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Iowa Wolves vs Wisconsin Herd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 117-114
Projected total 230.5
Final 130-142
34-33 38-40 26-33 32-36
Position#22
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game124.0
Allowed / game142.0
Iowa Wolves
USA
Vs
60%
40%
■ IOWA 60%■ WISC 40%
Pythia win probability
Wisconsin Herd 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game142.0
Allowed / game124.0
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Iowa Wolves v Wisconsin Herd
08 Nov 2026
IOWA130
WISC142
06 Nov 2026
IOWA124
WISC142
08 Nov 2024
IOWA111
WISC93
20 Nov 2022
IOWA119
WISC102
19 Nov 2022
IOWA118
WISC102
16 Mar 2019
IOWA123
WISC116
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Iowa Wolves will host the Wisconsin Herd on 8 November 2026 in the NBA G League, a contest the model predicts to be low-scoring with defenses and a slow pace, as the Wolves have allowed 142 points per game and the Herd have only allowed 124. Iowa's season record stands at 0-1, with 124 points scored and 142 allowed per game, while Wisconsin is 1-0, scoring 142 and conceding 124. Both teams have split their last five games 2-3, and the Wolves' recent loss to the Herd 124-142 at home on 6 November 2026 mirrors the Herd's victory in that same matchup. The Wolves have a 60% chance to win against the Herd's 40%, making the Wolves the model favourite, and the projected score is 117-114 with a total of 230.5 points. The line for the over is 236.5, with a 38% probability of the total exceeding that mark, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa Wolves winLost
59.8%fair 1.67
Best odds1.69
Implied55.5%
Edge+4.3pp
Wisconsin Herd winWon
40.2%fair 2.49
Best odds2.11
Implied44.5%
Edge-4.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa WolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
116-123
116
123
-7
A12/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
106-125
106
125
-19
A14/03
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
132-106
132
106
+26
H16/03
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
132-110
132
110
+22
H18/03
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#21
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A21/03
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#21
L
106-109
106
109
-3
A22/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
133-106
133
106
+27
H26/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
132-117
132
117
+15
H28/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
104-116
104
116
-12
A02/04
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#6
L
124-142
124
142
-18
H07/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
22-28
35-34
34-27
32-37
33-33
27-29
14-26
47-18
27-28
33-26
25-34
23-27
45-26
32-29
32-28
29-33
14-21
30-34
37-15
33-33
21-21
26-34
26-21
30-29
36-23
31-29
36-25
34-24
32-30
34-35
32-28
32-37
27-23
19-24
26-32
25-43
32-20
36-44
31-35
235.2Avg total
119.5Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)124.0142.0266.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)124.0142.0266.0-18.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)119.5115.7235.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)119.8118.0237.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)124.0142.0266.0-18.00%
vs Similar (17)119.2117.4236.6+1.847%
vs Weaker (12)121.9115.4237.3+6.575%
This opponent (Wisconsin Herd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisconsin HerdUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H08/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
109-103
109
103
+6
H09/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
L
113-126
113
126
-13
A11/03
NBA - G League
Windy City Bulls
#19
L
115-116
115
116
-1
A17/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
L
105-123
105
123
-18
H21/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H22/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
L
114-117
114
117
-3
H23/03
NBA - G League
Raptors 905
#1
W
106-104
106
104
+2
A26/03
NBA - G League
Raptors 905
#1
L
115-138
115
138
-23
A28/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#22
W
142-124
142
124
+18
A07/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
27-34
26-34
18-30
24-23
28-26
38-30
19-24
26-32
27-39
30-29
30-26
30-29
29-30
28-31
28-26
27-31
17-30
33-32
28-30
25-28
24-30
28-28
31-27
36-29
28-34
14-18
36-36
33-16
25-27
22-41
26-20
26-36
22-36
34-33
33-33
43-25
20-32
44-36
35-31
230.4Avg total
112.4Scored
118.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)142.0124.0266.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)142.0124.0266.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)112.4118.0230.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)117.0119.2236.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)107.9115.9223.8-8.121%
vs Similar (15)106.1109.1215.2-3.127%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)142.0124.0266.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Iowa Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 231.5Actual: Over 231.5
Over 231.5
47.9%
Under 231.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 236.5 · main lineActual: Over 236.5
Over 236.5
37.7%
@ 1.87-12.3pp
Under 236.5
62.3%
@ 1.87+12.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 241.5Actual: Over 241.5
Over 241.5
28.2%
Under 241.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Iowa Wolves total 115.5Actual: Iowa Wolves over 115.5
Over 115.5
54.9%
@ 1.49-6.6pp
Under 115.5
45.1%
@ 2.38+6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.38
Iowa Wolves total 119.5 · main lineActual: Iowa Wolves over 119.5
Over 119.5
41.5%
@ 1.83-9.1pp
Under 119.5
58.5%
@ 1.87+9.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
Iowa Wolves total 123.5Actual: Iowa Wolves over 123.5
Over 123.5
28.9%
@ 2.32-10.7pp
Under 123.5
71.1%
@ 1.52+10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.52
Wisconsin Herd total 112.5Actual: Wisconsin Herd over 112.5
Over 112.5
53.9%
@ 1.48-8.1pp
Under 112.5
46.1%
@ 2.41+8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.41
Wisconsin Herd total 116.5 · main lineActual: Wisconsin Herd over 116.5
Over 116.5
40.5%
@ 1.81-10.6pp
Under 116.5
59.5%
@ 1.89+10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.89
Wisconsin Herd total 120.5Actual: Wisconsin Herd over 120.5
Over 120.5
28.2%
@ 2.29-11.9pp
Under 120.5
71.8%
@ 1.53+11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Under
1xBet
1.53

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Iowa Wolves -3Actual: Wisconsin Herd +3
IOWA -3
52.2%
WISC +3
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
IOWA
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.
Spread Iowa Wolves 0Actual: Wisconsin Herd 0
IOWA 0
59.8%
WISC 0
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
IOWA
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.
Spread Iowa Wolves +3Actual: Wisconsin Herd -3
IOWA +3
67.4%
WISC -3
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
IOWA
No market prices yet.
WISC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Iowa WolvesWisconsin Herd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Iowa WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A12/03
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/03
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
74-46
74
46
+28
H16/03
NBA - G League
Salt Lake City Stars
#13
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H18/03
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#21
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/03
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#21
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A22/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H26/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H28/03
NBA - G League
Stockton Kings
#6
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A02/04
NBA - G League
Wisconsin Herd
#6
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H07/11
NBA - G League
116.7Avg total
59.9Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 117.5
Last 30 (30)60.758.8119.4+1.950%63%
Last 30 at home (16)62.558.9121.4+3.650%81%
Last 30 away (14)58.658.6117.2-0.150%43%
Last 10 (10)59.956.8116.7+3.140%70%
Last 5 (5)60.456.6117.0+3.840%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)57.063.0120.0-6.00%100%
vs Similar (17)62.958.9121.8+4.147%76%
vs Weaker (12)57.858.2116.0-0.558%42%
This opponent (Wisconsin Herd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wisconsin HerdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H08/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/03
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#4
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/03
NBA - G League
Windy City Bulls
#19
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A17/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H21/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H22/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H23/03
NBA - G League
Raptors 905
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A26/03
NBA - G League
Raptors 905
#1
L
48-72
48
72
-24
A28/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#22
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A07/11
NBA - G League
112.8Avg total
54.3Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 117.5
Last 30 (30)53.957.0110.9-3.037%37%
Last 30 at home (16)52.255.9108.1-3.838%19%
Last 30 away (14)55.958.1114.1-2.236%57%
Last 10 (10)54.358.5112.8-4.250%50%
Last 5 (5)56.458.6115.0-2.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)53.757.3111.0-3.636%36%
vs Similar (15)53.556.7110.2-3.133%33%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)63.057.0120.0+6.0100%100%
This opponent (Iowa Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Iowa Wolves -2.5 · main lineActual: Wisconsin Herd +2.5
IOWA -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
WISC +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.73
1st half Over/Under 117.5 · main lineActual: Over 117.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Iowa Wolves 1st half total 59.5 · main lineActual: Iowa Wolves over 59.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Wisconsin Herd 1st half total 58.5 · main lineActual: Wisconsin Herd over 58.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 115.5Actual: Over 115.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.64
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 119.5Actual: Over 119.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.03
Under
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Over/Under 113.5Actual: Over 113.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.42
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Wisconsin Herd (regulation)
IOWA
no forecast
@ 1.75
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
WISC
no forecast
@ 2.11

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wisconsin Herd under 120.571.8%1.53
1xBet
1.53		----+11.9ppLost
Iowa Wolves under 123.571.1%1.52
1xBet
1.52		----+10.7ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Iowa Wolves wins
4
Wisconsin Herd wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Iowa Wolves v Wisconsin Herd124-142
17/12/25Wisconsin Herd v Iowa Wolves108-110
14/12/25Wisconsin Herd v Iowa Wolves107-102
01/12/24Wisconsin Herd v Iowa Wolves98-115
30/11/24Wisconsin Herd v Iowa Wolves101-103
09/11/24Iowa Wolves v Wisconsin Herd111-93
19/11/23Wisconsin Herd v Iowa Wolves109-104
17/11/23Wisconsin Herd v Iowa Wolves108-104
20/11/22Iowa Wolves v Wisconsin Herd119-102
20/11/22Iowa Wolves v Wisconsin Herd118-102
Iowa Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HWisconsin Herd124-142
02/04/26AStockton Kings104-116
28/03/26HOklahoma City Blue132-117
26/03/26HOklahoma City Blue133-106
22/03/26ATexas Legends106-109
21/03/26ATexas Legends110-103
18/03/26HSalt Lake City Stars132-110
16/03/26HSalt Lake City Stars132-106
14/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers106-125
12/03/26ASouth Bay Lakers116-123
Wisconsin Herdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AIowa Wolves142-124
28/03/26ARaptors 905115-138
26/03/26ARaptors 905106-104
23/03/26HCollege Park Skyhawks114-117
22/03/26HMotor City Cruise108-113
21/03/26HMotor City Cruise105-123
17/03/26AWindy City Bulls115-116
11/03/26AOsceola Magic113-126
09/03/26HValley Suns109-103
08/03/26HMexico City Capitanes97-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa Wolves
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game124.0124.0-
Allowed / game142.0142.0-
Point differential-18.0-18.0-
Avg total266.0266.0-
Over 236.5100%100%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Wisconsin Herd
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game142.0-142.0
Allowed / game124.0-124.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total266.0-266.0
Over 236.5100%-100%
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Delaware Blue Coats110100%147.0122.0+25.0
2 Santa Cruz Warriors110100%127.0108.0+19.0
3 Wisconsin Herd110100%142.0124.0+18.0
4 Maine Celtics220100%109.593.5+16.0
5 Windy City Bulls220100%131.0115.0+16.0
6 Mexico City Capitanes110100%94.079.0+15.0
7 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
8 Osceola Magic110100%97.089.0+8.0
9 College Park Skyhawks220100%126.5120.5+6.0
10 South Bay Lakers110100%104.098.0+6.0
11 Austin Toros Spurs110100%120.0116.0+4.0
12 San Diego Clippers110100%127.0126.0+1.0
13 Greensboro Swarm21150%108.0104.5+3.5
14 Long Island Nets21150%104.5108.0-3.5
15 Valley Suns1010%126.0127.0-1.0
16 Rio Grande Valley Vipers1010%116.0120.0-4.0
17 Raptors 9052020%120.5126.5-6.0
18 Salt Lake City Stars1010%98.0104.0-6.0
19 Grand Rapids Gold2020%115.0125.0-10.0
20 Oklahoma City Blue2020%84.095.5-11.5
21 Noblesville Boom2020%115.0131.0-16.0
22 Westchester2020%93.5109.5-16.0
23 Iowa Wolves1010%124.0142.0-18.0
24 Stockton Kings1010%108.0127.0-19.0
25 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 25 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iowa Wolves34382632130
Wisconsin Herd33403336142
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