The Iowa Hawkeyes host the Lipscomb Bisons on 3 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Iowa the clear favourite, giving the Hawkeyes a 79% chance to win largely because of their dominant 81 points per game and a 21% chance for Lipscomb, who have a 1-0 record and average 86 points per game. Iowa's last five games include three wins and two losses, with recent victories over Nebraska 77-71, Florida 73-72, and a loss to Illinois 59-71, while Lipscomb's last five games also feature three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 86-79 win over Southeast Missouri State and a 80-77 win over Eastern Kentucky. The teams have met once before, with Lipscomb's last meeting ending 86-79. Pythia projects an 81-72 score for Iowa, totaling 152.3 points, and assigns a 4% probability that the game will go into overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 70.6 | 69.4 | 140.0 | +1.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.0 | 69.4 | 138.4 | -0.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 66.2 | 71.0 | 137.2 | -4.8 | 20% |
| vs Similar (12) | 68.2 | 68.9 | 137.2 | -0.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 78.8 | 64.8 | 143.5 | +14.0 | 77% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 79.0 | 86.0 | 165.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 79.0 | 86.0 | 165.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.7 | 76.8 | 151.5 | -2.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.4 | 75.0 | 147.4 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 75.6 | 84.6 | 160.2 | -9.0 | 20% |
| vs Similar (9) | 78.3 | 77.0 | 155.3 | +1.3 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 83.9 | 70.4 | 154.3 | +13.4 | 81% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.3 | 30.4 | 64.8 | +3.9 | 60% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 35.5 | 27.4 | 62.9 | +8.1 | 64% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 33.3 | 33.1 | 66.4 | +0.2 | 56% | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.6 | 30.7 | 63.3 | +1.9 | 50% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.0 | 32.8 | 66.8 | +1.2 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 30.4 | 29.8 | 60.2 | +0.6 | 60% | 0% |
| vs Similar (12) | 33.3 | 31.5 | 64.8 | +1.8 | 58% | 17% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 36.8 | 29.7 | 66.5 | +7.1 | 62% | 38% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.8 | 34.5 | 71.3 | +2.3 | 57% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.5 | 30.7 | 69.3 | +7.8 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.1 | 38.3 | 73.4 | -3.3 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.0 | 37.8 | 73.8 | -1.8 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.4 | 37.4 | 71.8 | -3.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 37.8 | 38.0 | 75.8 | -0.2 | 40% | 80% |
| vs Similar (9) | 33.6 | 35.2 | 68.8 | -1.7 | 44% | 22% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 38.3 | 33.1 | 71.4 | +5.2 | 69% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 140 | 74.8% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Over 141 | 72.7% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Lipscomb over 58.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.30 | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Iowa over 79.5 | 75.6% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.34 | 1.29 | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Over 139 | 76.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Lipscomb over 56.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | 1.32 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Lipscomb over 54.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Over 136.5 | 80.8% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Iowa -13 | 79.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Iowa over 78.5 | 78.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Iowa -12.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | 1.30 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Iowa -14 | 77.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Iowa over 80.5 | 72.3% | 1.36 | 1.42 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Lost |
| Lipscomb over 52.5 | 87.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Lipscomb over 55.5 | 80.7% | 1.21 | 1.25 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Iowa (regulation) | 96.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Iowa -10.5 | 84.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Lipscomb over 50.5 | 91.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 131.5 | 88.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Lost |
| Over 121.5 | 96.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Iowa over 71.5 | 93.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Over 126.5 | 93.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Iowa over 72.5 | 91.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Iowa -4.5 | 93.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Iowa -13.5 | 77.8% | 1.25 | 1.32 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Iowa -14.5 | 75.1% | 1.29 | 1.37 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Iowa -2.5 | 95.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Iowa -3.5 | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Iowa over 76.5 | 84.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Lost |
| Iowa over 74.5 | 88.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Iowa over 73.5 | 90.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Iowa -15.5 | 72.2% | 1.34 | 1.42 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Iowa over 75.5 | 86.4% | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.11 | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Over 123.5 | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Iowa under 96.5 | 84.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Over 124.5 | 94.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 71.2% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Lost |
| Iowa under 101.5 | 93.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Lipscomb over 57.5 | 74.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Lost |
| Over 128.5 | 91.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Lipscomb over 53.5 | 85.7% | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Iowa win | 96.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Lipscomb over 51.5 | 89.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Over 125.5 | 94.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Iowa -7.5 | 89.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Iowa under 99.5 | 90.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 93.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 73.3% | 1.29 | 1.36 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Lost |
| Over 129.5 | 90.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 77.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Lost |
| Iowa over 77.5 | 81.5% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Lost |
| Lipscomb under 69.5 | 70.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Over 142 | 70.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Lost |
| Over 139.5 | 75.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Lost |
| Iowa -8.5 | 88.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 85.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Lost |
| Iowa under 92.5 | 73.4% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Over 130.5 | 89.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Lost |
| Under 170.5 | 89.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 84.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Lost |
| Under 173.5 | 92.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 93.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Iowa under 95.5 | 82.3% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.10 | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Iowa under 97.5 | 87.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Iowa -15 | 74.4% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Iowa -16 | 71.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Iowa under 94.5 | 79.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 88.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| Under 165.5 | 82.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 86.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 73.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Iowa under 93.5 | 76.6% | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 82.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Lost |
| Lipscomb under 76.5 | 89.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Under 171.5 | 90.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.3pp | Won |
| Lipscomb under 73.5 | 82.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
| Lipscomb under 71.5 | 77.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -4.4pp | Won |
| Lipscomb under 74.5 | 85.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
| Under 164.5 | 80.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -5.3pp | Won |
| Under 166.5 | 84.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -6.4pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 79.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -6.5pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 71.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -6.5pp | Won |
| Lipscomb under 72.5 | 79.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -8.0pp | Won |
| Lipscomb under 70.5 | 73.9% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.11 | - | - | - | -9.0pp | Won |
| Under 161.5 | 75.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -10.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 | A | Illinois | 59-71 |
| 26/03/26 | A | Nebraska | 77-71 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Florida | 73-72 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Clemson | 67-61 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Ohio State | 69-72 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Maryland | 75-64 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Nebraska | 75-84 OT |
| 06/03/26 | H | Michigan | 68-71 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Penn State | 69-71 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Ohio State | 74-57 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Southeast Missouri State | 79-86 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast | 53-77 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Eastern Kentucky | 80-77 |
| 26/02/26 | A | West Georgia | 77-84 |
| 21/02/26 | H | North Alabama | 73-51 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Bellarmine | 75-72 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Queens Royals | 81-87 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Eastern Kentucky | 75-61 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Central Arkansas | 78-86 |
| 05/02/26 | A | Austin Peay | 76-87 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 146.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 79.0 | - | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | - | 86.0 |
| Point differential | -7.0 | - | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 165.0 | - | 165.0 |
| Over 146.5 | 100% | - | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Illinois | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 120.0 | 45.0 | +75.0 |
| 2 | Nebraska | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 106.0 | 64.0 | +42.0 |
| 3 | Penn State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 57.0 | +40.0 |
| 4 | Michigan State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 59.0 | +37.0 |
| 5 | Minnesota | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 50.0 | +35.0 |
| 6 | Indiana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 57.0 | +34.0 |
| 7 | USC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 63.0 | +32.0 |
| 8 | Maryland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 67.0 | +29.0 |
| 9 | Northwestern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 60.0 | +26.0 |
| 10 | Oregon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 87.0 | 69.0 | +18.0 |
| 11 | Michigan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 68.0 | +16.0 |
| 12 | Washington | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 76.0 | +14.0 |
| 13 | UCLA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 75.0 | +9.0 |
| 14 | Wisconsin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 68.0 | +7.0 |
| 15 | Purdue | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 72.0 | +6.0 |
| 16 | Ohio State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 83.0 | 94.0 | -11.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Kentucky | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 105.0 | 54.0 | +51.0 |
| 2 | Austin Peay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 109.0 | 65.0 | +44.0 |
| 3 | Central Arkansas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 55.0 | +30.0 |
| 4 | Queens Royals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 |
| 5 | North Alabama | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 75.0 | +4.0 |
| 6 | Florida Gulf Coast | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 95.0 | 96.0 | -1.0 |
| 7 | Lipscomb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 79.0 | 86.0 | -7.0 |
| 8 | West Georgia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 58.0 | 75.0 | -17.0 |
| 9 | Stetson | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 63.5 | 83.0 | -19.5 |
| 10 | Bellarmine | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 93.0 | -46.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| Lipscomb | 29 | 25 | 54 |
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