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Italy U20 vs Lithuania U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-66
23-17 19-9 18-22 23-18
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Final
Other2025
Meetings · Italy U20 v Lithuania U20
20 Jul 2025
ITAL83
LITH66
19 Jul 2013
ITAL75
LITH72
13 Jul 2012
ITAL89
LITH82
14 Jul 2011
ITAL77
LITH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland U20
#14
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
North Macedonia U20
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#6
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#7
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#16
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#12
W
101-58
101
58
+43
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
11-14
19-28
11-15
25-14
25-17
25-23
17-16
23-19
9-16
13-14
26-15
13-15
19-17
18-11
19-15
16-22
14-13
17-10
21-19
12-16
17-16
26-14
12-25
27-5
18-18
18-20
17-17
19-17
31-11
21-14
30-16
24-25
15-28
25-18
25-9
27-18
14-17
24-13
20-30
146.2Avg total
78.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.768.5150.2+13.283%
Season at home (4)83.266.8150.0+16.575%
Season away (2)78.572.0150.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.567.7146.2+10.880%
Last 5 (5)84.469.4153.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.069.0144.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (13)75.373.3148.6+2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.266.2142.4+10.175%
This opponent (Lithuania U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#12
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Romania U20
#14
W
106-66
106
66
+40
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#13
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-17
22-4
20-24
21-19
18-18
21-27
22-23
23-15
22-19
15-19
22-20
22-25
20-30
25-21
27-9
9-13
25-21
17-28
14-22
25-23
22-19
30-9
29-15
21-20
26-22
16-16
16-24
16-20
20-17
23-18
25-18
27-17
23-24
15-18
20-8
24-30
16-12
23-12
18-17
158.8Avg total
83.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.373.8157.2+9.567%
Season at home (3)77.074.0151.0+3.067%
Season away (3)89.773.7163.3+16.067%
Last 10 (10)83.775.1158.8+8.670%
Last 5 (5)87.071.8158.8+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.275.2143.5-7.025%
vs Similar (7)78.077.0155.0+1.071%
vs Weaker (19)82.568.4150.9+14.268%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Italy U20Lithuania U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland U20
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
North Macedonia U20
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#16
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#12
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
71.6Avg total
38.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.833.671.4+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.233.371.6+4.956%-
Last 30 away (12)37.134.171.2+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.571.6+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.275.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.016.053.0+21.0100%-
vs Similar (13)36.137.773.8-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.231.470.6+7.862%-
This opponent (Lithuania U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
Romania U20
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H19/07
EuroBasket U20
81.6Avg total
41.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.176.9+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.634.974.6+4.750%-
Last 30 away (16)41.737.278.9+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.981.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.836.273.0+0.525%-
vs Similar (7)38.139.377.4-1.129%-
vs Weaker (19)42.534.977.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Italy U20 wins
2
Lithuania U20 wins
DateGameScore
19/07/13Italy U20 v Lithuania U2075-72 OT
13/07/12Italy U20 v Lithuania U2089-82
14/07/11Italy U20 v Lithuania U2077-82
17/07/10Lithuania U20 v Italy U2074-73
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25HSerbia U2085-78
17/07/25AIsrael U2089-80
16/07/25HIceland U20101-58
14/07/25HUkraine U2080-60
13/07/25HGermany U2067-71
12/07/25ABelgium U2068-64
21/07/24HIsrael U2069-58
20/07/24ASerbia U2071-64
18/07/24HNorth Macedonia U2092-70
17/07/24HPoland U2063-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25HFrance U2081-71
17/07/25HSlovenia U2085-67
16/07/25APoland U2084-73
14/07/25ACzech Republic U2079-82
13/07/25ARomania U20106-66
12/07/25HGreece U2065-84
21/07/24ACzech Republic U2094-85
20/07/24ASpain U2082-73
18/07/24AGreece U2082-87
17/07/24HTurkey U2079-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game81.783.278.5
Allowed / game68.566.872.0
Point differential+13.2+16.5+6.5
Avg total150.2150.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania U20
EuroBasket U20 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.377.089.7
Allowed / game73.874.073.7
Point differential+9.5+3.0+16.0
Avg total157.2151.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Greece U2076186%87.066.1+20.9
2 Italy U2065183%81.768.5+13.2
3 Israel U2075271%88.476.6+11.9
4 Serbia U2075271%80.468.6+11.9
5 France U2075271%74.167.3+6.9
6 Germany U2075271%74.170.7+3.4
7 Czech Republic U2075271%75.975.4+0.4
8 Lithuania U2064267%83.373.8+9.5
9 Poland U2074357%76.975.9+1.0
10 Spain U2072529%72.372.0+0.3
11 Belgium U2072529%63.971.9-8.0
12 Iceland U2072529%66.378.9-12.6
13 Slovenia U2072529%68.982.9-14.0
14 Romania U2072529%62.682.7-20.1
15 Finland U2071614%74.783.3-8.6
16 Ukraine U207070%64.677.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U202319182383
Lithuania U20179221866
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