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Inowroclaw vs Trefl Sopot II Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-87
29-23 22-24 20-18 18-22
Position#9
Record10-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#18
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game86.5
Poland1 LigaRound 16· Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowroc
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inowroclaw winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot II winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

InowroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormInowroclaw
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
85-84
85
84
+1
86avg 80
A23/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
97-80
97
80
+17
88avg 80
H26/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
90avg 80
H03/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
72-97
72
97
-25
59avg 80
A10/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
96-60
96
60
+36
100avg 80
H13/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
75-90
75
90
-15
68avg 80
A17/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
90-88
90
88
+2
89avg 80
H01/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
68avg 80
A04/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 80
H07/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 80
A15/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
31-23
15-23
23-16
31-29
34-19
18-15
14-17
24-21
22-27
24-22
24-21
17-24
18-31
14-21
23-21
24-12
16-16
35-16
21-16
11-28
24-23
15-19
25-20
21-29
22-20
22-19
25-20
14-25
21-16
18-25
23-22
19-18
20-16
25-23
19-20
21-18
19-13
24-20
17-22
167.7Avg total
84.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.982.2166.1+1.767%
Season at home (8)87.877.9165.6+9.9100%
Season away (7)79.487.1166.6-7.729%
Last 10 (10)84.982.8167.7+2.170%
Last 5 (5)81.083.2164.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.683.2159.8-6.650%
vs Similar (19)77.780.7158.4-3.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl Sopot IIPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormII
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
60avg 73
A26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
91avg 73
A02/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 73
H07/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
92-84
92
84
+8
89avg 73
H09/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
81avg 73
A13/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
79avg 73
H17/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
76avg 73
A30/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 73
H04/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
72-76
72
76
-4
67avg 73
H14/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
66-87
66
87
-21
52avg 73
H18/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-21
16-29
15-19
15-24
18-20
21-21
25-14
31-20
21-25
14-21
14-16
15-22
30-22
21-12
26-28
25-28
27-27
21-20
11-25
26-34
13-21
22-24
26-21
27-19
22-25
22-25
20-28
11-25
19-28
28-18
14-11
18-18
20-9
11-24
23-25
21-24
17-18
14-23
14-22
171.0Avg total
81.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.986.5169.4-3.631%
Season at home (10)80.184.2164.3-4.130%
Season away (6)87.590.3177.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)81.789.3171.0-7.610%
Last 5 (5)77.688.4166.0-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.288.5170.7-6.325%
vs Similar (4)85.080.5165.5+4.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
InowroclawTrefl Sopot II
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
InowroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A23/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H26/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A10/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A17/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/12
1 Liga
85.5Avg total
42.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.836.977.7+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)36.944.781.6-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.279.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.142.583.6-1.440%-
vs Similar (19)37.539.476.9-1.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)43.049.092.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot II) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl Sopot IILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A13/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H17/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A30/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H04/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H18/12
1 Liga
87.0Avg total
42.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)41.944.486.4-2.544%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.744.485.1-3.740%-
Last 30 away (6)44.044.588.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.887.0-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.283.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.446.387.8-4.933%-
vs Similar (4)43.538.882.2+4.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Inowroclaw) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Inowroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Inowroclaw: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.2
36.0%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.916.1
70.3%
70.2%16.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopot IItheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot II: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.77.5
24.4%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.716.0
70.5%
70.2%16.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Inowroclaw
WWLWLWLWWW
Trefl Sopot II
LLLLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#18
+2.7
Net rating
-8.2
109.2
Offensive rating
98.3
106.5
Defensive rating
106.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
46.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
24.4%
69.5%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 98.3Defence106.5 · 106.5Shooting52.8% · 46.0%3-point %36.0% · 24.4%Ball care16.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 27.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Inowroclaw   ■ Trefl Sopot II
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Inowroclaw wins
0
Trefl Sopot II wins
No previous meetings.
Inowroclawlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24APolonia Warszawa81-73
07/12/24HGKS Tychy83-77
04/12/24ABydgoszcz76-88
01/12/24HR. Rzeszow90-88
17/11/24AStarogard Gdanski75-90
13/11/24HSlask Wroclaw II96-60
10/11/24AMKKS Koszalin72-97
03/11/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg94-91
26/10/24HLancut97-80
23/10/24AHydroTruck Radom85-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg66-87
14/12/24HHydroTruck Radom72-76
04/12/24HPoli. Opolska72-82
30/11/24APelplin91-97
17/11/24HLKS Lodz87-100
13/11/24APoznan84-100
09/11/24HKrosno92-84
07/11/24HWKK Wroclaw80-82
02/11/24ALancut96-98 OT
26/10/24APolonia Warszawa77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Inowroclaw
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%100%29%
Points / game83.987.879.4
Allowed / game82.277.987.1
Point differential+1.7+9.9-7.7
Avg total166.1165.6166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trefl Sopot II
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %31%30%33%
Points / game82.980.187.5
Allowed / game86.584.290.3
Point differential-3.6-4.1-2.8
Avg total169.4164.3177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno1612475%85.181.8+3.3
2 Bydgoszcz1611569%81.077.1+3.9
3 Inowroclaw1510567%83.982.2+1.7
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1711665%80.273.9+6.2
5 Poznan1610662%86.181.8+4.3
6 Pelplin169756%83.682.9+0.7
7 GKS Tychy168850%80.779.2+1.5
8 Lancut168850%83.284.1-0.9
9 Starogard Gdanski157847%83.081.4+1.6
10 WKK Wroclaw157847%79.978.9+1.0
11 Poli. Opolska157847%81.180.7+0.3
12 LKS Lodz157847%85.886.6-0.8
13 Polonia Warszawa167944%83.883.5+0.3
14 MKKS Koszalin167944%80.283.5-3.2
15 Slask Wroclaw II1661038%75.079.6-4.6
16 R. Rzeszow1551033%75.883.4-7.6
17 Trefl Sopot II1651131%82.986.5-3.6
18 HydroTruck Radom1751229%77.782.2-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Inowroclaw2922201889
Trefl Sopot II2324182287
← all games of the day
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