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Iraq vs Palestine Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-59
19-15 16-29 12-10 24-5
Position#16
Record5-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.8
Iraq 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game71.9
EuropeAsia Cup· Al Shaeb hall
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraq winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palestine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A02/06
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/06
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
46avg 53
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 53
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 53
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
43avg 53
A25/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
14-15
13-26
28-23
25-26
17-14
25-21
14-30
23-16
17-21
27-16
24-27
19-20
23-15
11-16
22-19
27-13
14-25
17-17
24-19
19-18
17-10
29-17
17-20
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
147.8Avg total
74.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.072.8146.8+1.256%
Season at home (4)78.270.8149.0+7.575%
Season away (5)70.674.4145.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)74.373.5147.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)67.468.0135.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.173.1139.2-7.022%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.581.2158.8-3.838%
vs Weaker (8)74.474.9149.2-0.538%
This opponent (Palestine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalestineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalestine
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
no box
A22/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H02/06
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A04/06
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
80-46
80
46
+34
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
L
51-74
51
74
-23
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
46-73
46
73
-27
28avg 50
A23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
72-75
72
75
-3
54avg 50
H26/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
51avg 50
H22/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 50
H25/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
14-32
22-25
21-12
26-25
14-17
21-25
30-14
20-22
20-17
17-22
28-17
19-11
24-6
23-8
14-21
9-8
15-17
21-20
12-15
17-13
17-25
9-14
8-22
16-16
10-18
4-25
16-14
23-25
13-12
17-19
19-19
12-16
16-20
18-15
20-22
22-24
12-24
16-25
31-14
144.4Avg total
70.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.971.9141.8-2.033%
Season at home (6)69.775.0144.7-5.317%
Season away (3)70.365.7136.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)70.174.3144.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)63.276.4139.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.480.9147.3-14.612%
vs Similar ◀ (5)73.881.4155.2-7.640%
vs Weaker (7)90.468.6159.0+21.971%
This opponent (Iraq) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
IraqPalestine
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/06
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/06
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
71.5Avg total
37.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)35.836.572.3-0.756%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.736.371.0-1.758%-
Last 30 away (13)36.836.673.5+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.771.5+4.1100%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.266.6+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.435.170.6+0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.136.974.0+0.262%-
vs Weaker (8)34.937.672.5-2.838%-
This opponent (Palestine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalestineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#11
L
29-59
29
59
-30
A22/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/06
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/06
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
43-17
43
17
+26
A20/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H22/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H25/11
Asia Cup
70.9Avg total
33.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.838.074.8-1.239%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.437.272.5-1.835%-
Last 30 away (11)39.139.378.4-0.245%-
Last 10 (10)33.437.570.9-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.670.2-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.639.471.1-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.643.479.0-7.80%-
vs Weaker (7)49.630.980.4+18.7100%-
This opponent (Iraq) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 62.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.5
43.7%
49.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.0
24.7%
32.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.511.2
60.8%
70.1%11.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palestinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palestine: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.517.0
38.2%
49.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.5
24.7%
32.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.015.3
69.3%
70.1%15.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraq
LLWLWWWWLL
Palestine
LLLLLLWWWL
#16
League position
#22
-8.3
Net rating
-13.8
85.7
Offensive rating
84.2
93.9
Defensive rating
97.9
41.1%
Effective FG%
37.8%
43.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.7%
3-point %
24.7%
60.0%
Assist %
47.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence85.7 · 84.2Defence93.9 · 97.9Shooting41.1% · 37.8%3-point %24.7% · 24.7%Ball care20.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 25.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Iraq   ■ Palestine
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iraq wins
1
Palestine wins
DateGameScore
26/02/24Palestine v Iraq72-75
02/06/22Palestine v Iraq91-81
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
22/02/23HOman82-65
21/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates82-74
20/02/23AQatar75-70
03/06/22HKuwait91-80
02/06/22APalestine81-91
22/02/21ABahrain77-80
Palestinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HJordan81-87
22/11/24HSaudi Arabia66-73
26/02/24HIraq72-75
23/02/24AJordan46-73
22/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates51-74
21/02/23HQatar57-60
20/02/23AOman80-46
04/06/22AKuwait85-78
02/06/22HIraq91-81
22/08/21ASaudi Arabia72-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraq
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game74.078.270.6
Allowed / game72.870.874.4
Point differential+1.2+7.5-3.8
Avg total146.8149.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palestine
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%17%67%
Points / game69.969.770.3
Allowed / game71.975.065.7
Point differential-2.0-5.3+4.7
Avg total141.8144.7136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia550100%99.860.6+39.2
2 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
3 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
4 China54180%88.857.6+31.2
5 Philippines54180%94.070.2+23.8
6 New Zealand54180%87.865.2+22.6
7 Iran54180%73.052.0+21.0
8 Japan54180%77.476.4+1.0
9 Saudi Arabia43175%66.865.2+1.5
10 Thailand128467%86.776.8+9.8
11 Qatar106460%69.566.8+2.7
12 South Korea53260%83.882.6+1.2
13 Guam106460%70.573.5-3.0
14 Iraq95456%74.072.8+1.2
15 Mongolia126650%76.878.3-1.6
16 Bahrain42250%71.579.8-8.2
17 United Arab Emirates94544%70.271.4-1.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 Kazakhstan52340%55.263.6-8.4
21 Chinese Taipei52340%72.483.0-10.6
22 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
23 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
24 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
25 Hong Kong102820%63.981.2-17.3
26 India51420%59.878.6-18.8
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraq1916122471
Palestine152910559
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