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Kansas State vs Florida Atlantic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:09
Final 76-79
38-42 38-37
Position#51
Record26-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game69.6
Kansas State
USA
vs
Florida Atlantic 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record34-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida Atlantic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#229
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H02/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A04/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#54
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H18/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H19/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H23/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
29-43
23-31
38-24
31-34
44-31
33-35
40-33
34-25
51-44
37-39
44-50
32-37
35-43
34-28
43-37
29-26
46-43
43-38
39-44
148.9Avg total
75.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.269.6145.8+6.674%
Season at home (24)75.964.5140.5+11.492%
Season away (11)76.780.6157.4-3.936%
Last 10 (10)75.773.2148.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)79.679.2158.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (24)76.072.4148.4+3.671%
vs Weaker (6)74.064.8138.8+9.267%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H24/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H25/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
103-74
103
74
+29
A03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H10/03
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H12/03
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A18/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
61-34
32-21
43-28
57-28
46-46
38-43
38-29
30-20
45-31
37-25
31-40
46-27
32-29
31-35
35-30
32-25
46-45
22-27
40-28
141.0Avg total
78.7Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.064.8142.8+13.192%
Season at home (21)80.763.5144.2+17.1100%
Season away (16)74.466.6141.0+7.981%
Last 10 (10)78.762.3141.0+16.4100%
Last 5 (5)70.462.2132.6+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)76.270.8147.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.464.3142.7+14.196%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +7.7+7.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +7.7+7.7
Kansas StateFlorida Atlantic
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#229
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#54
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H18/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H19/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.567.9+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.530.864.2+2.860%-
Last 30 away (10)36.139.075.1-2.920%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.966.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.668.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (24)34.133.868.0+0.346%-
vs Weaker (6)35.332.267.5+3.250%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H10/03
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H12/03
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A18/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H19/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A24/03
NCAA
65.3Avg total
37.0Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.929.966.8+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.228.566.8+9.782%-
Last 30 away (13)35.231.666.8+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)37.028.365.3+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.627.861.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.834.569.2+0.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.329.266.4+8.181%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kansas State wins
0
Florida Atlantic wins
No previous meetings.
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/23HMichigan State98-93 OT
19/03/23HKentucky75-69
18/03/23HMontana State77-65
10/03/23HTCU67-80
04/03/23AWest Virginia81-89
02/03/23HOklahoma85-69
25/02/23AOklahoma State73-68
22/02/23HBaylor75-65
18/02/23HIowa State61-55
15/02/23AOklahoma65-79
Florida Atlanticlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23ATennessee62-55
19/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson78-70
18/03/23AMemphis66-65
12/03/23HUAB78-56
10/03/23HMiddle Tenn. St.68-65
09/03/23HWestern Kentucky75-51
05/03/23ALouisiana Tech76-72
03/03/23ARice103-74
25/02/23HUTEP75-49
24/02/23HUTSA Roadrunners106-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW74%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352411
Win %74%92%36%
Points / game76.275.976.7
Allowed / game69.664.580.6
Point differential+6.6+11.4-3.9
Avg total145.8140.5157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %14%17%9%
Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372116
Win %92%100%81%
Points / game78.080.774.4
Allowed / game64.863.566.6
Point differential+13.1+17.1+7.9
Avg total142.8144.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)100% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3733489%74.957.5+17.4
2 Arizona3528780%81.971.1+10.7
3 Kansas3628878%75.468.1+7.4
4 Kansas State3526974%76.269.6+6.6
5 Baylor34231168%77.070.3+6.8
6 Arizona State36231364%71.168.0+3.1
7 Cincinnati33211264%77.269.2+8.0
8 TCU35221363%75.368.4+6.8
9 Iowa State33191458%67.662.6+5.0
10 UCF Knights32181456%72.266.0+6.2
11 Brigham Young34191556%75.569.9+5.6
12 West Virginia34191556%76.070.9+5.0
13 Oklahoma State33181555%68.566.1+2.4
14 Utah Utes32171553%68.763.8+4.8
15 Colorado33171652%70.066.8+3.3
16 Texas Tech32161650%73.369.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic3734392%78.064.8+13.1
2 North Texas3326779%64.255.7+8.5
3 Memphis3526974%79.471.8+7.6
4 UAB3425974%81.470.8+10.6
5 Tulane31201165%79.977.2+2.8
6 Charlotte32181456%66.762.8+4.0
7 Rice33181555%76.776.4+0.3
8 Wichita State32171553%71.068.5+2.5
9 Temple32161650%69.670.2-0.6
10 East Carolina33161748%68.870.5-1.7
11 South Florida32141844%72.072.0+0.0
12 UTSA Roadrunners32102231%69.376.6-7.3
13 Tulsa3052517%65.377.4-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State383876
Florida Atlantic423779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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