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Indios de Mayaguez vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 85-79
21-29 17-17 22-17 25-16
Position#3
Record26-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#5
Record25-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game87.1
Puerto RicoBSNBSN - Semi-finals· Palacio de Recreacion y Deportes
Other2025
Meetings · Indios de Mayaguez v Leones De Ponce
27 Jul 2025
INDI85
LEON79
23 Jul 2025
INDI68
LEON74
19 Jul 2025
INDI85
LEON99
13 Jun 2025
INDI77
LEON76
01 Apr 2025
INDI84
LEON86
23 Jun 2024
INDI91
LEON98
21 May 2024
INDI98
LEON101
18 Jun 2023
INDI105
LEON80
20 May 2023
INDI88
LEON82
30 Apr 2023
INDI95
LEON91
26 Mar 2023
INDI86
LEON84
22 May 2022
INDI94
LEON101
14 Apr 2022
INDI66
LEON83
11 Aug 2021
INDI102
LEON106
21 Jul 2021
INDI87
LEON93
07 Jun 2020
INDI v LEON
upcoming
30 Apr 2019
INDI91
LEON108
27 Mar 2019
INDI89
LEON99
13 Jun 2017
INDI73
LEON77
01 Jun 2017
INDI82
LEON92
23 Mar 2016
INDI81
LEON88
01 Mar 2016
INDI88
LEON90
27 Apr 2015
INDI74
LEON85
15 Mar 2015
INDI84
LEON75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indios de Mayaguez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indios de MayaguezPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMayaguez
Date
Competition
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
93-97
93
97
-4
91avg 83
A07/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
81avg 83
H09/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
68avg 83
A11/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
67avg 83
H13/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 83
A15/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 83
H17/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
74avg 83
H20/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 83
A22/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 83
H24/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 83
A26/07
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
17-20
29-24
21-20
19-17
17-14
22-23
16-20
22-17
14-25
16-25
26-27
9-22
19-21
23-21
20-26
19-29
19-20
27-13
22-18
20-31
20-15
26-24
23-17
23-26
19-28
22-23
21-22
21-21
25-21
20-15
19-21
19-14
10-12
20-20
19-28
12-25
29-20
29-23
18-23
170.3Avg total
82.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)88.086.9174.8+1.158%
Season at home (23)85.184.5169.6+0.761%
Season away (22)90.989.4180.3+1.555%
Last 10 (10)82.987.4170.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)83.085.8168.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)88.088.7176.8-0.748%
vs Weaker (5)102.297.4199.6+4.8100%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
61avg 80
A04/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
79avg 80
H06/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
96-108
96
108
-12
85avg 80
A08/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
84avg 80
H10/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
120avg 80
A12/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
72avg 80
H14/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
98avg 80
A20/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 80
H22/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
69avg 80
A24/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 80
H26/07
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-16
21-18
9-27
26-21
15-17
20-19
20-18
26-31
16-26
28-25
26-26
22-25
23-17
26-20
20-23
39-23
20-24
25-22
33-21
23-25
19-23
22-15
22-17
26-23
28-19
23-22
22-21
21-21
21-25
15-20
21-19
14-19
12-10
20-20
28-19
25-12
20-29
23-29
23-18
172.4Avg total
88.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)88.287.1175.3+1.157%
Season at home (22)86.985.0171.9+1.968%
Season away (22)89.589.2178.6+0.345%
Last 10 (10)88.184.3172.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)85.681.2166.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)96.5101.5198.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)88.085.8173.7+2.264%
vs Weaker (6)98.291.5189.7+6.767%
This opponent (Indios de Mayaguez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
Indios de MayaguezLeones De Ponce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indios de MayaguezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H13/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A15/07
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H20/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H24/07
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A26/07
BSN
81.0Avg total
37.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.987.8-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.741.482.1-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)46.646.192.7+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.181.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.682.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)42.243.785.9-1.440%-
vs Weaker (5)51.845.297.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A08/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H10/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A12/07
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H14/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A20/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A24/07
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/07
BSN
85.8Avg total
43.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.585.5+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.584.9+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.741.586.2+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.548.585.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)44.340.484.7+3.973%-
vs Weaker (6)45.543.288.7+2.350%-
This opponent (Indios de Mayaguez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indios de Mayagueztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indios de Mayaguez: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.023.8
50.6%
53.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.4
27.9%
36.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
75.6%15.3
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
53.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.7
41.0%
36.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
75.6%12.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indios de Mayaguez
LLWLWWLLWL
Leones De Ponce
WWLWWWWLWL
#3
League position
#5
-5.6
Net rating
+4.8
106.9
Offensive rating
115.9
112.5
Defensive rating
111.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
56.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.9%
3-point %
41.0%
64.2%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 115.9Defence112.5 · 111.1Shooting47.8% · 56.1%3-point %27.9% · 41.0%Ball care14.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Indios de Mayaguez   ■ Leones De Ponce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25ALeones De Ponce88-91
24/07/25HLeones De Ponce68-74
22/07/25ALeones De Ponce85-78
20/07/25HLeones De Ponce85-99
17/07/25HCapitanes de Arecibo89-87
15/07/25ACapitanes de Arecibo87-80
13/07/25HCapitanes de Arecibo71-90
11/07/25ACapitanes de Arecibo78-94
09/07/25HCapitanes de Arecibo85-84 OT
07/07/25ACapitanes de Arecibo93-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HIndios de Mayaguez91-88
24/07/25AIndios de Mayaguez74-68
22/07/25HIndios de Mayaguez78-85
20/07/25AIndios de Mayaguez99-85
14/07/25HPiratas de Quebradillas86-80
12/07/25APiratas de Quebradillas117-90
10/07/25HPiratas de Quebradillas91-85
08/07/25APiratas de Quebradillas96-108
06/07/25HPiratas de Quebradillas81-75
04/07/25APiratas de Quebradillas68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indios de Mayaguez
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWLWLL61%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %58%61%55%
Points / game88.085.190.9
Allowed / game86.984.589.4
Point differential+1.1+0.7+1.5
Avg total174.8169.6180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)67% (9)38% (8)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %57%68%45%
Points / game88.286.989.5
Allowed / game87.185.089.2
Point differential+1.1+1.9+0.3
Avg total175.3171.9178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %7%9%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon43311272%90.883.0+7.8
2 Cangrejeros44281664%89.387.6+1.7
3 Indios de Mayaguez45261958%88.086.9+1.1
4 Leones De Ponce44251957%88.287.1+1.1
5 Piratas de Quebradillas40221855%90.290.5-0.3
6 Capitanes de Arecibo41212051%86.887.1-0.2
7 Criollos de Caguas39192049%91.091.5-0.5
8 San German34151944%90.790.4+0.3
9 Gigantes de Carolina38162242%88.390.6-2.3
10 Mets de Guaynabo34132138%95.597.9-2.4
11 Aguada Santeros34112332%89.993.4-3.6
12 Osos de Manati3482624%90.696.1-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indios de Mayaguez2117222585
Leones De Ponce2917171679
← all games of the day
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