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Jacksonville Dolphins vs Trinity Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 88-61
Projected total 148.8
Final 105-61
52-27 53-34
Position#39
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Jacksonville Dolphins 🏆
USA
Vs
99%
■ JACK 99%■ TRIN 1%
Pythia win probability
Trinity Baptist
USA
Position#398
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jacksonville Dolphins v Trinity Baptist
28 Nov 2026
JACK v TRIN
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
JACK105
TRIN61
11 Dec 2025
JACK122
TRIN49
04 Nov 2024
JACK78
TRIN65
14 Dec 2023
JACK91
TRIN54
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Jacksonville Dolphins host Trinity Baptist on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Dolphins the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win largely because of their 3-2 record in the last five games and a season average of 88 points scored versus 61 allowed, while Trinity Baptist has a 0-5 record in their last five and averages only 61 points scored against 88 allowed. In the Dolphins' five-game stretch they have two wins and three losses, including a 85-61 away victory over North Florida and a 89-85 home win over Stetson, and they have lost only 79-82 to Bellarmine away on 4 March 2026; Trinity Baptist has lost all five of their recent outings, most notably 49-122 to the Dolphins on 11 December 2025, 70-121 to Florida International on 22 December 2025 and 67-111 to North Florida on 29 November 2025. The teams have met three times, with the Dolphins winning all three encounters, most recently 122-49 on 11 December 2025. Pythia projects a score of 88-61 and a total of 148.8 points, giving the Dolphins a 99% chance to win and a 1% chance for Trinity Baptist, with no chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville Dolphins winWon
98.6%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trinity Baptist winLost
1.4%fair 70.73
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville DolphinsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H31/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A06/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A12/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H27/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A28/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-25
25-43
31-44
53-49
35-35
38-52
26-33
36-34
32-26
31-30
42-46
42-40
28-33
33-32
42-34
47-51
49-20
36-41
32-47
47-35
147.9Avg total
72.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.975.0147.9-2.130%
Last 5 (5)79.675.8155.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.875.9138.7-13.111%
vs Similar (12)70.277.3147.6-7.125%
vs Weaker (9)81.167.4148.6+13.778%
Trinity BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#97
L
54-109
54
109
-55
A07/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
63-104
63
104
-41
A16/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A14/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A16/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A05/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
43-101
43
101
-58
A14/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
68-110
68
110
-42
A22/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
67-111
67
111
-44
A29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
49-122
49
122
-73
A12/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
70-121
70
121
-51
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-59
33-50
31-56
32-48
27-47
27-44
36-43
36-70
24-34
41-44
13-45
30-56
30-61
38-49
25-62
42-49
19-64
30-58
36-68
34-53
166.5Avg total
60.5Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)60.5106.0166.5-45.50%
Last 5 (5)59.4113.0172.4-53.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)53.295.4148.5-42.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
66.8%
Under 142
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
54.6%
Under 147
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
41.9%
Under 152
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Jacksonville Dolphins total 73Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins over 73
Over 73
93.8%
Under 73
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jacksonville Dolphins total 77Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins over 77
Over 77
87.2%
Under 77
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jacksonville Dolphins total 81Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins over 81
Over 81
76.4%
Under 81
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trinity Baptist total 66Actual: Trinity Baptist under 66
Over 66
29.8%
Under 66
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trinity Baptist total 70Actual: Trinity Baptist under 70
Over 70
17.3%
Under 70
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trinity Baptist total 74Actual: Trinity Baptist under 74
Over 74
8.9%
Under 74
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Jacksonville Dolphins -3Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -3
JACK -3
97.9%
TRIN +3
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
JACK
No market prices yet.
TRIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Jacksonville Dolphins 0Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins 0
JACK 0
98.6%
TRIN 0
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
JACK
No market prices yet.
TRIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Jacksonville Dolphins +3Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +3
JACK +3
99.1%
TRIN -3
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
JACK
No market prices yet.
TRIN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-35-17+0+17+351st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -27.7-27.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -17.8-17.8
-35-17+0+17+351st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -27.7-27.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -17.8-17.8
Jacksonville DolphinsTrinity Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H27/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A28/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A04/03
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.835.469.2-1.530%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.131.266.2+3.942%-
Last 30 away (18)33.038.271.2-5.222%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.368.4-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.074.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.335.766.0-5.322%-
vs Similar (12)30.837.568.3-6.78%-
vs Weaker (9)41.332.273.6+9.167%-
Trinity BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#97
L
21-59
21
59
-38
A07/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A14/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A16/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
13-45
13
45
-32
A14/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
30-61
30
61
-31
A22/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
25-62
25
62
-37
A29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
19-64
19
64
-45
A12/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A22/12
NCAA
80.1Avg total
26.2Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)21.948.270.1-26.30%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (18)21.948.270.1-26.30%-
Last 10 (10)26.253.980.1-27.70%-
Last 5 (5)24.660.084.6-35.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)22.548.671.2-26.10%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jacksonville Dolphins wins
0
Trinity Baptist wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Jacksonville Dolphins v Trinity Baptist122-49
05/11/24Jacksonville Dolphins v Trinity Baptist78-65
14/12/23Jacksonville Dolphins v Trinity Baptist91-54
Jacksonville Dolphinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ABellarmine79-82
28/02/26ANorth Florida85-61
27/02/26HStetson89-85
22/02/26HAustin Peay61-65
19/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast84-86
14/02/26HNorth Florida63-56
12/02/26AStetson62-67
07/02/26AWest Georgia73-87
06/02/26AQueens Royals84-93
31/01/26HFlorida Gulf Coast49-68
Trinity Baptistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25AFlorida International70-121
12/12/25AJacksonville Dolphins49-122
29/11/25ANorth Florida67-111
22/11/24AFlorida A&M68-110
14/11/24AMercer43-101
05/11/24AJacksonville Dolphins65-78
16/12/23ANorth Florida72-113
14/12/23AJacksonville Dolphins54-91
16/11/23ABethune-Cookman63-104
07/11/23AStetson54-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville Dolphins
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Trinity Baptist
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville Dolphins5253105
Trinity Baptist273461
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