Kansas faces Fordham on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that the Pythia model deems a clear favourite for the Jayhawks, assigning them an 83% chance of victory largely because of their dominant season numbers and the strength of their recent form. The Jayhawks have won 3 of their last 5 games, including a 68-60 home win over California Baptist, while Fordham has secured 2 wins in 5 outings, most notably a 61-49 home victory over Rhode Island. In their most recent meetings, Kansas lost to St. John's 65-67 at home on 22 March 2026, and Fordham fell to George Washington 62-66 at home on 12 March 2026. The model projects a 76-65 scoreline for the game, with a total of 140.5 points, and gives Kansas an 83% probability of winning against a 17% chance for Fordham. The home team's line is -23.5, with only a 13% probability of covering, while the over/under line of 143.5 carries a 42% chance of the over, and there is a 3% likelihood of overtime. The Jayhawks' recent 47-69 loss to Houston away on 13 March 2026 serves as a reminder that even the favourite can stumble.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 70.1 | 71.7 | 141.8 | -1.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.4 | 70.8 | 143.2 | +1.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 65.0 | 69.3 | 134.3 | -4.3 | 43% |
| vs Similar (15) | 77.9 | 71.9 | 149.7 | +6.0 | 73% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 77.4 | 66.9 | 144.2 | +10.5 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 65.9 | 66.5 | 132.4 | -0.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.6 | 68.6 | 135.2 | -2.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 59.3 | 74.3 | 133.7 | -15.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 66.8 | 67.0 | 133.8 | -0.2 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 72.4 | 61.9 | 134.3 | +10.6 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.4 | 32.9 | 69.3 | +3.5 | 63% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 38.5 | 30.7 | 69.2 | +7.8 | 78% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 33.3 | 36.2 | 69.5 | -2.8 | 42% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.2 | 32.3 | 64.5 | -0.1 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.2 | 30.4 | 63.6 | +2.8 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 32.9 | 33.3 | 66.1 | -0.4 | 43% | 14% |
| vs Similar (15) | 37.7 | 32.7 | 70.5 | +5.0 | 60% | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 37.1 | 32.9 | 70.0 | +4.2 | 88% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.5 | 31.0 | 61.5 | -0.5 | 50% | 20% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 30.7 | 28.3 | 59.0 | +2.3 | 61% | 6% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 30.3 | 35.0 | 65.3 | -4.7 | 33% | 42% |
| Last 10 (10) | 27.5 | 33.3 | 60.8 | -5.8 | 30% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.0 | 34.2 | 60.2 | -8.2 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 24.7 | 38.7 | 63.3 | -14.0 | 0% | 33% |
| vs Similar (16) | 28.7 | 31.0 | 59.7 | -2.3 | 44% | 12% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 33.8 | 29.2 | 63.0 | +4.6 | 67% | 22% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham +17 | 71.4% | 2.62 | 2.62 | - | - | - | - | +36.0pp | Lost |
| Fordham +18 | 74.4% | 2.40 | 2.40 | - | - | - | - | +35.6pp | Lost |
| Fordham +19 | 77.2% | 2.20 | 2.20 | - | - | - | - | +35.1pp | Lost |
| Fordham +23.5 | 86.5% | 1.76 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.68 | 1.64 | +34.9pp | Lost |
| Fordham +17.5 | 72.3% | 2.50 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - | +34.8pp | Lost |
| Fordham +20 | 79.8% | 2.05 | 2.05 | - | - | - | - | +34.7pp | Lost |
| Fordham +21 | 82.1% | 1.95 | 1.96 | 1.94 | - | - | - | +34.4pp | Lost |
| Fordham +19.5 | 77.8% | 2.12 | 2.12 | - | - | - | - | +34.2pp | Lost |
| Fordham +18.5 | 75.1% | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | +34.0pp | Lost |
| Fordham +22.5 | 84.6% | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.74 | - | +33.6pp | Lost |
| Fordham +20.5 | 80.3% | 1.95 | 1.95 | - | - | - | - | +33.1pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 81.5 | 72.0% | 2.38 | 2.38 | - | - | - | - | +32.9pp | Lost |
| Fordham +22 | 84.3% | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.80 | - | - | +32.8pp | Lost |
| Fordham +21.5 | 82.5% | 1.88 | 1.92 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +32.8pp | Lost |
| Fordham +24 | 88.0% | 1.68 | 1.78 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +32.7pp | Lost |
| Fordham +23 | 86.2% | 1.71 | 1.74 | 1.68 | - | - | - | +32.2pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 84.5 | 81.2% | 1.86 | 1.86 | - | - | - | - | +32.0pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 84 | 80.6% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.84 | - | - | - | +30.5pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 83.5 | 78.4% | 1.89 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +29.3pp | Lost |
| Fordham +24.5 | 88.2% | 1.64 | 1.72 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +28.5pp | Lost |
| Fordham +25 | 89.6% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +28.4pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 83 | 77.7% | 1.87 | 1.87 | - | - | - | - | +28.2pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 82.5 | 75.3% | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.86 | - | - | +26.8pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 86.5 | 86.1% | 1.52 | 1.54 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 87.5 | 88.2% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +23.7pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 88.5 | 90.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +23.1pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 89.5 | 91.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +20.1pp | Lost |
| Kansas under 90.5 | 93.1% | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +19.2pp | Lost |
| Fordham over 57.5 | 76.2% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Fordham over 56.5 | 79.2% | 1.37 | 1.44 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Under 149 | 70.6% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Lost |
| Fordham over 58.5 | 73.0% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Under 150 | 72.7% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Lost |
| Under 149.5 | 71.2% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Lost |
| Fordham over 55.5 | 81.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Under 150.5 | 73.2% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Under 151 | 74.7% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| Under 152 | 76.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Under 151.5 | 75.2% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Under 153 | 78.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Under 152.5 | 77.1% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Under 153.5 | 78.8% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Lost |
| Under 155.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| Under 154.5 | 80.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Under 165.5 | 93.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Under 170.5 | 96.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 88.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 95.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Under 164.5 | 92.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 87.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Lost |
| Under 163.5 | 91.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 86.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Lost |
| Over 118.5 | 91.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| Over 119.5 | 90.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| Over 120.5 | 89.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| Over 123.5 | 85.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -5.1pp | Won |
| Over 124.5 | 83.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -6.6pp | Won |
| Kansas over 64.5 | 86.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -6.8pp | Won |
| Fordham under 75.5 | 85.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -7.1pp | Won |
| Over 125.5 | 82.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -8.2pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 76.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -8.8pp | Won |
| Kansas over 65.5 | 84.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -9.0pp | Won |
| Kansas over 66.5 | 82.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -9.3pp | Won |
| Fordham under 73.5 | 80.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -10.1pp | Won |
| Over 129.5 | 74.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -10.7pp | Won |
| Kansas over 67.5 | 79.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -12.0pp | Won |
| Kansas win | 83.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | -12.2pp | Won |
| Fordham under 70.5 | 71.5% | 1.11 | 1.14 | 1.08 | - | - | - | -12.5pp | Won |
| Over 130.5 | 72.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -12.7pp | Won |
| Fordham under 71.5 | 74.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -13.6pp | Won |
| Kansas over 68.5 | 76.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -13.9pp | Won |
| Kansas -3.5 | 75.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -15.9pp | Won |
| Kansas over 69.5 | 73.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -17.0pp | Won |
| Kansas over 70.5 | 70.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -18.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 | H | St. John's (N.Y.) | 65-67 |
| 21/03/26 | H | California Baptist | 68-60 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Houston | 47-69 |
| 13/03/26 | H | TCU | 78-73 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Kansas State | 104-85 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Arizona State | 60-70 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Arizona | 61-84 |
| 24/02/26 | H | Houston | 69-56 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Cincinnati | 68-84 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Oklahoma State | 81-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 | H | George Washington | 62-66 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Rhode Island | 61-49 |
| 04/03/26 | A | La Salle | 84-87 |
| 28/02/26 | A | VCU Rams | 63-82 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Davidson | 63-59 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Loyola Chicago | 62-59 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Rhode Island | 70-66 OT |
| 11/02/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 68-64 |
| 07/02/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 67-70 |
| 04/02/26 | H | VCU Rams | 59-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 143.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 143.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 46.0 | +45.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 42.0 | +34.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 53.0 | +26.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 95.0 | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 80.0 | -4.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 39.0 | +52.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 58.0 | +31.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 54.0 | +28.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 77.0 | +23.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 72.0 | +10.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 71.0 | 79.0 | -8.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 52 | 95 | |
| 31 | 34 | 65 |
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