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Jackson State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-77
36-41 49-36
Position#306
Record10-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#372
Record3-28
FormLWLWL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game83.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jackson State v Miss. Valley St.
05 Mar 2026
JACK85
MISS77
08 Feb 2025
JACK92
MISS44
09 Mar 2024
JACK68
MISS67
04 Feb 2023
JACK78
MISS82
05 Mar 2022
JACK76
MISS69
30 Jan 2021
JACK106
MISS56
29 Feb 2020
JACK87
MISS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jackson State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jackson StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#260
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
97-81
97
81
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A09/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H14/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
76-85 OT
76
85
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
34-32
37-48
47-36
45-38
52-43
31-41
32-43
37-23
43-37
39-37
52-49
34-34
31-49
33-31
42-44
30-37
27-45
44-36
37-42
157.1Avg total
76.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.285.1155.2-14.933%
Season at home (11)80.580.7161.2-0.355%
Season away (19)64.287.6151.8-23.421%
Last 10 (10)76.780.4157.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)74.082.8156.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)68.785.3153.9-16.630%
vs Similar (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)97.081.0178.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H07/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
55-92
55
92
-37
A17/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
46-48
38-45
43-52
25-36
41-38
31-29
34-43
25-42
30-50
34-40
28-32
36-34
36-37
36-38
26-45
35-39
35-30
23-38
41-29
144.2Avg total
66.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)64.283.1147.4-18.910%
Season at home (11)67.576.5144.1-9.018%
Season away (20)62.486.8149.2-24.45%
Last 10 (10)66.777.5144.2-10.820%
Last 5 (5)66.072.4138.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)63.483.1146.5-19.77%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jackson State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -4.4-4.4
Jackson StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jackson StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#260
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/03
NCAA
72.4Avg total
36.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.439.572.9-6.237%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.636.575.2+2.155%-
Last 30 away (19)30.341.371.6-10.926%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.272.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.071.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)32.239.972.1-7.733%-
vs Similar (2)43.535.579.0+8.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/03
NCAA
67.8Avg total
30.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.139.668.7-10.513%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.036.467.4-5.418%-
Last 30 away (19)28.141.569.5-13.411%-
Last 10 (10)30.737.167.8-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.840.068.8-11.310%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jackson State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-78
28/02/26ATexas Southern57-82
27/02/26APrairie View A&M76-85 OT
21/02/26AAlcorn State65-83
17/02/26HBethune-Cookman91-86
14/02/26HFlorida A&M80-60
09/02/26AArkansas-Pine Bluff63-84
07/02/26AMiss. Valley St.97-81
03/02/26HSouthern Univ.91-96 OT
31/01/26HGrambling St.66-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AAlcorn State64-67
28/02/26AArkansas-Pine Bluff70-69
24/02/26AGrambling St.62-83
21/02/26HTexas Southern72-71
20/02/26HPrairie View A&M62-72
17/02/26AAlabama State55-92
14/02/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs65-72
10/02/26HAlcorn State66-74
07/02/26HJackson State81-97
31/01/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jackson State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301119
Win %33%55%21%
Points / game70.280.564.2
Allowed / game85.180.787.6
Point differential-14.9-0.3-23.4
Avg total155.2161.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)71% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL10%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayLLLWL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311120
Win %10%18%5%
Points / game64.267.562.4
Allowed / game83.176.586.8
Point differential-18.9-9.0-24.4
Avg total147.4144.1149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs30171357%71.871.9-0.1
2 Bethune-Cookman31171455%75.677.1-1.5
3 Southern Univ.30141647%79.978.1+1.8
4 Florida A&M28131546%69.675.1-5.4
5 Prairie View A&M30131743%80.378.6+1.7
6 Texas Southern28121643%75.678.0-2.4
7 Grambling St.30121840%70.571.0-0.6
8 Arkansas-Pine Bluff30121840%76.982.0-5.1
9 Alabama State30102033%73.877.7-3.9
10 Jackson State30102033%70.285.1-14.9
11 Alcorn State2982128%67.681.1-13.6
12 Miss. Valley St.3132810%64.283.1-18.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jackson State364985
Miss. Valley St.413677
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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