PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Femenina Women· Estadio Angel Sandrin
Instituto W hosts Sociedad Espanola W on 13 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, and the Pythia model names Instituto W as the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win largely because of their 3-2 record and 64.8 points per game compared with Sociedad Espanola W's 0-4 record and 26.5 points per game. Instituto W has played five games this season, winning three and losing two, scoring 64.8 points per game while allowing 62.2, and sits in 10th place; at home they are 2-1, averaging 66.0 points and conceding 63.3, with a recent 3-2 run in the last five games that includes a 64-56 win over San Jose W, a 56-68 loss to Hindu W, and a 78-66 win over Deportivo Chanares W. Sociedad Espanola W has four games, all losses, averaging 26.5 points and allowing 82.2, and is 20th; on the road they are 0-2, scoring 22.5 and conceding 74.5, with a 0-4 run in the last five that includes a 21-86 loss to Rocamora W, a 33-79 loss to Deportivo Chanares W, and a 28-101 loss to Hindu W. The head-to-head record shows no prior meetings, and the last encounter is not listed. Pythia projects a 82-51 score, a total of 132.5 points, and a 99% probability that Instituto W will win, with no over/under or overtime likelihood.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 67.2 | 62.5 | 129.7 | +4.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 66.0 | 63.3 | 129.3 | +2.7 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 68.3 | 61.7 | 130.0 | +6.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 61.8 | 63.1 | 124.9 | -1.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.6 | 64.4 | 132.0 | +3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 60.7 | 63.0 | 123.7 | -2.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (10) | 54.3 | 67.9 | 122.2 | -13.6 | 10% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 73.5 | 59.1 | 132.6 | +14.4 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 26.5 | 82.2 | 108.8 | -55.8 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 30.5 | 90.0 | 120.5 | -59.5 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 22.5 | 74.5 | 97.0 | -52.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (4) | 26.5 | 82.2 | 108.8 | -55.8 | 0% |
| Last 5 (4) | 26.5 | 82.2 | 108.8 | -55.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 26.5 | 82.2 | 108.8 | -55.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.0 | 30.5 | 61.5 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 30.6 | 27.8 | 58.4 | +2.9 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 31.4 | 32.8 | 64.2 | -1.4 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.7 | 29.5 | 61.2 | +2.2 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.6 | 32.4 | 66.0 | +1.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 31.0 | 31.0 | 62.0 | +0.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 24.3 | 34.1 | 58.4 | -9.8 | 10% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 35.0 | 28.2 | 63.2 | +6.8 | 76% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (4) | 13.2 | 38.2 | 51.5 | -25.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 at home (2) | 14.5 | 42.5 | 57.0 | -28.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 away (2) | 12.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | -22.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 10 (4) | 13.2 | 38.2 | 51.5 | -25.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 5 (4) | 13.2 | 38.2 | 51.5 | -25.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 13.2 | 38.2 | 51.5 | -25.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.3 | 14.7 | 42.8% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.1 | 9.6 | 27.8% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.5 | 9.7 | 63.7% | 9.7 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Deportivo Chanares W | 79-64 |
| 06/11/26 | H | San Jose W | 64-56 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Hindu W | 56-68 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Deportivo Chanares W | 78-66 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Rocamora W | 61-68 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Hindu W | 65-53 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Ferro W | 57-64 |
| 19/04/26 | H | Ferro W | 43-84 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Gorriones W | 62-57 |
| 05/04/26 | A | Gorriones W | 53-51 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Rocamora W | 21-86 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Deportivo Chanares W | 33-79 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Hindu W | 28-101 |
| 11/10/26 | A | San Jose W | 24-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 67% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Points / game | 67.2 | 66.0 | 68.3 |
| Allowed / game | 62.5 | 63.3 | 61.7 |
| Point differential | +4.7 | +2.7 | +6.7 |
| Avg total | 129.7 | 129.3 | 130.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 26.5 | 30.5 | 22.5 |
| Allowed / game | 82.2 | 90.0 | 74.5 |
| Point differential | -55.8 | -59.5 | -52.0 |
| Avg total | 108.8 | 120.5 | 97.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rocamora W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 74.2 | 54.8 | +19.4 |
| 2 |  Obras Sanitarias W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 73.6 | 68.7 | +4.9 |
| 3 | Independiente Neuquen W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 63.7 | 59.0 | +4.7 |
| 4 |  El Talar W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 72.0 | 58.0 | +14.0 |
| 5 | Boca W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 74.9 | 58.9 | +16.0 |
| 6 | Hindu W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 69.3 | 54.4 | +14.9 |
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 62.4 | 57.3 | +5.1 |
| 8 |  Berazategui W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 77.0 | 62.8 | +14.2 |
| 9 | Quilmes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 60.0 | +7.2 |
| 10 | Instituto W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 62.5 | +4.7 |
| 11 |  Union Florida W | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 63.3 | 59.3 | +4.0 |
| 12 |  Ferro W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.1 | 62.2 | +9.9 |
| 13 |  San Jose W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 55.8 | 54.8 | +1.0 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Chanares W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 63.2 | 65.2 | -2.0 |
| 15 | Penarol W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 53.2 | 64.3 | -11.2 |
| 16 | El Bigua W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 58.6 | 67.9 | -9.3 |
| 17 | Union Bahia W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 51.1 | 66.6 | -15.4 |
| 18 |  Avellaneda W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 57.8 | 69.8 | -12.0 |
| 19 | Regatas San Nicolas W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 52.0 | 78.8 | -26.8 |
| 20 | Sociedad Espanola W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 26.5 | 82.2 | -55.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto W | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 80 |
| Sociedad Espanola W | 10 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 40 |
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