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-27
22-47
51-22
40-21
34-41
57-38
29-31
45-52
58-30
59-29
41-45
40-54
48-39
48-44
27-30
28-42
43-38
48-38
32-46
24-37
155.0Avg total
79.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.675.2158.8+8.356%
Season at home (6)87.873.2161.0+14.767%
Season away (3)75.079.3154.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)79.975.1155.0+4.850%
Last 5 (5)75.882.6158.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.681.7155.3-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.775.5141.2-9.821%
vs Weaker (4)83.568.5152.0+15.075%
This opponent (Dartmouth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DartmouthUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#51
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A02/03
NCAA
Brown
#276
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A02/03
NCAA
Harvard
#188
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Lyndon State Hornets
#690
W
129-47
129
47
+82
H05/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H09/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H13/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A16/11
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A20/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A29/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
29-44
30-41
37-48
38-41
38-28
62-17
67-30
42-32
39-44
40-43
33-44
21-34
29-44
28-40
34-35
42-44
46-39
32-32
37-33
150.0Avg total
75.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.973.0151.9+5.957%
Season at home (3)94.370.0164.3+24.367%
Season away (4)67.275.2142.5-8.050%
Last 10 (10)75.174.9150.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)68.477.6146.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)61.672.6134.2-11.019%
vs Similar ◀ (2)57.572.0129.5-14.50%
vs Weaker (5)72.277.8150.0-5.660%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.0+0.0
Illinois (Chi.)Dartmouth
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A09/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A13/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#663
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/12
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.371.1+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.975.9+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)32.733.766.4-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.973.7+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.136.169.2-3.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.035.768.7-2.721%-
vs Weaker (4)45.032.877.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Dartmouth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DartmouthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#51
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Brown
#276
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Lyndon State Hornets
#690
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H05/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H13/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A04/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
36.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.567.8-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.432.767.1+1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)30.438.068.4-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.072.2+0.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.671.2-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.536.867.2-6.324%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)25.535.561.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (5)35.437.072.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
0
Dartmouth wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HNorthern Iowa56-83
30/11/24HAurora91-76
23/11/24AEast Carolina55-72
22/11/24ALa Salle96-83
21/11/24HJames Madison81-99
16/11/24HSt. Mary's (TX)117-59
13/11/24ANorthwestern74-83
09/11/24HYale91-79
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)91-43
09/03/24ABradley47-74
Dartmouthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats69-65
29/11/24ABoston College88-83
20/11/24AMarist62-75
16/11/24ABoston University50-78
13/11/24HAlbany Great Danes73-87
09/11/24HSacred Heart81-76
05/11/24HLyndon State Hornets129-47
06/03/24HHarvard76-69
02/03/24ABrown67-89
02/03/24AYale56-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game83.687.875.0
Allowed / game75.273.279.3
Point differential+8.3+14.7-4.3
Avg total158.8161.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dartmouth
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game78.994.367.2
Allowed / game73.070.075.2
Point differential+5.9+24.3-8.0
Avg total151.9164.3142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake880100%73.157.8+15.4
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont108280%83.276.9+6.3
4 Murray State86275%79.863.1+16.6
5 Indiana State106460%82.876.8+6.0
6 Northern Iowa95456%76.265.1+11.1
7 Illinois (Chi.)95456%83.675.2+8.3
8 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
9 Valparaiso84450%77.069.8+7.2
10 Southern Illinois104640%74.674.5+0.1
11 Evansville93633%69.273.0-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia109190%82.368.7+13.6
2 Cornell96367%84.275.4+8.8
3 Brown96367%73.866.7+7.1
4 Princeton117464%76.971.4+5.5
5 Dartmouth74357%78.973.0+5.9
6 Yale105550%82.171.4+10.7
7 Penn93633%64.373.7-9.3
8 Harvard103730%67.172.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois (Chi.)3630369
Dartmouth3927268
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