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Italy W vs Denmark W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-55
26-13 23-11 23-19 29-12
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game66.2
Italy W 🏆
vs
Position#29
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.5
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H14/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A17/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A13/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A15/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
10-17
12-11
11-18
24-18
23-20
17-13
18-21
27-15
24-16
12-17
27-20
16-19
19-13
15-15
19-16
139.5Avg total
73.2Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.266.2139.5+7.075%
Season at home (1)52.062.0114.0-10.00%
Season away (3)80.367.7148.0+12.7100%
Last 10 (4)73.266.2139.5+7.075%
Last 5 (4)73.266.2139.5+7.075%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.266.2139.5+7.075%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malta W
#3
W
96-58
96
58
+38
A26/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Gibraltar W
#7
W
116-33
116
33
+83
H27/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Moldova W
#8
W
146-35
146
35
+111
A28/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Norway W
#6
W
77-42
77
42
+35
H30/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#2
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H01/07
Small Countries European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A14/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H17/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A13/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H15/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
27-16
29-10
17-12
32-11
31-8
30-6
23-8
23-2
39-8
42-14
42-11
19-16
20-10
17-8
21-8
24-14
31-8
20-17
18-20
14-26
15-13
15-19
11-12
18-24
20-23
13-17
21-18
23-26
18-20
11-18
12-20
19-27
18-17
31-14
23-16
149.7Avg total
90.0Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.577.5148.0-7.025%
Season at home (2)81.578.0159.5+3.550%
Season away (2)59.577.0136.5-17.50%
Last 10 (9)90.059.7149.7+30.367%
Last 5 (5)75.073.8148.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.083.0151.0-15.00%
vs Similar (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (5)105.645.4151.0+60.2100%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +10.7+10.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +9.4+9.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +7.0+7.0
Italy WDenmark W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H14/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A13/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/11
European Championship Women
74.0Avg total
40.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)40.533.574.0+7.075%-
Last 30 at home (1)29.033.062.0-4.00%-
Last 30 away (3)44.333.778.0+10.7100%-
Last 10 (4)40.533.574.0+7.075%-
Last 5 (4)40.533.574.0+7.075%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.533.574.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malta W
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A26/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Gibraltar W
#7
W
63-19
63
19
+44
H27/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Moldova W
#8
W
62-10
62
10
+52
A28/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Norway W
#6
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H30/06
Small Countries European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#2
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H01/07
Small Countries European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H15/11
European Championship Women
78.1Avg total
46.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)46.032.178.1+13.956%-
Last 30 at home (5)46.431.678.0+14.860%-
Last 30 away (4)45.532.878.2+12.850%-
Last 10 (9)46.032.178.1+13.956%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.546.586.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (5)53.822.676.4+31.2100%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy W wins
0
Denmark W wins
DateGameScore
17/11/19Denmark W v Italy W72-82
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/20ACzech Republic W69-63
13/11/20ARomania W90-68
17/11/19ADenmark W82-72
14/11/19HCzech Republic W52-62
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/20HRomania W91-74
13/11/20ACzech Republic W64-84
17/11/19HItaly W72-82
14/11/19ARomania W55-70
01/07/18HLuxembourg W93-59
30/06/18HNorway W77-42
28/06/18AMoldova W146-35
27/06/18HGibraltar W116-33
26/06/18AMalta W96-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy W
European Championship Women 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%0%100%
Points / game73.252.080.3
Allowed / game66.262.067.7
Point differential+7.0-10.0+12.7
Avg total139.5114.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denmark W
European Championship Women 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game70.581.559.5
Allowed / game77.578.077.0
Point differential-7.0+3.5-17.5
Avg total148.0159.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W440100%90.859.2+31.5
2 Belgium W550100%79.257.0+22.2
3 Slovenia W550100%76.864.4+12.4
4 Russia W54180%82.856.2+26.6
5 Czech Republic W54180%73.859.2+14.6
6 Bosnia & Herzegovina W54180%75.463.6+11.8
7 Croatia W54180%81.072.4+8.6
8 Sweden W43175%75.553.8+21.8
9 Italy W43175%73.266.2+7.0
10 Belarus W32167%71.061.3+9.7
11 Montenegro W32167%65.767.0-1.3
12 Netherlands W32167%66.067.7-1.7
13 Germany W53260%80.867.8+13.0
14 Latvia W42250%78.266.0+12.2
15 Greece W42250%74.066.8+7.2
16 Turkey W42250%68.262.0+6.2
17 Hungary W42250%64.262.5+1.8
18 Great Britain W42250%67.067.2-0.2
19 Ukraine W42250%71.874.0-2.2
20 Bulgaria W52340%70.867.6+3.2
21 Switzerland W52340%60.273.6-13.4
22 Slovakia W31233%66.767.3-0.7
23 Poland W31233%60.069.3-9.3
24 Lithuania W41325%71.266.5+4.8
25 Portugal W41325%60.562.2-1.8
26 Denmark W41325%70.577.5-7.0
27 Romania W51420%64.679.2-14.6
28 Finland W51420%57.876.8-19.0
29 Estonia W5050%55.680.6-25.0
30 Iceland W4040%58.585.2-26.8
31 Israel W3030%52.380.0-27.7
32 North Macedonia W4040%50.089.2-39.2
33 Albania W2020%38.5123.5-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy W26232329101
Denmark W1311191255
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