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Irbis Almaty vs Astana 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-75
15-26 18-11 20-23 14-15
Position#1
Record22-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#3
Record16-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Final· SC ADK
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Astana 2
02 May 2025
IRBI67
ASTA75
01 May 2025
IRBI62
ASTA85
11 Dec 2024
IRBI88
ASTA58
10 Dec 2024
IRBI87
ASTA39
02 Mar 2024
IRBI84
ASTA70
01 Mar 2024
IRBI89
ASTA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
72avg 75
A04/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
88-70
88
70
+18
93avg 75
H09/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 75
H10/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
61avg 75
A10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
60avg 75
A16/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 75
A17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 75
H18/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H19/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 75
A24/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
45avg 75
H01/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
12-13
21-17
19-15
23-19
24-15
15-25
26-11
19-16
23-21
31-14
11-24
14-25
17-18
19-21
28-13
20-21
18-14
11-20
20-28
31-26
15-15
22-30
17-13
17-22
23-23
21-18
33-22
23-19
14-25
21-5
24-20
25-10
10-21
21-22
22-16
14-21
23-19
16-20
9-25
155.2Avg total
79.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.871.8152.6+9.079%
Season at home (13)82.168.2150.2+13.985%
Season away (15)79.774.9154.7+4.873%
Last 10 (10)79.475.8155.2+3.680%
Last 5 (5)80.278.4158.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)77.083.5160.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.870.1150.9+10.782%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
64-95
64
95
-31
64avg 72
A01/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
82avg 72
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
56avg 72
H11/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 72
H12/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
77-55
77
55
+22
85avg 72
A14/04
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
100-66
100
66
+34
106avg 72
H15/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
93-70
93
70
+23
97avg 72
A19/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
97-76
97
76
+21
107avg 72
A20/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
84-65
84
65
+19
83avg 72
H23/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
85-62
85
62
+23
79avg 72
A01/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-35
21-14
15-21
18-25
31-23
16-26
18-27
14-14
18-10
16-25
8-15
21-13
20-15
25-15
22-21
15-17
18-17
19-11
22-14
18-13
22-20
23-25
28-13
27-8
26-14
23-17
24-21
20-18
25-24
28-21
20-18
24-13
22-20
21-17
25-12
16-16
21-14
19-23
20-16
25-9
154.4Avg total
82.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.477.5154.9-0.150%
Season at home (14)81.971.4153.4+10.564%
Season away (18)73.982.3156.2-8.439%
Last 10 (10)82.771.7154.4+11.070%
Last 5 (5)91.867.8159.6+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.582.6159.1-6.142%
vs Similar (12)78.274.2152.4+4.150%
vs Weaker (6)76.272.7148.8+3.567%
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.2+5.2
Irbis AlmatyAstana 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A04/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/04
National League
Almaty
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H19/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H01/05
National League
76.6Avg total
38.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.476.8+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.434.875.2+5.654%-
Last 30 away (17)40.437.678.0+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.976.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.236.376.5+4.061%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A01/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A14/04
National League
Atyrau
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H15/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A19/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/05
National League
81.0Avg total
42.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.878.8-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.036.379.3+6.758%-
Last 30 away (18)36.342.178.4-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.681.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.143.182.2-4.042%-
vs Similar (12)39.239.378.6-0.142%-
vs Weaker (6)38.334.072.3+4.350%-
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Irbis Almaty wins
2
Astana 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25HAstana 262-85
24/04/25AAlmaty78-69
19/04/25HAlmaty82-69
18/04/25HAlmaty94-85
17/03/25ATobol Kostanay85-84
16/03/25ATobol Kostanay69-83
10/03/25AAlmaty78-77
10/03/25HAlmaty84-75
09/03/25HAlmaty88-70
04/03/25AKaspiy Aktau74-61
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25AIrbis Almaty85-62
23/04/25HTobol Kostanay84-65
20/04/25ATobol Kostanay97-76
19/04/25ATobol Kostanay93-70
15/04/25HAtyrau100-66
14/04/25AAtyrau77-55
12/03/25HPavlodar82-68
11/03/25HPavlodar66-70 OT
02/03/25AAtyrau79-90
01/03/25AAtyrau64-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %79%85%73%
Points / game80.882.179.7
Allowed / game71.868.274.9
Point differential+9.0+13.9+4.8
Avg total152.6150.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana 2
National League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWWWW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %50%64%39%
Points / game77.481.973.9
Allowed / game77.571.482.3
Point differential-0.1+10.5-8.4
Avg total154.9153.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2822679%80.871.8+9.0
2 Tobol Kostanay3123874%84.576.5+8.0
3 Almaty32171553%75.273.4+1.8
4 Atyrau28141450%78.577.2+1.3
5 Astana 232161650%77.477.5-0.1
6 Kaspiy Aktau29131645%74.175.7-1.6
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2842414%71.886.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Irbis Almaty1518201467
Astana 22611231575
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