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Kansas State vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-71 (OT)
33-25 30-38 9-8
Position#151
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#174
Record6-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H25/03
NCAA
USC
#249
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H07/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H11/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H14/11
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A17/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H23/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
88-78 OT
88
78
+10
H29/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-38
39-44
38-42
38-37
30-40
39-42
46-31
37-44
38-29
53-39
29-26
28-31
28-47
55-44
49-22
51-34
41-41
31-31
23-31
42-34
160.2Avg total
83.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.874.2157.0+8.575%
Season at home (6)84.372.2156.5+12.283%
Season away (2)78.080.5158.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)83.676.6160.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)83.873.8157.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.079.0155.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)75.873.7149.5+2.264%
vs Weaker (4)83.269.8153.0+13.575%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#11
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A15/03
NIT
American University
#203
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H24/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H29/11
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-32
0-0
32-30
0-0
41-31
0-0
49-32
0-0
48-34
0-0
35-23
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-44
0-0
39-15
0-0
18-25
0-0
41-33
0-0
44-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-34
0-0
44-16
0-0
35-47
0-0
35-43
0-0
30-35
0-0
25-26
0-0
30-31
137.2Avg total
72.6Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.364.9139.2+9.467%
Season at home (7)73.461.0134.4+12.471%
Season away (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)72.664.6137.2+8.060%
Last 5 (5)73.469.6143.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.774.5144.2-4.727%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.359.9128.2+8.478%
vs Weaker (9)74.665.1139.7+9.467%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
Kansas StateVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H25/03
NCAA
USC
#249
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H11/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A17/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H23/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H29/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/12
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.968.4+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.131.566.6+3.655%-
Last 30 away (10)33.538.672.1-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.771.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.467.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker (4)41.228.569.8+12.875%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#11
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A15/03
NIT
American University
#203
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A14/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
44-16
44
16
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Drexel
#102
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H02/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
36.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.964.2+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.828.664.4+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)30.133.964.0-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)36.029.665.6+6.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.465.8+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.533.264.6-1.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.728.063.7+7.756%-
vs Weaker (9)34.131.065.1+3.167%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kansas State wins
0
Villanova wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HNorth Alabama75-74 OT
29/11/23HOral Roberts88-78 OT
23/11/23HCentral Arkansas100-56
19/11/23AMiami (FL)83-91
17/11/23AProvidence73-70 OT
14/11/23HSouth Dakota St.91-68
11/11/23HBellarmine83-75
07/11/23HUSC69-82
25/03/23HFlorida Atlantic76-79
23/03/23HMichigan State98-93 OT
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HDrexel55-57
29/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks65-78
24/11/23HMemphis79-63
23/11/23ANorth Carolina83-81 OT
22/11/23HTexas Tech85-69
18/11/23HMaryland57-40
14/11/23APenn72-76
10/11/23HLe Moyne83-57
07/11/23HAmerican University90-63
15/03/23ALiberty57-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game82.884.378.0
Allowed / game74.272.280.5
Point differential+8.5+12.2-2.5
Avg total157.0156.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %38%33%50%
Villanova
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game74.373.477.5
Allowed / game64.961.078.5
Point differential+9.4+12.4-1.0
Avg total139.2134.4156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brigham Young770100%91.359.6+31.7
2 Arizona770100%93.462.6+30.9
3 TCU770100%91.766.1+25.6
4 Houston880100%75.050.4+24.6
5 Baylor880100%92.868.5+24.2
6 Cincinnati770100%87.365.0+22.3
7 Kansas87188%79.864.8+15.0
8 Iowa State86275%82.958.9+24.0
9 Colorado86275%83.869.6+14.1
10 Kansas State86275%82.874.2+8.5
11 Utah Utes75271%80.770.4+10.3
12 UCF Knights75271%77.169.6+7.6
13 Texas Tech75271%73.066.7+6.3
14 Arizona State75271%67.365.4+1.9
15 Oklahoma State73443%75.068.3+6.7
16 West Virginia73443%64.164.6-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn87188%85.861.6+24.1
2 Creighton87188%84.063.4+20.6
3 Providence87188%77.263.6+13.6
4 Butler86275%83.469.0+14.4
5 Marquette86275%79.267.0+12.2
6 Seton Hall75271%78.066.7+11.3
7 St. John's (N.Y.)75271%79.771.9+7.9
8 Villanova96367%74.364.9+9.4
9 Georgetown85362%79.072.9+6.1
10 Xavier114736%71.570.6+0.9
11 DePaul71614%71.478.6-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Kansas State3330972
Villanova2538871
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